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Industrials By: Brandon Harlow, Bhavik Khandhar, Tracy Marsolo & Matt Shubeck
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Agenda Sector Analysis Business Analysis Economic Analysis Financial Analysis Valuation Analysis Recommendation Q&A
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Industrials currently underweight in SIM Portfolio by 100 basis points. Sector Analysis
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Sector’s Performance as of 5/6/09 MTDQTDYTD Energy 8.46%13.68%-0.05% Materials 5.65%21.59%18.17% Industrials 6.33%25.17%-2.08% Consumer Discretionary 3.65%22.86%12.28% Consumer Staples 1.88%4.97%-6.90% Health Care 2.01%1.10%-7.51% Financials 15.64%41.28%-0.39% Info Tech 2.10%14.40%18.92% Telecomm 4.25%6.58%-2.45% Utilities 3.59%4.03%-8.31%
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Industries in Industrials Trucking Trade Cos & Dist Services-Office/Supp Services-Environmental Services-Employment Research & Consulting Railroads Machinery Industrial Machinery Const/Farm Ind'l Conglomerates Electrical Component Diversified Supp Ser Construct. & Engineer. Commercial Printing Building Products Airlines Airfreight & Logistics Aerospace/Defense
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10 Biggest Stocks in Industrials General Electric Caterpillar Southwest Airlines Textron Honeywell Int'l CSX Corp Boeing United Technologies Union Pacific UPS Top 10 make up 59.28% of Industrials 36.11% 4.39% 3.14% 2.66% 2.51% 2.26% 2.11% 2.07% 2.05% 1.98%
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Business Analysis
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Phases of Lifecycle Most companies are established companies competing with a few major competitors. Industrial Sector
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Industrial’s Price vs. S&P 500
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Manufacturer’s Inventories
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Industrial Production, Capacity, & Utilization
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Economic Analysis
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Industry and Economic Life Cycle
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Financial Analysis
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Net Profit Margin
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ROE
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EPS YOY Growth
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Trailing P/E Relative to S&P 500
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Forward P/E Relative to S&P 500
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P/CF Relative to S&P 500
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P/B Relative to S&P 500
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Valuation Analysis
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Specific Industries in Sector Recommend Industrial Conglomerates Electrical Components Avoid Service-Employment Building Products Airlines
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Industrials vs. S&P 500 P/E1.20.661.10.73 P/S1.10.810.9 P/B1.40.91.1 P/CF1.20.81.10.9 Industrials Sector HighLowMedianCurrent P/E30.57.120.49.7 P/S1.90.61.50.8 P/B6.11.43.32.3 P/CF16.74.9126.7
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Conglomerates
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Electrical Components
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Services-Employment HighLowMedianCurrent P/E1582.37.730.113.3 P/S3.2.51.9.9 P/B10.1.75.22.6 P/CF49.75.821.610
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Building Products
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Airlines
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Final Recommendation Increase position in portfolio by 100 basis points. Match the S&P 500
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Q & A
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