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Anticipating 2025: Changing Technologies and Intermodal Linkages in Aerial, Highway, Marine, and Rail Transportation in the Northeast Corridor, University of Delaware, October 19 2007 The Insertion of BostWash within the Global and National Freight Frameworks Jean-Paul Rodrigue Associate Professor, Dept. of Economics & Geography, Hofstra University, New York, USA Email: ecojpr@hofstra.edu Paper available at: http://people.hofstra.edu/faculty/Jean-paul_Rodrigue
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Freight Frameworks: From Global to Local Commodity Chains Transportation Global Regional Local Production Distribution Consumption Gateways Corridors Terminals Integrated Transport Systems
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UPS Willow Springs Distribution Center, Chicago Insertion in the Global Trade Framework Imbalanced Trade Imbalanced Container Flows Commodity Chains
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Containerized Cargo Flows along Major Trade Routes, 2005 1.8 (-18%) 4.3 (+30%) USA 6.1 Asia 13.9 (+148%) 23.8 8.9 3.3 (+14%) 9.9 (+120%) 5.6 (+55%) 17.2 11.7 9.9 Europe Million TEUs Growth (2000-2005) Imports (Million TEUs) Exports (Million TEUs)
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Balance of Containerized Cargo Flows along Major Trade Routes, 1995-2006 (in millions of TEUs)
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Sectors of American Imports of Asian Goods Through Maritime Container Shipping, 2004 (in TEUs)
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Commodity Chains and Added Value Commodity chain Added value Low High Manufacturing R&D Globalization Distribution Design Branding Marketing Sales / Service Concept Logistics
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Insertion in the Transportation and Logistical Framework Gateways and Corridors Containerization and the Velocity of Freight Shipping Networks Global Port Operators APL Distribution Center, Shenzhen, China
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Elements of the Maritime / Land Interface Port System Foreland (Shipping Network) RoadRailCoastal / Fluvial Hinterland (FDC) Corridors and Hubs Gateways Maritime Freight Distribution Inland Freight Distribution
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Traffic at the 50 Largest Container Ports, 2005
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World Container Traffic, 1980-2005. Reaching Peak Growth? Divergence AdoptionAcceleration Peak Growth Maturity 1966-1992 1992-2002 2002-2010(?) 2010(?) -
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The Velocity of Freight Push Logistics Shipment Speed Transshipment Speed Pull Logistics Containerization Speed barrier Logistical threshold Future improvements
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Three Major Pendulum Routes Serviced by OOCL, 2006
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Insertion in the Continental Framework Hinterlands Trade Corridors Landbridges APL “Australia” entering San Francisco Harbor
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Hinterland Setting and Major Economic Regions North America Western Europe East and Southeast Asia Coastal concentration Landbridge connections Inland concentration Coastal gateways Coastal concentration Low hinterland access Hinterland intensity Freight Corridor hierarchy Gateway hierarchy
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Main North American Trade Corridors and Metropolitan Freight Centers
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Beware of Future Expectations: The Fallacies of Linear Thinking
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Beware of Future Expectations: The Fallacies of Linear Thinking (Projected TEU Traffic, Port of NY/NJ)
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Monthly Traffic, Port of Los Angeles (TEUs)
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Insertion in the Regional Framework Distribution Clusters Regional Freight Distribution Port Regionalization “Maersk Sealand” Locomotive, Landers Yard (NS), Chicago
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The “Last Mile” in Freight Distribution Gateway Inland Terminal Distribution Center Capacity Frequency Corridor Customer “Last Mile” Segment GLOBAL HINTERLAND REGIONALLOCAL Shipping Network MassificationAtomization
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Proximity and Intermediacy for Distribution Clusters DC DC DC Long distance transport corridor Intermediacy Proximity Metropolitan Area
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Main Access Corridors to the East Coast
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Boston – Washington Corridor: Volume to Capacity Ratio
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Port Inland Distribution Network and Freight Clusters
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Translisft crane, NS Rutherford yard, PA Conclusion: Global Processes, Local Realities Multiscalar Freight Insertion Modal Shift (rail corridors) Freight Diversion (regionalization) Freight Diversion (regionalization)
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