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SAMPLE DESIGN: HOW MANY WILL BE IN THE SAMPLE—SAMPLE SIZE ADJUSTMENTS?

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Presentation on theme: "SAMPLE DESIGN: HOW MANY WILL BE IN THE SAMPLE—SAMPLE SIZE ADJUSTMENTS?"— Presentation transcript:

1 SAMPLE DESIGN: HOW MANY WILL BE IN THE SAMPLE—SAMPLE SIZE ADJUSTMENTS?
Lu Ann Aday, Ph.D. The University of Texas School of Public Health

2 SAMPLE SIZE ADJUSTMENT: Based on Population Size
Finite population correction (fpc) Formula: (1-n/N), where, n = sample size N = population size Meaning: mirrors the extent to which the sample (n) represents a small or large proportion of the population (N)

3 SAMPLE SIZE ADJUSTMENT: Based on Population Size
Finite population correction (fpc) Examples Where n = 100, & N = 10,000 n/N = 100/10,000 = .01 fpc = = .99 Where n = 100, & N = 300 n/N = 100/300 = .333 fpc = = .667

4 SAMPLE SIZE ADJUSTMENT: Based on Population Size
Adjustment to Standard Error (SE) based on finite population correction (fpc) Formula: SE = sqrt [(1-n/N) * s2/n] Implications: The higher the proportion a sample represents of the population (n/N) (e.g., 100/300=.333), then the lower the fpc (e.g., = .667) and the Standard Error (SE) of estimates based on the sample. Therefore, fewer cases are needed in the sample because of its greater precision (lower Standard Errors).

5 SAMPLE SIZE ADJUSTMENT: Based on Population Size
Formula for Sample Size Adjustment based on fpc: nadj = n/(1 + (n-1)/N), where, n = computed sample n N = size of Population Example: nadj = 384/(1 + (384-1)/100) 384/(1 + (383)/100) 384/4.83 80

6 SAMPLE SIZE ADJUSTMENT: Based on Population Size
Sample n: P1= .50; P2= .50 Sample n: P1= .80; P2= .20 100 80 71 250 152 124 500 217 165 750 254 185 1,000 278 198 2,500 333 224 5,000 357 234 10,000 370 240 25,000 378 244 50,000 381 245 100,000 383 1,000,000 384 246 100,000,000

7 SAMPLE SIZE ADJUSTMENT: Design Effect
Variances: Deff = varcs/varsrs, where, Deff = design effect varcs = variance for complex (cluster) sample varsrs = variance for simple random sample If Deff, then, Deff none = 1.0 low = > medium = high = > 2.0

8 SAMPLE SIZE ADJUSTMENT: Design Effect
Formula: Deff = 1 + (b-1) roh, where, Deff = design effect b = cluster size roh = rate of homogeneity (intra-cluster correlation) none = 0 low = < .10 medium = high = > .20

9 SAMPLE SIZE ADJUSTMENT: Proportion Eligible
Formula: Pe = ne/n, where, ne = number in sample that meet eligibility criteria n = sample size

10 SAMPLE SIZE ADJUSTMENT: Response Rate
Formula: RR = nc/ ne, where, RR = response rate nc = number of completed interviews ne = number in sample that meet eligibility criteria

11 SAMPLE SIZE ADJUSTMENTS: Computations to Adjust n
Criteria Population size (N) Design effect (Deff) Proportion eligible (Pe) Response rate (RR) Example (Estimate) n/(1 + (n-1)/N) = 80 nadj * Deff = 80 * 1.3 = 104 nadj/Pe = 104/.90 = 115 nadj/RR= 115/.80 =144

12 WEIGHTING THE DATA: Adjusting for Disproportionate Sampling
STRATA/ WEIGHT African American Hispanic TOTAL POPULATION (N) 90, (90%) 10, (10%) 100,000 (100%) SAMPLE (n/N) 1/100 = 900 (81.8%) 1/50 = 200 (18.2%) 1,100 (100%) EXPANSION WEIGHT (N/n) 100/1 * 900 = 90,000 (90%) 50/1 * 200 = 10,000 (10%) RELATIVE WEIGHT (Total N/Total n= 100,000/1,100 =90.9) 100/90.9 * 900 = (90%) 50/90.9 *200 = 110

13 WEIGHTING THE DATA: Adjusting for Nonresponse &/or Noncoverage
STRATA/ WEIGHT African American (RR=720/900=.80) Hispanic (RR=140/200 =.70) RESPONSE RATE WEIGHT (Applied to Relative Weight) 720 * (100/90.9)/.80= 720 * 1.1/.80= 720 * 1.375= 990 140 * (50/90.9)/.70= 140 * .55/.70= 140 * .786= 110 POST-STRATIFICATION WEIGHT Population (%) Sample (%) Weight Poor Nonpoor 5% % 3% % 15% % 5% %

14 SURVEY ERRORS: Deciding How Many Will Be in the Sample
Systematic Errors Variable Errors Noncoverage bias Unit nonresponse bias Weighting errors Standard errors Design effects Solutions to Errors Construct and apply poststratification weights. Construct and apply nonresponse Construct and apply disproportionate sampling weights (when applicable). Compute the sample size required to have a desired level of precision or power in addressing the study objectives. Apply adjustments to increase the sample size as needed. When using complex, especially cluster sample, designs, incorporate design effects in estimating the required sample size, and in analyzing the data.

15 REFERENCES Bennett, S., Woods, T., Liyanage, W.M., & Smith, D.L. (1991). A simplified general method for cluster-sample surveys of health in developing countries. World Health Statistics Quarterly 44: Dillman, Don A. (2000). Mail and Internet Surveys: The Tailored Design Method. Second Edition. New York: John Wiley & Sons, Inc.


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