1. Heinrich Böll Foundation North America 1638 R Street, NW, Suite 120 Washington, DC 20009, USA www.hbfus.org Germany’s Green Energy Transition Arne Jungjohann, Heinrich Böll Foundation, Washington DC Durban, December 2011

2. Washington, DC. Mexico City. San Salvador. Rio de Janeiro. Santiago de Chile. Lagos. Cape Town Nairobi. Addis Ababa. Berlin. Brussels. Warsaw. Prague. Sarajevo. Belgrade. Zagreb. Istanbul Kiev. Moscow. Tbilisi. Kabul. Lahore. New Dheli. Chiang Mai. Phnom Penh. Beijing

3. Heinrich Böll Foundation North America 1638 R Street, NW, Suite 120 Washington, DC 20009, USA www.hbfus.org Part 1 Reaction in Germany after Fukushima driven by… Foto: Anti-Atom-Treck 2010 1. Concerns on Nuclear 2. Credibility of Renewables 3. Politics

4. Heinrich Böll Foundation North America 1638 R Street, NW, Suite 120 Washington, DC 20009, USA www.hbfus.org German reaction after Fukushima driven by Chernobyl 1986 new risk assessment 17 old NPP, 80 Million Germany ½ the size of Texas

5. Heinrich Böll Foundation North America 1638 R Street, NW, Suite 120 Washington, DC 20009, USA www.hbfus.org Source:BMUBMU

6. Heinrich Böll Foundation North America 1638 R Street, NW, Suite 120 Washington, DC 20009, USA www.hbfus.org 6 Jobs: Renewable Energy vs. Lignite Coal Germany, 2004-2010

7. Heinrich Böll Foundation North America 1638 R Street, NW, Suite 120 Washington, DC 20009, USA www.hbfus.org Part 2 Gradual Phase-Out by 2022

8. Heinrich Böll Foundation North America 1638 R Street, NW, Suite 120 Washington, DC 20009, USA www.hbfus.org Power Generation in Germany (2010) Friday, May 28, 2010 Source: AG Energiebilanzen

9. Heinrich Böll Foundation North America 1638 R Street, NW, Suite 120 Washington, DC 20009, USA www.hbfus.org Before Fukushima: 17 NPP operating up to 2032 providing 22% of power ~20 GW installed capacity After Fukushima: Immediate shutdown of 8NPP gradual phase-out by 2022 of remaining 9 NPP Nuclear Phase-Out by 2022…

10. Heinrich Böll Foundation North America 1638 R Street, NW, Suite 120 Washington, DC 20009, USA www.hbfus.org Part 3 So what about… …energy costs? …power shortages & imports? … CO2 emissions?

11. Heinrich Böll Foundation North America 1638 R Street, NW, Suite 120 Washington, DC 20009, USA www.hbfus.org Expensive Renewable Energy? No, but modest price tag for ratepayers InstituteCommissioned byEstimated rate increase SRU-0,4 ECent/kWh Eco-InstituteWWF0,5 ECent/kWh RWI/EWIFed Government0,5 ECent/kWh PrognosFed of Bavarian Industry 0,6 ECent/kWh R2BBDI/Chamber of C0,9 ECent/kWh DIW-1,2 ECent/kWh Source: MdB Hans-Josef Fell

12. Heinrich Böll Foundation North America 1638 R Street, NW, Suite 120 Washington, DC 20009, USA www.hbfus.org Friday, May 28, 2010 Nuclear is costly: (Subsidy Billions of Euros since 1970) Hard CoalNuclear Power LigniteRenewables Source: Green Budget Germany

13. Heinrich Böll Foundation North America 1638 R Street, NW, Suite 120 Washington, DC 20009, USA www.hbfus.org Increasing electricity imports? Not as a net exporter

14. Heinrich Böll Foundation North America 1638 R Street, NW, Suite 120 Washington, DC 20009, USA www.hbfus.org Increasing emissions? Not with carbon cap on power sector Friday, May 28, 2010 Mio t CO 2 Source: BMU

15. Heinrich Böll Foundation North America 1638 R Street, NW, Suite 120 Washington, DC 20009, USA www.hbfus.org Increasing emissions? Not with long-term climate targets Friday, May 28, 2010 GHG Emissions Source: BMU

16. Heinrich Böll Foundation North America 1638 R Street, NW, Suite 120 Washington, DC 20009, USA www.hbfus.org Part 4 Outlook 2020 – 2050 On the Way to a Renewable Energy Economy

17. Heinrich Böll Foundation North America 1638 R Street, NW, Suite 120 Washington, DC 20009, USA www.hbfus.org Key Climate and Energy Policies Ecological tax reform (1999-2003) Renewable Energy Act (2000) Nuclear Phase Out (2001-2022) Cap and trade (2005) Integrated Climate and Energy Program (2007) Renewable Energy Action Plan (2010) Energy concept 2050 (2010) 17

18. Heinrich Böll Foundation North America 1638 R Street, NW, Suite 120 Washington, DC 20009, USA www.hbfus.org Goal: 80% to 100% Renewable Energies by 2050

19. Heinrich Böll Foundation North America 1638 R Street, NW, Suite 120 Washington, DC 20009, USA www.hbfus.org Energy concept 2050: The road to the renewable era Source:BMUBMU

20. Heinrich Böll Foundation North America 1638 R Street, NW, Suite 120 Washington, DC 20009, USA www.hbfus.org Thank you for your attention! 20 Arne Jungjohann Heinrich Boell Foundation, Washington DC Arne.Jungjohann@us.boell.org