1. Colonel Peter Schneider, 01.10.09 Future Threats, Dangers and Risks seen by a neutral State ATHENA 09

2.  Classic military threats  New military risks and threats  Non-military dangers and risks

6. ACTIVE ENDEAVOUR KFOR, Sarajevo HQ, Skopje HQIraq NTM-I ISAF Allied Protector EUFOR-ALTHEA, EUPM BiH EULEX KOSOVO EU BAM Rafah EUPOL COPPS EUPOL DR CONGO EUSEC DR CONGO EUJUST LEX Iraq EUPOL AFGHANISTAN EU SSR Guinea-Bissau EUBAM EU NAVFOR Somalia EUMM Georgia

10. Tokyo, 20.03.1995

15. 1600 2 4 8 6 19002000 1800 1950 2050

17. 100 % 80 8 204020102020 2000 20302050 2 6 8 4 bio 100 % 85 33

19. Energy consumption 11.0% 5.4% 33.8% 27.2% 22.6%

20. Pandemic < 0.1 % 0.1 – 0.5 % 0.5 – 1 % 1 – 5 % 5 – 15 % 15 – 34 % % Adults with HIV Infection (33 - 46 million)

23. 0-14 30-44 15-29 45-59 60-74 75+ 0103020 [%] 01020 [%] 30 MaleFemale Population Age Distribution: Germany 2050

24.  Taxes  Birthrates  Immigration  Aging Population  Lower Birthrates  Elder Parents