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United Kingdom Payout Annuities Arshil Jamal

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Presentation on theme: "United Kingdom Payout Annuities Arshil Jamal"— Presentation transcript:

1 United Kingdom Payout Annuities Arshil Jamal
SVP, Chief Actuary / Capital Management Angela Jonkhans Vice President, Capital Management

2 Capital Market Solutions
UK Payout Annuities Market Overview Mortality Capital Market Solutions

3 Market has grown by 9% per year on average from 2003 to 2008
U.K. Payout Annuities – Total Market Premium 9% CAGR Market has grown by 9% per year on average from 2003 to 2008 Source: MARS, 2008

4 Canada Life sales have grown at 19% per annum on average since 2003
Canada Life U.K. Annuity Sales 19% CAGR Canada Life sales have grown at 19% per annum on average since 2003 Source: MARS, 2008

5 Canada Life is the fourth largest provider of new annuities in the UK
UK New Sales – Annuities to all Distribution Channels New Sales Canada Life is the fourth largest provider of new annuities in the UK Source: MARS, 2008

6 UK Payout Annuity Market - 2008
Just under half of annuities are written by the company that managed / administered the pensions accumulation policy Source: MARS, 2008

7 UK New Sales External Annuities to all Channels - 2008
Excluding internal conventional rollover business, Canada Life is the second largest provider of new annuities in the UK Source: MARS, 2008

8 UK Payout Annuity Assets

9 UK Payout Annuity Asset Mix – Q1 2009
Total Assets £16.6 billion

10 Combined Payout Asset & Liability Cash Flows
Projected Annuity Asset & Liability Cash flows Combined Payout Asset & Liability Cash Flows Asset portfolio is constructed to provide as close as possible cash flow match to the expected liabilities

11 Capital Market Solutions
UK Payout Annuities Market Overview Mortality Capital Market Solutions

12 Reserving Assumption 90.6% Reserving Assumption 84%
Canada Life Mortality Experience Males Females Average Experience 100% Average Experience 99% Reserving Assumption 90.6% Reserving Assumption 84% For a seller of annuities, a higher ratio is better than a lower ratio The margin between actual experience and reserving assumption is approximately 10% for males and 15% for females. Footnotes: All numbers show ratio of actual deaths to expected deaths, with expected deaths calculated as 100% of the current valuation tables i.e. PNMA00 with medium cohort improvements (plus floor) for males and PNFA00 with 75% medium cohort improvements (plus floor) for females. 2004 and 2005 is Canada Life business only, includes Resolution and Equitable business. Valuation assumption is weighted average across all 3 blocks.

13 CL UK Valuation/Pricing
Life Expectancies CL UK Valuation/Pricing Female Male No Improvements With Improvements Canada Life assumption for life expectancies is approximately 6 years higher than the latest published population mortality Approximately half of this allowance is for future improvements in mortality Other half reflects the lighter mortality for annuitants compared to the general population

14 These now form a much lower proportion of the total deaths
Mortality by Cause of Death Males Females Mortality by major cause for males – England & Wales, (Source: ONS) Mortality by major cause for females – England & Wales, (Source: ONS) Purple - Infectious diseases Green - Respiratory diseases Red Cancers Blue - Circulatory diseases Purple - Infectious diseases Green - Respiratory diseases Red Cancers Blue - Circulatory diseases Mortality rates have declined over the last 40 years driven by a decrease in deaths from circulatory diseases These now form a much lower proportion of the total deaths Deaths from other causes have been much more stable over that period.

15 Capital Market Solutions
UK Payout Annuities Market Overview Mortality Capital Market Solutions

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19 Questions


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