1. Interpreting the Scottish Index of Multiple Deprivation 2009 Presentation to SCOTSTAT Small Area Statistics event, 5 th October 2010 James Arnott Development & Regeneration Services Glasgow City Council

2. Scottish Government Analysis Improvements in Glasgow Improvements in Glasgow Concentrations of multiple deprivation becoming more spread out geographically Concentrations of multiple deprivation becoming more spread out geographically Concentrations of deprivation in the most deprived datazones reduced slightly Concentrations of deprivation in the most deprived datazones reduced slightly Most datazones moving out of 15% 2004- 06 remained out in 09 Most datazones moving out of 15% 2004- 06 remained out in 09 Most datazones in 15% in 09 also in 15% in 04 & 06 Most datazones in 15% in 09 also in 15% in 04 & 06

3. Glasgow: Datazones in Bottom 15% No. DZs Population % City SIMD 2004 374307,99753.3% SIMD 2006 330269,53946.7% SIMD 2009 301244,58741.9%

4. 200420062009Change 1%- 15% 307,997269,539244,587-20.6% 16%- 50% 150,636162,641181,711+20.6% 51%- 100% 119,236145,490157,942+32.5% Glasgow Population by SIMD Category

5. Further Development of Analysis Identification of other categories 1%-5% persistent deprivation 1%-5% persistent deprivation Moving out of the 1% to 15% category Moving out of the 1% to 15% category From the 16%-50% to 51%-100% categories From the 16%-50% to 51%-100% categories Large moves within categories Large moves within categories

6. Area Type Pop. % Total Change 04-09 Into 16%-50% 62,36610.7%+1.5% Into 51%-100% 38,3236.6%+13.0% Remaining 1%- 5% 113,72719.5%-3.3% Gaining Position 91,36315.6%+6.0% Losing Position 39,6816.8%-2.8%

7. Issues Arising Drivers of change Drivers of change Areas of persistent deprivation Areas of persistent deprivation Displacement Displacement Increasing inequalities: within the 1%-15% category; between the 1%- 15% and 16%-100% Increasing inequalities: within the 1%-15% category; between the 1%- 15% and 16%-100% Which policy to reduce deprivation Which policy to reduce deprivation

8. Caveats Measure of deprivation not overall prosperity: increasingly measures absence not presence Measure of deprivation not overall prosperity: increasingly measures absence not presence Possibility of exaggerating the significance of small reductions in deprivation Possibility of exaggerating the significance of small reductions in deprivation Difference between datazone boundaries and natural communities Difference between datazone boundaries and natural communities

9. Outcomes Ability of the city to maintain reductions in deprivation Ability of the city to maintain reductions in deprivation Designing a suitable approach towards monitoring Designing a suitable approach towards monitoring Turning the focus towards specific communities Turning the focus towards specific communities

11. Next Steps Weathervane areas combining deprivation with stability and improvement Weathervane areas combining deprivation with stability and improvement Combine small area information with local knowledge to monitor trends Combine small area information with local knowledge to monitor trends Use as an early indication of trends within the wider city Use as an early indication of trends within the wider city