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Macroeconomics precourse – Part 2 Academic Year 2013-2014 Course Presentation This course aims to prepare students for the Macroeconomics course of the MSc in BA. It provides the essential background in macroeconomics 1 PAOLO PAESANI Office: Room B6, 3RD floor, Building B Telephone: 06-72595701 E-mail: paolo.paesani@uniroma2.it Office hours: to be agreed
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Macro 2 EMPLOYMENT AND UNEMPLOYMENT POP = LF + NLF LF = Employed + Unemployed Unemployed = Voluntary + Involuntary + Frictional NLF = Young ( 70) + Others (15 << 70)
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Mic ro 3 Mankiw (2011)
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Macro 4 MONEY Mankiw (2011)
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Macro Money supply (M) = Currency (C) + bank deposits (D) Bank deposits (D) = current account deposits D(1) + saving deposits D(2) Monetary base (B) = Currency + Required Bank reserves (R1) + Voluntary reserves (R2) Monetary aggregates 5 MONEY Mankiw (2011) GOVERNMENT
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Micro 1. M = C + D 2. B = C + R 3. C = c D c > 0 4. R = R1 + R2 = aD + bD = (a+b)D 0 < (a+b) < 1 M = [(1+c) / (a + b + c)] B [(1+c) / (a + b + c)] = Money multiplier 6 MONEY GOVERNMENT
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Macro Every economic system is linked to the others through multiple channels: 1.International trade of goods and services (Exports and Imports); 2.International mobility of factors of production (migration, foreign direct investment); 3.Private international financial flows (portfolio investment, forex transactions) 4.Public international financial flows (management of official forex reserves, interntional aid, international transfers) 7 MONEY GOVERNMENT
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Macro Every economic system is linked to the others through multiple channels: 1.International trade of goods and services (Exports and Imports); 2.International mobility of factors of production (migration, foreign direct investment); 3.Private international financial flows (portfolio investment, forex transactions) 4.Public international financial flows (management of official forex reserves, interntional aid, international transfers) 8 MONEY GOVERNMENT
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Macro 9 MONEY
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Macro 10 INTEREST RATE Nominal interest rate = price of money over time = Additional sum of money the borrower agrees to pay, on top of the loaned amount, to the original lender or to the current owner of the loan. Nominal interest rate = Real interest rate + Expected inflation + Credit risk premium + Liquidity premium + Other risk premiums Real interest rate (ex ante) = Nominal interest rate – Expected inflation Real interest rate (ex post) = Nominal interest rate – Actual inflation If current inflation exceeds (falls short) of expected inflation, the ex post real interest rate is higher than the ex ante real interest rate.
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Macro 11 INTEREST RATE Mankiw (2011)
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Macro 12 EXCHANGE RATE Nominal exchange rate = price of one currency in terms of another currency = Amount of foreign currency per unit of domestic currency Real exchange rate = (Nominal interest rate *– Domestic price leve) / Foreign price level Nominal and real exhange rate can be bilateral or multilateral (effective) Appreciation = Nominal Exchange rate up (in nominal and real terms) Depreciation = Nominal Exchange rate down (in nominal and real terms)
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Macro 13 REFERENCE Mankiw, G.N. (2010) Brief Principles of Macroeconomics, 6° ed.,
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