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Published byDortha Kennedy Modified over 9 years ago
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Why I Changed My Mind About Bitcoin December 12, 2015
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Purpose Discuss how the evolution of Bitcoin could disrupt the financial system, creating some investment opportunities along the way
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Disclaimer I have no expertise in Bitcoin or any other digital currency. This presentation is for educational purposes and should not be construed as specific investment advice.
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Content Definition of Bitcoin Current state of the bitcoin economy How to acquire and store bitcoins How they are used today Why I changed my mind about Bitcoin Primary risks How to become a Bitcoin Billionaire
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What is Bitcoin? Bitcoin is digital money used for secure and instant transfer of value anywhere in the world The Bitcoin network is an open network managed by its users – not controlled by any company or government Bitcoin is an improvement on existing payment methods which were not designed for the internet era introduced in 2008 by the pseudonymous developer Satoshi Nakamoto (Craig Stephen Wright?)
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Big B and little b Bitcoin is both a global transaction network (Bitcoin with a capital “B”) and a digital currency (bitcoins with a lowercase “b”) used for secure and instant transfer of value In simple terms, it is a big public spreadsheet with some passwords and a way to keep it from being hacked First purely digital asset, allowing value to be sent like sending an email, without requiring permission or involvement of any other institution
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The Public Ledger when bitcoins are transferred over the network, the transaction is recorded in a public ledger known as the “blockchain” copies distributed over many servers globally security key or password required to control the bitcoins that the ledger says you own all transactions are permanently stored and the complete history is viewable by everyone
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How are bitcoins created? bitcoins are generated through a process known as mining mining process involves solving a complex mathematical equation in order to generate a unique digital signature generated at fixed intervals according to a mathematical algorithm (currently 25 / 10 min.) total number of bitcoins capped at 21 million by the year 2140
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How do people get bitcoins? mining purchase from an exchange, e.g., Coinbase accept bitcoin as payment buy directly from another individual
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Where can you store them? online wallet or vault local wallet on your phone, PC or network drive usb drive or print it and store it in your safe/safe deposit box
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Where are they used today? Online purchases at many small and large merchants Brick and mortar: home furnishings, yachts International business payments Person-to-person payments Pay contractors and salaries Donations: United Way
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Some Widely-known Merchants
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Exponential Growth Opportunity: Internet of Money revolutionary financial innovation enabled by the blockchain ledger decentralized, trustless – no single entity or server in control very low transaction fees open source software – 75% already re- written since release
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Glaring Opportunity Remittance market exceeds $1T annually
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Innovation Driven by VC and Top Technologists Highly respected technology venture capital investors and top technology entrepreneurs Large financial institutions (NYSE, NDQ, GS, etc) $140M 2013, $340M 2014, ~$1B 2015 > 30,000 programmers on Bitcoin-related projects Expect (hope?) a killer app within 12-18 months that will drive global adoption
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Innovation focus Making bitcoin easy to use Creating the middleware for easy connection to the financial world Replacements for existing financial applications New applications not possible in today’s financial system
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Innovation Examples Making it as easy to use as Visa, MC, etc Issue and trade securities, pay dividends Host complex financial prods: derivatives, swaps Record real property titles Store encrypted medical records Micropayments: single article, one time views, avoid ads Back-office efficiencies: internal flows of funds Smart Contracts
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Simplified Valuation Approaches Money supply vs GDP: Nepal $18B $857/btc or Vermont $31B $1476/btc Payment company: Western Union moves $200M valued at 10.9B $519/btc Store of value: Gold $7T x 5% $16,666/btc
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Wedbush Securities Valuation Estimate
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Is Bitcoin Safe? Bitcoin’s core protocol has been vetted by thousands of top security researchers Using bitcoin is similar to using other private applications on the internet, such as email or online banking You access your bitcoin with a password in order to ensure only you have access to your money Therefore it is critical to protect your password
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Security breeches? inadequate wallet security attacks on websites that use bitcoins no attacks on blockchains that led to stolen money no heists from exploiting the protocol no thefts due to holes with the original Bitcoin client
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Primary Risks Adoption stagnates, does not achieve significant market size Better digital currency Regulations too strict
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How to become a Bitcoin Billionaire Own bitcoins directly Bitcoin Trust, ETF Venture capital Short Western Union
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Closing Thoughts to Ponder GS: 33 percent of millennials don’t expect to have a bank account in 5 years 2.5B people don’t have bank accounts today, and 4B people without credit cards How are they going to get their financial and banking services? With Bitcoin, you can be your own bank If you can put software on someone’s phone that replaces banking functions, that is a big deal Doesn’t matter if you were born in the first world or the third world Provides financial independence to people without someone dictating what they can and can’t do
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Questions
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Supplemental
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Bitcoin Transaction
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Acquire and Transfer via Exchange
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