1. BRIEFING THE SCLAN ON DROUGHT  ADG: Farmer Settlement and Development : PETER NGOBESE  SM: AGRICULTURAL RISK AND DISASTER MANAGEMENT  IKALAFENG KGAKATSI

2. AGRICULTURE WEATHER /CLIMATE FORECAST South African Climate is highly variable - weather/Climate - Agriculture Agriculture – risky business - rain-fed or irrigation - Dams/underground water table - heat wave Our country received less rainfall during the second half of 2001/02 - less moisture for the next season SADC countries experienced - 2002/03 season - late rains over the central interior - other provinces continued to received less rainfall - Limpopo - overgrazing

3. SEVEN to 10 YEAR CYCLE  EARLY 1980s drought - turn late 1980s but dry and wet spell were still experienced in between  Repeat - EARLY 1990s drought - turn late 1990s but dry and wet spell were still experienced in between  AGAIN EARLY 2000s drought - expected turn late 2000s but dry and wet spell can still be experienced in between

4. FACTORS AFFECTING OUR SUMMER RAINFALL  El Niño/La Niña events - intensity and impacts differ spatially  Southern Oscillation Index  Surrounding Oceans (Atlantic and Indian Oceans)  Tropical Air (DRC/ANGOLA/BOTSWANA LOW)  Environment  General rain/heavy falls/floods/drought/snow - Farmer -onset - spread throughout

8. Conclusions LRAD - Farmer Support Package Starter Packs - IFSNP-Food Security Research - drought resistant/ crop suitability Climate Change, Advisory by NAC- Climate forecasts, Farming Practice Livestock cards - grazing capacity -dipping - natural resources Fires (man made) Fire Act - fire breaks. Coordination - PDAs/Municipalities /Organised Agr

9. CC Continue  Framework to access the drought relief funds  Established and developing Farmers  On a monthly basis each farmer who qualifies receives an authority from the PDA to purchase fodder and transport it at predetermine rates for his animals.  Total maximum = 30 larger stock units per farmer or 180 small stock units per farmer.  Funds are paid to suppliers for fodder and transport at 75% lesses values. In some areas for specific farmers PDA purchases the fodder and sells it to the farmers at 25% of the costs involved. These farmers also receive a monthly purchase authority from PDA but they must buy from PDA.

10. DROUGHT RELIEF FUNDS  FUNDS NEEDED  Animal Feeds  Up to March 2004  LimpopoAvailable 6m + R33.3m  Western Cape Available R15.85m  Northern Cape Available R68,7  Required up to March 2004 46,0m

11. C FUNDS  Excess From NC(22,7m)  Eastern Cape 12,7m  Free State 10.0m

12. C FUNDS  Funds allocated throught DPLG from Cabinet  Mpumalanga 10,0m  North West 10.0m  KZN 10,0m  LIVESTOCK WATER WUID/DWAF 20m  THANKS

13. BRIEFING ON DROUGHT RELIEF MEASURES SELECT COMMITTEE ON LAND AND ENVIRONMENTAL AFFAIRS OLD ASSEMBLY CHAMBER 05 FEBRUARY 2004

14. AGREICULTURE WEATHER/CLIAMTE FORECAST  South African Climate Is Highly Variable – Weather/climate – agriculture  Agriculture- risky business- rain fed or irrigation- Dams/underground water- heat wave  Our country received less rainfall during the second half of 2001/2002 –less moisture for the next season  SADC countries experienced – 2002/2003 season- late rains over the central interior – other provinces continued to receive less rainfall – Limpopo – overgrazing

15. SEVEN TO 10 YEAR CYCLKE  EARLY 1980s drought – turn late 1980s but dry and wet spell were still experienced in between  Repeat EARLY 1990s drought – turn late 1990s but dry and wet spell were still experienced in between  AGAIN EARLY 2000s drought – turn late 2000s but dry and wet spell were still experienced in between

16. FACTORS AFFECTING OUR SUMMER RAINFALL  EI Nino/LaNina event – intensity and impact differ spatially  Southern Oscillation index  Surrounding Oceans (Atlantic and Indian Oceans)  Tropical Air ( DRC/ANOLA/BOTSWANA LOW)  Environment  General rain/ heavy falls/floods /drought/snow – Farmer onset – spread throughout

17. CONCLUSIONS  LRAD –Farmer support Package  Starter Research – drought resistant/ crop suitability  Climate Change  Advisory by NAC – Climate forecasts, Farming Practice  Livestock cards – grazing capacity – dipping natural resources  Fires ( man made) Fire Act – fire breaks.  Coordination – PDAs/Municipalities / Organised Agriculture

18. CC Continue  Framework to access the drought relief funds  Establish and developing Farmers  On a monthly basis each farmer who qualifies receives an authority from the PDA to purchase fodder and transport it at predetermine rates for his animals.  Total maximum= 30 larger stock units per farmer or 180 small stock units per farmer.

19. DROUGHT RELIEF FUNDS  FUNDS NEEDED  Animal Feeds  Up to March 2004  Limpopo Available 6m + R33.3m  Western CapeAvailable R15.85m  Northern CapeAvailable R68,7  Required up to March 2004R46,0m

20. C Funds  Excess from NC 22,7m)  Eastern Cape12,7m  Free State10,0m

21. THANK YOU