1. 2013 Missouri Economic Forecast Dr. David Mitchell, Director Bureau of Economic Research

2. US and Missouri Compared (Percent Change in Real GDP by Sector 2009 to 2011) Bureau of Economic Research MSU

3. US and Missouri Compared (Percent Change in Real GDP by Sector 2010 to 2011) Bureau of Economic Research MSU

4. Missouri Business Loans Thds of 2012:2 SA dollars Bureau of Economic Research MSU

5. Missouri Real Estate Loans Thds of 2012:2 SA dollars Bureau of Economic Research MSU

6. Missouri Bank Loans Past Due 30-89 days (thds of dollars) Bureau of Economic Research MSU

7. Missouri Bank Loans Past Due 90+ days (thds of dollars) Bureau of Economic Research MSU

8. $4.62 $3.26 Bureau of Economic Research MSU

9. $3.26 $19.80 Bureau of Economic Research MSU

10. Missouri Real Personal Income (2012:2 Constant $ SAAR) Bureau of Economic Research MSU

11. Missouri Real Personal Income (2012:2 Constant $ SAAR) Bureau of Economic Research MSU

12. Missouri Real Personal Income (2012:2 Constant $ SAAR and CAGR Trends) 2.9% 1.7% 2% Bureau of Economic Research MSU

13. Growth in Real Personal Income (Year over Year) 1.4% Bureau of Economic Research MSU

14. Dollar Change in Real Average Weekly Wages (2011 to 2012) Bureau of Economic Research MSU

15. Dollar Change in Real Average Weekly Wages (2007Q4 to 2012) Bureau of Economic Research MSU

16. US and Missouri Home Prices (1980:Q1 = 100 ; Constant $1980) 99 114 Bureau of Economic Research MSU

17. US and Missouri Home Prices Year over Year Percent Change Bureau of Economic Research MSU

18. City Level Housing Prices (1995:1 =100; 1995 constant $) KC 106 STL 112 Joplin 106 Spfd 94 Bureau of Economic Research MSU

19. New Single Family Home Permits per 10,000 population 13 16.1 Bureau of Economic Research MSU

20. Missouri Unemployment Rate Bureau of Economic Research MSU

21. Missouri-US Unemployment Rate Difference Bureau of Economic Research MSU

22. Major City Unemployment Rates Bureau of Economic Research MSU

23. Other Unemployment Rates Bureau of Economic Research MSU

24. Current County Unemployment Rate September 2012 Bureau of Economic Research MSU

25. Labor Force in Missouri Bureau of Economic Research MSU

26. Labor Force in Missouri 1.6% 0.6% -0.9% Bureau of Economic Research MSU

27. Year to Year Change in Missouri Labor Force Bureau of Economic Research MSU

28. Missouri Employment Peak of 2,914,418 Dec. 2006 Trough of 2,755,850 Dec. 2009 2012 Average 2,794,099 Current 2,780,697 2012 = March 1997 Bureau of Economic Research MSU

29. Index of Missouri and US Employment (Jan 2000 = 100) Bureau of Economic Research MSU

30. US and Missouri CPS Employment (Nov 2007 =100) 96.1 97.5 Bureau of Economic Research MSU

31. Missouri Employment (Percent Change Year over Year) Bureau of Economic Research MSU

32. Percent Change in County Employment September 2011 to September 2012 Bureau of Economic Research MSU

33. Missouri CES and CPS Employment Compared Bureau of Economic Research MSU

34. Missouri CES and CPS Employment Compared Bureau of Economic Research MSU

35. Missouri Employment Breakdown IndustryJan-12Sep-12Change Change in Percent Employ (CPS) SA2,812.92,780.6-32.3-1.1 Nonfarm (CES) NSA2,593.82,676.482.63.2 Nonfarm (CES) SA2,650.42,659.79.30.4 Private2,217.12,227.410.310.5 Construction102100.1-1.9 Financial157.2160.43.22.0 Government433.3432.3-0.2 Health419.5428.38.82.1 Information57.956.3-1.6-2.8 Leisure268.1264.7-3.4-1.3 Manufacturing252247.1-4.9-1.9 Mining4.14.20.12.4 Prof Biz Services335.7347.311.63.5 Retail297.2294.9-2.3-0.8 Trans/Utilities98.293.9-4.3-4.4 Wholesale116.4115.8-0.6-0.5 Other Services112.7111.9-0.8-0.7 Bureau of Economic Research MSU

36. Monthly Change in Employment (CPS) Bureau of Economic Research MSU

37. Monthly Change in Employment (CES) Bureau of Economic Research MSU

38. Construction (thds) Bureau of Economic Research MSU

39. Manufacturing (thds) Bureau of Economic Research MSU

40. Financial (thds) Bureau of Economic Research MSU

41. Health/Education (thds) Bureau of Economic Research MSU

42. Retail (thds) Bureau of Economic Research MSU

43. Government (thds) Bureau of Economic Research MSU

44. Where is Missouri Growing? (January 2012 to today) Kansas City (-2,946) St. Louis (496) MSA Minor (-3,200) Rural (-8,954) Bureau of Economic Research MSU

45. Millions of Real Missouri Sales Taxes (End of Fiscal Year) in Sep ‘12 Dollars Bureau of Economic Research MSU

46. Millions of Real Missouri Sales Taxes (YTD) in Sep ‘12 Dollars Bureau of Economic Research MSU

47. Millions of Real Missouri Corporate Income Taxes (End of Fiscal Year) in Sep ‘12 Dollars Bureau of Economic Research MSU

48. Millions of Real Missouri Corporate Income Taxes (YTD) in Sep ‘12 Dollars Bureau of Economic Research MSU

49. Millions of Real Missouri Income Taxes (End of Fiscal Year) in Sep ‘12 Dollars Bureau of Economic Research MSU

50. Millions of Real Missouri Income Taxes (YTD) in Sep ‘12 Dollars Bureau of Economic Research MSU

51. 2013 Missouri Forecast Industry2013 FChange (thds) Nonfarm (CES) 2,672.9013.2 Private 2,250.222.8 Construction 104.44.3 Financial 162.21.8 Government 428-4.3 Health 439.110.8 Information 54.1-2.2 Leisure 260.3-4.4 Manufacturing 246.3-0.8 Mining 4.30.1 Prof Biz Services 363.316.0 Retail 291.5-3.4 Trans/Utilities 91.4-2.5 Wholesale 115.7-0.1 Other Services 111.6-0.3 Unemployment Rate (SA) 6.10% Real Personal Income (Millions) 241,2204,265 Bureau of Economic Research MSU