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Policy Responses to Demographic Change
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Population Policies Pro-natalist / Expansive
Anti-natalist / Restrictive
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Why would a country want
a pro-natalist policy ?
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Why would a country want an
anti-natalist policy ?
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Population Policies Expansion Policies Encourage large families
Tax incentives Eugenic Policies Policies designed to favor one sector over another
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Population Policies Restrictive Policies
Toleration of unapproved birth control Prohibition of large families
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Population Control Obstacles Manufacture/distribution expense Religion
Low female status Preference for male children
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Birth Control Programs
One family/one child policies Female infanticide Social compensation fees Sterilization Loss of status Termination healthcare/food coupons Free birth control Increased literacy
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Limitations of Population Policies
Urbanization and industrialization more effective than restrictive properties Education of women helps more than sex education (1 year education = reduces fertility by 5-10 percent) Restricting immigration ages a population
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Japan vs. China
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Japan – Post WWII Refugees return from colonies
Soldiers return home to families American occupation improved medical stuff Birth rate increased and death rate dropped
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Japan – Eugenic Protection Act
Legalized abortions for social, medical, and economic reasons Contraceptives were made available Enormous abortions brought down the birth rate BR +34 per 1000 in 1947 BR 18 per 1000 in 1957
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Japan – Expansionary Policy
1991 – government encouraged parents to have larger families Immigration restrictions limit influx of younger workers Will probably use technology to improve productivity Japan on the road to negative growth
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Japan – Aging Crisis 23,000 – Centenarians Grows by 13% annually
Oldest member 114
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Japan – Economic Impact
Under 100 million people by the middle of the century 30 million fewer workers at a time when the number of elderly will have almost doubled By 2050, if the birth rate remains the same people over 60 will make up over 30% of the population
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China – Under Mao Mao Zedong was against population control
Following Mao’s death in 1979 the government introduced population controls
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China – One Child Policy
1979 Policy to encourage couples to have one child Applied loosely at first, which did not work Restrictions tightened in 1982 Created dramatic reduction in the birth rate
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One Child Policy 1979 - rewards start once 1 child contract is signed
free medical care free daycare and schooling guaranteed job for child bonuses for parents extra maternity leave better housing bigger old age pension Penalties must repay financial benefits educational, medical benefits, & guaranteed jobs are withdrawn parents’ wages reduced
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Penalties and hardships of the one-child policy
Farming families had no extra labor and defied authorities Gov’t fired offenders from jobs
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80,000 Family Planning Workers
source: Practice birth control for the revolution
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source: http://www.iisg.nl/~landsberger/pop1.html
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source: http://www.iisg.nl/~landsberger/pop1.html
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Millions of dollars have been spent on education and on advertising.
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Carry out family planning Implement the basic national policy
Carry out family planning Implement the basic national policy
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Clever and pretty healthy and lovely
source:
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Why do the posters often suggest an
association between economic prosperity and happy 1 child families ?
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China – Social Impact Female infanticide
Over 300,000 more males survive than females Future males will substantially outnumber females Social consequences are unknown
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How many missing girls are there in the under 20 categories ?
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China – Relaxation of Policy
1984 – regulations loosened Weakened enforcement Peasants with rising incomes would pay the fines for births 2000 Growth rate = .9%
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The End!
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