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Global Population
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PLANET EARTH
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OCEAN, SEA Usable Fresh Water
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Dessert
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Not Arable Lands … 5 too ‘s, urban areas and preserves
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Arable Land …Must support all of human life ECUMENE
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http://www.worldometers.info/population/
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http://www.breathingearth.net/
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Number of years to add each billion (year) All of Human History (1800) 130 (1930) 30 (1960) 15 (1975) 12 (1987) 12 (1999) 14 (2013) 14 (2027) 21 (2048) Sources: First and second billion: Population Reference Bureau. Third through ninth billion: United Nations, World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision (medium scenario), 2005. World Population Growth, in Billions
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A.D. 2000 A.D. 1000 A.D. 1 1000 B.C. 2000 B.C. 3000 B.C. 4000 B.C. 5000 B.C. 6000 B.C. 7000 B.C. 1+ million years 8 7 6 5 2 1 4 3 Old Stone Age New Stone Age Bronze Age Iron Age Middle Ages Modern Age Black Death—The Plague 9 10 11 12 A.D. 3000 A.D. 4000 A.D. 5000 1800 1900 1950 1975 2000 2100 Future Billions Source: Population Reference Bureau; and United Nations, World Population Projections to 2100 (1998). World Population Growth Through History
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World Population Density ** Exception to sparsely populated regions occurs in South America!!
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World Population Distribution and Density East Asia - 1/5 of world population here - China South Asia - bound by the Himalayas and a desert in Pakistan - another 1/5 of the worlds population Europe - population is concentrated in cities - 1/9 th world population Southeast Asia - 4 th most populated region in the world – ½ billion people – Indonesia most populated country in the region ** 2/3 rd of world’s population is clustered into these 4 regions! North America - megalopolis AKA metropolitan area
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Climate Zones (simplified)
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Ecumene, 5000 B.C. The ecumene, or the portion of the earth with permanent human settlement, has expanded to cover most of the world’s land area.
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Ecumene, A.D. 1
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Ecumene, A.D.1500
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Ecumene, A.D.1900
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Many Ways of Measuring Population: Population Density – measure of total population divided by the total land size (AKA. arithmetic population density).
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The highest arithmetic densities are found in parts of Asia and Europe.
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Physiological Density Physiological density is the number of people per arable land area. This is a good measure of the relationship between population and agricultural resources in a society.
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Physiological Density WHICH IS LOW PHYSIOLOGICAL DENSITY; MIDDLE, & HIGH?
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AGRICULTURAL DENSITY -Ratio of the # of farmers to the amount of arable land
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Billions Less Developed Regions More Developed Regions Source: United Nations, World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision (medium scenario), 2005. Growth in More, Less Developed Countries
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Crude Birth Rate (CBR) Crude Death Rate (CDR) Crude Birth Rate (CBR) is the total number of live births in a year for every 1,000 people alive in the society Crude Death Rate (CDR) is the total number of deaths in a year for every 1,000 people ** Crude focuses on society as a whole rather than a refined look at particular individual and groups
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Crude Birth Rates Fig. 2-8: The lowest rates are in Europe, and the highest rates are in Africa and several Asian countries. Why?
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Crude Death Rates Fig. 2-12 Because wealthy countries are in a late stage of the Demographic Transition, they often have a higher CDR than poorer countries.
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Natural Increase Rate (NIR) is the percentage by which a population grows/declines in a year NIR = CBR – CDR Represents country’s growth rate excluding migration NIR is lower today (1.2) than in the past – Peak in 1963 of 2.2 Natural Increase Rates
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Doubling Time The number of years needed to double a population assuming a constant rate. NIR today (1.2) = a doubling time of 54 years 1963 NIR was 2.2 = a doubling time of 35 years
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Natural Increase Rates
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Total Fertility Rate (TFR) is the average number of children a woman will have throughout her childbearing years – Roughly 15-49 – Used to measure number of births in a society TFR varies between MDCs and LDCs Total Fertility Rate
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Average number of children per woman Trends in Childbearing, by Region Source: United Nations, World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision, 2005.
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Number of Women 15 to 49 Billions Source: United Nations, World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision (medium scenario), 2005. Women of Childbearing Age
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Modern Contraceptive Use, Developing Countries Married Women 15 to 49 Using Modern Methods, Late 1990s, Early 2000s Percent * Data prior to 1999. Source: Population Reference Bureau, 2005 World Population Data Sheet.
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Infant Mortality Rate (IMR) is the annual number of deaths of infants under 1 year of age, compared with total live births – Number of deaths per 1,000 births – Highest rates in poorer countries of sub-Saharan Africa – Lowest Rates in Western Europe IMR reflects country’s health-care system – Lower IMRs in countries with well-trained doctors and nurses, modern hospitals, and supplies of medicine Infant Mortality rate
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Donor Support for Contraceptives and Estimated Costs Millions of US$ Contraceptive Costs, Developing Countries Source: UNFPA, Donor Support for Contraceptives and Condoms for STI/HIV Prevention 2004. Total Estimated Contraceptive Costs (including condoms) Total Estimated Contraceptive Costs Actual Donor Support
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Infant Mortality Rates
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Infant Mortality Rate and Total Fertility Rate Africa Asia LAC* MDR** Annual deaths to infants under age 1 per 1,000 live births Average number of children per woman Infant Mortality and Childbearing, by Region * LAC=Latin America and the Caribbean; ** MDR=More Developed Regions. Source: Population Reference Bureau, 2005 World Population Data Sheet.
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People are living longer than ever before in the U.S., but gaps in life expectancy between blacks and whites persist. White female Black female White male Black male Years
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Life Expectancy at birth measures the average number of years a newborn infant can expect to live at current mortality levels – More favorable in wealthier countries 70’s in Western Europe 40’s in sub-Saharan Africa Life Expectancy
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Life Expectancy at birth
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© 2005 POPULATION REFERENCE BUREAU Infant mortality for blacks has remained twice as high as infant mortality for whites since the early 1980s. Infant deaths per 1,000 births Black, non-Hispanic Hispanic White, non-Hispanic Asian Source: National Center for Health Statistics.
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Why does Population matter? For so Many reasons Here is one you may not have considered
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© 2005 POPULATION REFERENCE BUREAU Six of the top 15 energy users are low-income countries. Total energy use, in millions of metric tons of oil equivalent, 2002 Source: World Bank, 2005 World Development Indicators: table 3.7.
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