1. COMPOEX (COnflict Modeling, Planning, and Outcomes EXperimentation) BAE Systems Dr. Craig Lawrence craig.t.lawrence@baesystems.com URL for more detail Organization, tool and/or project logos This information has been approved for Unlimited Distribution and has been previously published following DISTAR review. ©2009, Materials are the copyright of the individual contributors and organizations they belong to. Use on the OpenVCE.net public web site and online facilities for open access is approved. Other permitted use of the materials is not implied.

2. Campaign Planning Tool Option Exploration Tool Conflict Space Modeling Tool COMPOEX 1. Sources (ONA database, SIPRNet, Open Source Center, MIDB, others) are searched to extract and organize PMESII information… 2. … to help construct models of the power struggle, economy, infrastructure and information environments 4. Commanders and Interagency planners explore the models to understand the dynamics and develop Courses of Action (typically 5-10 lines of effort with over a hundred discrete actions) to achieve specified effects (typically 50-100 effects). 3. Conceptual models are translated to a multi-resolution (typically 3-4 levels for a country system) computational simulation tailored from a Generic Model Library Lines of Effort DIME Actions 5. Results of simulations are presented as effects (typically 200- 1000 effects in a 6-month period) across the PMESII spectrum of over 1500 variables – showing interactions among the systems and traceable causal paths. Generic PMESII Model Library ONA SIPR NATO OSC Plans Effects Over 40 Generic Models of PMESII Systems A typical 3-level simulation has over 2500 dynamic casual relationships changing on one-week time steps for a 6-12 month simulation period. COMPOEX Tools and Workflow 1 2 4 5 Source, Waltz, Ed, “Situation Analysis and Collaborative Planning for Complex Operations” in Proc.13th International Command and Control Research Symposium, Office of Assistant Secretary of Defense, June 17-19, 2008.

3. COMPOEX Tool: Campaign Planning Tool BAE Systems Dr. Craig Lawrence craig.t.lawrence@baesystems.com URL for more detail This information has been approved for Unlimited Distribution and has been previously published following DISTAR review. ©2009, Materials are the copyright of the individual contributors and organizations they belong to. Use on the OpenVCE.net public web site and online facilities for open access is approved. Other permitted use of the materials is not implied.

4. Campaign Planning Tool Enables modular development of multiple lines of effort Automatically detects and displays interdependencies, assumptions, resources, actions, duration of effects, metrics and next state Ability to modify plans, actions, interdependencies, models and next states based on measured performance Displays an operational campaign plan utilizing all elements of power Source: Kott, Alexander and Corpac, Peter, Technology To Assist Leaders in Planning And Executing Campaigns In Complex Operational Environments Conflict Modeling, Planning and Outcomes Experimentation Program (COMPOEX), in Proc. of 12th International Command and Control Research Symposium, Office of Assistant Secretary of Defense, 19 June 2007.

5. COMPOEX Tool: Option Exploration Simulation Tool BAE Systems Dr. Craig Lawrence craig.t.lawrence@baesystems.com URL for more detail This information has been approved for Unlimited Distribution and has been previously published following DISTAR review. ©2009, Materials are the copyright of the individual contributors and organizations they belong to. Use on the OpenVCE.net public web site and online facilities for open access is approved. Other permitted use of the materials is not implied.

6. PMESII State Vector (Backplane) Econ- omic Models Infra- structure Models Visual- ization Services Infor- mation Models Rule of Law, Security Models Plan Service CAMPAIGN PLANNING TOOL OPTION EXPLORATION SIMULATION Political-Social Power Structure Model Implementing actions distributed to models Entry time-scheduled actions; identify action dependencies Organize actions by Lines of Effort (LOE) Specify the attributes of each specific action, the target of action and the initiator of the action Each output variable is compared to a reference baseline Option Exploration Simulation Tool PMESII dynamics graphs in custom user-created views; automated detection of effects across all variables Source, Waltz, Ed, “Situation Analysis and Collaborative Planning for Complex Operations” in Proc.13th International Command and Control Research Symposium, Office of Assistant Secretary of Defense, June 17- 19, 2008.

7. COMPOEX Tool: Model Library BAE Systems Dr. Craig Lawrence craig.t.lawrence@baesystems.com URL for more detail This information has been approved for Unlimited Distribution and has been previously published following DISTAR review. ©2009, Materials are the copyright of the individual contributors and organizations they belong to. Use on the OpenVCE.net public web site and online facilities for open access is approved. Other permitted use of the materials is not implied.

8. Model Library Model Library Catalog, organized by the PMESII domains, containing pre- built models at different levels of granularity for integration within composed models Source, Waltz, Ed, “Situation Analysis and Collaborative Planning for Complex Operations” in Proc.13th International Command and Control Research Symposium, Office of Assistant Secretary of Defense, June 17-19, 2008.

9. COMPOEX Modeling Tools BAE Systems Dr. Craig Lawrence craig.t.lawrence@baesystems.com URL for more detail This information has been approved for Unlimited Distribution and has been previously published following DISTAR review. ©2009, Materials are the copyright of the individual contributors and organizations they belong to. Use on the OpenVCE.net public web site and online facilities for open access is approved. Other permitted use of the materials is not implied.

10. Model-Building Tools COMPOEX allows the composition of the major categories of simulation models) that represent: Non-physical human systems (political and social domains, and the structure of power and competitions for power) Physical systems (including economic systems of production- consumption, infrastructure, information flows, etc.). Typical model-building tools include those to the right Source, Waltz, Ed, “Situation Analysis and Collaborative Planning for Complex Operations” in Proc.13th International Command and Control Research Symposium, Office of Assistant Secretary of Defense, June 17-19, 2008. Sandbox: Conceptual Model- building PSTK: Power Struggle agent model-building Vensim™: System Dynamics Model- Building Netica™ Bayes Net Model-building