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Published byDebra Norman Modified over 9 years ago
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Demographic Questions from ET2050 Andreu Ulied, MCRIT Lead Partner ET2050 Dorota Kupiszewska, OIM, Partner ET2050 ESPON Seminar, Paphos, December 2012
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+Stable: 518 (2010) to 520 - 580 M. inh. (2030) ? +Aging: 16,2% (2010) to 22% - 24,5% inh.>65 (2030) ? +Singles: 2,3 (2010) to 1,9 - 2,4 people/household (2030) ? +Urbanised: 72,7% (2010) to 78% - 85% (2030) ? Demographic Overall Trends from ET2050
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Internal labour migrations (e.g. South/North, East/West…) ? Internal “touristical” migrations (e.g. education, health, temporary residence, business…) ? External in-migration (e.g. former colonies, North Africa…) ? External e-migration (e.g. labour, education, tourism…) ? Stabilisation (from 518 to 580... and 620 m. inh. in 2050) ?
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Inter-generation balance ( e,g later retirement, more flexible working, new jobs; new life-long education…) ? Public finances: Pension and health systems (e.g. public expenditures in latest years of life…) ? New habitat preferences (e,g, from small towns to gated senior communities, new housing, Sun-belt migrants) ? New travel demand (e.g cultural tourism, residencial mobility…) ? Aging (from 16,2% to 24,5%... and 30% in 2050) ?
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New type of families ( e.g. Non-married, single-parents, heterosexual…) ? New social institutions (e.g. virtual communities, project and interest- based temporary communities, de-territorialisation of relations…) ? New habitat (e,g, renting, colective facilities… ) ? New travel (e.g. increase in long-distance labour/leisure trips, less communiting and more tele-working…) ? Single-families (from 2.3 to 1,9... and 1,7 in 2050) ?
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Patterns of growth: Centers, Suburbs, Periurban and Rururban simoultaneous developments ? Socialy inclusive or more segregated zones (e.g. by rent, by interests and activity, by ethnicity…) ? More specialised or diversified economic zones ? More homogeneous or heterogeneous cities and regions across Europe ? Urbanised (from 72,7% to 85%... and 95% in 2050) ?
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