2. Regional Economic Cooperation: Lessons for Central Asia Johannes Linn CAREC and Wolfensohn Center for Development at Brookings Brussels, March 2-3, 2009

3. A review of experience Assessment of available information Assessment of available information Typology of regional economic organizations Typology of regional economic organizations Experience with regional cooperation world-wide (with more detail for Central Asia, Asia, Latin America and Europe) Experience with regional cooperation world-wide (with more detail for Central Asia, Asia, Latin America and Europe) Lessons Lessons Implications for CAREC Implications for CAREC Source: J. Linn and O. Pidufala, “The Experience with Regional Economic Cooperation Organizations”, Working Paper No 4, Wolfensohn Center for Development at Brookings, Washington, DC, October 2008 (www.brookings.edu/wolfensohncenter)

4. The literature Few systematic evaluations of specific organizations Few systematic evaluations of specific organizations GMS in progress by ADB OED GMS in progress by ADB OED SPECA by its governing council SPECA by its governing council Few cross-cutting evaluations Few cross-cutting evaluations WB IEG review of support for regional cooperation WB IEG review of support for regional cooperation Reviews of selected regional cases Reviews of selected regional cases No comprehensive overview No comprehensive overview We pieced together from the evidence what can be gleaned; more systematic evaluations of individual agencies and or cross-cutting experience desirable We pieced together from the evidence what can be gleaned; more systematic evaluations of individual agencies and or cross-cutting experience desirable

5. Typology of regional organizations Focus Focus –Regional integration –Other Membership Membership Function Function –Security –Political –Trade –Infrastructure –Socio-economic –Comprehensive Form of organization Form of organization –Formal, treaty based v. informal program v. informal program –Financial institution –Summit, ministerial or senior official level Modalities Modalities –Advisory –Regulatory –Financing –Arbitration/enforcement

6. Central Asian regional organizations

7. Country membership of Central Asian regional organizations

8. Other regional organizations

9. Summary evaluation of regional organizations Central Asia Central Asia SCO SCO EurasEC EurasEC ECO ECO SPECA SPECA CAREC CAREC Other Other EU EU Stability Pact Stability Pact GMS GMS IIRSA IIRSA CAF CAF MERCOSUR MERCOSUR

10. Lessons 1, 2 and 3 Lesson 1: Regional cooperation is not easy and implementation of stated intentions is frequently weak. Lesson 1: Regional cooperation is not easy and implementation of stated intentions is frequently weak. Lesson 2: Effective regional cooperation and integration take time to develop, and require incremental, gradual and flexible implementation with visible payoffs. Lesson 2: Effective regional cooperation and integration take time to develop, and require incremental, gradual and flexible implementation with visible payoffs. Lesson 3: Successful cooperation requires leadership. Lesson 3: Successful cooperation requires leadership.

11. Lessons 4, 5 and 6 Lesson 4: Keep the membership of the regional organization manageable, based on shared geography and common regional interests. Lesson 4: Keep the membership of the regional organization manageable, based on shared geography and common regional interests. Lesson 5: Avoid the “spaghetti bowl” effect, where possible. Lesson 5: Avoid the “spaghetti bowl” effect, where possible. Lesson 6: Ensure financial resources are available to support regional investments and cooperation Lesson 6: Ensure financial resources are available to support regional investments and cooperation

12. Lessons 7, 8 and 9 Lesson 7: For trade and transport, develop priority corridors and link transport investment with transport and trade facilitation. Lesson 7: For trade and transport, develop priority corridors and link transport investment with transport and trade facilitation. Lesson 8. Development of regional water and energy resources can be one of the most difficult areas in to make progress, while also creating great opportunities for win-win outcomes and the sharing of benefits among all parties. Lesson 8. Development of regional water and energy resources can be one of the most difficult areas in to make progress, while also creating great opportunities for win-win outcomes and the sharing of benefits among all parties. Lesson 9: External actors should assist wherever possible. Lesson 9: External actors should assist wherever possible.

13. Implications for CAREC CAREC’s Strengths CAREC’s Strengths Fo cus Fo cus Flexibility Flexibility Country engagement Country engagement IFI engagement and coordination IFI engagement and coordination Action Plan Action Plan Sector strategies Sector strategies Monitoring of progress Monitoring of progress CAREC’s Challenges CAREC’s Challenges No formal basis No formal basis Weak organizational capacity Weak organizational capacity Not at summit level Not at summit level Limited recognition Limited recognition Limited country ownership Limited country ownership Weak links with other regional organizations Weak links with other regional organizations Missing players Missing players

14. The way forward for CAREC Work in progress Work in progress Strong sector strategies and action plans Strong sector strategies and action plans Monitoring of results Monitoring of results Strong secretariat Strong secretariat CAREC Institute CAREC Institute Stronger links with other regional organizations Stronger links with other regional organizations CAREC Partners’ Forum CAREC Partners’ Forum Food for thought Food for thought Focus now on regional compound crisis? Focus now on regional compound crisis? Summit (or PM) level meeting? Summit (or PM) level meeting? Formal link with SCO? Formal link with SCO? Add 1 or 2 key sectoral areas (water, disaster preparedness) Add 1 or 2 key sectoral areas (water, disaster preparedness)

15. Thank you!