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All hands meeting Budget discussion P. Oddone, February 15, 2011
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Why this meeting? I have many calls from the press and others regarding the consequences of various budget scenarios I want to talk to you first, before you read what I have to say in the newspapers There are two main scenarios to discuss: the FY12 President’s Budget Request for HEP and the recently proposed 20% cut to Office of Science in FY11 P. Oddone, All-hands meeting, February 15, 2011 2
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The bad news first…… The House is debating the FY11 budget and the Committee on Appropriations has come through with $100B in cuts to domestic spending The cuts respond to powerful forces to restore fiscal balance to the Federal budget. The deficit is estimated for FY11 at $1.5 trillion or about 10% of GDP (it will also add 10% to total debt) P. Oddone, All-hands meeting, February 15, 2011 3
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From Congressional Budget Office: P. Oddone, All-hands meeting, February 15, 2011 4
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Budget deficit Would decrease to tolerable levels in 3-4 years by the CBO projections if: Economy recovers to historical standards of growth Laws stay without changes, i.e. taxes enacted first in President Bush’s era are allowed to expire after their present extension P. Oddone, All-hands meeting, February 15, 2011 5
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Budget deficit These are two big assumptions. If they are not correct, the debt keeps increasing at a relatively fast pace. So limiting outlays is the call of the day on both sides of the isle: President’s freezing of non-defense discretionary spending Proposed cuts in the House budget also on non- defense discretionary spending Non-defense domestic spending is only 12% of the budget so the actions above won’t solve the problem but they are a start P. Oddone, All-hands meeting, February 15, 2011 6
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What does a 20% cut in FY11 mean? It comes halfway through the fiscal year so it would amount to a 40% cut on the rate of expenditures for the remainder of the year. Impossible to accommodate such cuts without major disruptions: Stop operation of all accelerators immediately Stop most procurements for remainder of year Slow down projects to barely keep-alive levels Furlough staff for roughly two of the remaining six months Prepare layoffs of 20% of the staff or 400 employees P. Oddone, All-hands meeting, February 15, 2011 7
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What does a 20% cut in FY11 mean? There would be similar effects on all other Office of Science laboratories It would be a major blow not only to particle physics but to US science overall, with thousands of layoffs, many projects terminated, and a very difficult recovery We have to make the consequences of these cuts evident if we are to prevent them. We have support from our representatives and our stakeholders P. Oddone, All-hands meeting, February 15, 2011 8
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Now for the better news Yesterday the President released his FY12 budget request to Congress Within the overall freeze of domestic spending there were major increases in the Office of Science budget for three areas that contribute to clean energy technologies: Basic Energy Sciences (BES), Biological and Environmental Research (BER), and Advanced Scientific Computing Research (ASCR) P. Oddone, All-hands meeting, February 15, 2011 9
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Office of Science in the PBR P. Oddone, All-hands meeting, February 15, 2011 10
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Laboratory projection P. Oddone, All-hands meeting, February 15, 2011 11
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Laboratory projection The FY12 budget is very tight and less than what we would have hoped for Playing on this is the uncertainty in the DUSEL situation and whether new starts will be allowed in a FY11 CR Given all the factors and the tremendous emphasis on research tied to green energy, we would still have a good budget that will allow progress in all our projects P. Oddone, All-hands meeting, February 15, 2011 12
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