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Predicting the Future Greg Murphy
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What do you think the future will look like?
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Will it look like this?
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Or like this?
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What do you know? To make an accurate prediction about the future It helps to look back on the last century. Think about how and why technology has evolved.
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Table of Contents Successful Predictions of the Past Wrong predictions of the Past Causes for Advancements Breakthroughs in Technology Some Reasons for Advancements Making Reasonable Predictions
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Successful Predictions Here are a few predictions made long ago about what life would look like today. Here are a few predictions made long ago about what life would look like today.
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Robotic Vacuums
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Video Conferencing
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Online shopping
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Wrong Predictions Here are a few bad predictions made long ago about life today.
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Paper Clothing
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Flying Cars
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Permanent Moon Base
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Causes Technology in the 20 th Century advanced at an alarming rate. Think of some possible reasons for why there were so many advancements. Example breakthrough include…
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In 1895 the Wright brothers invented the first airplane.
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50 years later
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Passenger Air Travel
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In 1926 Robert Goddard launched the first liquid fueled rocket. It rose 41 feet.
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25 years later
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35 years later
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Societal needs that necessitated such a dramatic advancements in science and technology Here are some hints…
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War
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Foreign Policy
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Based on the cause and effect relationship of tech and society… what kinds of advanced technology will there be a need for in the future? Here are some examples to get you thinking.
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Helping People
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Providing Companionship
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When predicting the future Be reasonable. Make an educated guess by considering only technologies that science will make possible. Some examples of unreasonable expectations include…
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Will this ever be possible?
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How about this?
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When predicting the future Consider technology today, and think about how it has evolved in recent years. Based on this, what might it look like tomorrow?
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Cell Phones
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Will the next generation continue to be smaller/thinner?
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Or will cell phones be something entirely different?
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When predicting the future Think about possible bad applications of advanced technology.
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Future of police surveillance?
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Future gamer?
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Now it’s your turn!
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Your Assignment: make a timeline for the next 50 years
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