1. CASUALTIES AT SEA: REALISTIC OVERVIEW St.Petersburg 2009

2. CASUALTIES AT SEA: REALISTIC OVERVIEW Casualties result not only in significant losses of shipowners, cargo owners, underwriters, not only in human tragedies, but also lead to global consequences of the ecological nature

3. CASUALTIES AT SEA: REALISTIC OVERVIEW Shipping industry, one of the first, has adopted and extensively implemented the International Safety Standards Commencing from mid-19 th century a number of International Agreements was developed and implemented, aiming at enhancing of safety of navigation at sea. Nevertheless, the reviewed analysis of the dats of incidents allows us to contend that the number of such at sea is growing

4. 45975 47786 49880 52235 54616 40000 42000 44000 46000 48000 50000 52000 54000 56000 Y 2005Y 2006Y 2007Y 2008Y 2009 Number of ships in the world fleet (figures are given for oil tankers, gas carriers, container ships, bulk carriers, dry-cargo ships and ferries)

5. CASUALTIES AT SEA: REALISTIC OVERVIEW Number of ships in the world fleet is constantly growing from 45 975 ships in 2005 up to to 54 616 by the end of August 2009 Notwithstanding the crisis during 2008- 2009, the growth in the world fleet has not only stopped, and even has not slowed down

6. Percentage growth of the world fleet 3.94% 4.38% 4.72% 4.56% 3.40% 3.60% 3.80% 4.00% 4.20% 4.40% 4.60% 4.80% Ships 2005-06 Ships 2006-07Ships 2007-08Ships 2008-august 09

7. CASUALTIES AT SEA: REALISTIC OVERVIEW Constant growth of ships in operation is observed during the indicated, averaging 4.4 per cent per year Within the last 5 years the growth of the world fleet amounts to 18 per cent! Such growth would lead to intensity of navigation on sea routes

8. No ships in casualty 1150 1283 16091623 988 0 500 1000 1500 2000 Y 2005Y 2006Y 2007Y 2008Y 2009 No ships in casualty

9. CASUALTIES AT SEA: REALISTIC OVERVIEW Growths of casualties is observed during the whole period in question If in 2006 a number of casualty accidents in contrast with 2005 increased by 11 per cent, in 2007 a dramatic rise is observed: the growth of casualties amounted to as much as 25 per cent as compared to that of 2006

11. CASUALTIES AT SEA: REALISTIC OVERVIEW When comparing growth indices of the number of ships and the number of casualties one may conclude: no association is observed between the growth of world fleet and that of the casualty number

12. CASUALTIES AT SEA: REALISTIC OVERVIEW TYPES OF CASUALTIES2005200620072008 Damage to hull or machinery438394534521 Collisions with ships237276336375 Drifting (stranding)/grounding235308393372 Collisions with objects other than ships133144165188 Fires/explosions95100117119 Wrecks4515438 Casualties as a result of cargo displacement, etc.5942 Missing ships1022 Damage or loss of ship as a result of war or other military actions2146 Total quantity of casualties1150128316091623

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