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The North American Monsoon System: Recent Evolution and Current Status Update prepared by Climate Prediction Center / NCEP 03 June 2013.

Published byCharleen Hillary Roberts Modified over 9 years ago

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Presentation on theme: "The North American Monsoon System: Recent Evolution and Current Status Update prepared by Climate Prediction Center / NCEP 03 June 2013."— Presentation transcript:

1 The North American Monsoon System: Recent Evolution and Current Status Update prepared by Climate Prediction Center / NCEP 03 June 2013

2 Outline Recent Evolution and Current Conditions Summary Climatology

3 Rainfall Patterns: Last 7 Days Above-normal rainfall has been observed over southern Mexico during the past week.

4 Rainfall Patterns: Last 30 Days Near-normal rainfall has been observed over almost the entire Mexico during the past 30 days.

5 Recent Evolution: Rainfall

6 NCEP/GFS Forecast Below-normal precipitations for northern Mexico during the next two weeks but above-normal rainfall is predicted during 10-16 June 2013 for southern Mexico.

7 Summary Southern Mexico has received substantial precipitation during the past week. During the past 30 days, near-average rainfall was seen over nearly the entire Mexico except the eastern region where drier-than-normal condition persists. NCEP GFS forecasts show below-normal precipi- tations for northern Mexico during the next two weeks and above-normal rainfall for southern Mexico during 10-16 June 2013.

8 Climatology MONSOON ONSET June 5 June 6 June 8June 7 June 14 June 17June 16 June 23 June 27June 25June 29 July 3July 6July 11 July 7July 8July 13 July 9July 13July 14 June 10June 11 June 22June 21 Higgins, R. W., Y. Chen and A. V. Douglas, 1999: Interannual Variability of the North American Warm Season Precipitation Regime. J. Clim, 17, 653-680

9 Precipitation Climatology

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