1. 2012 Political Landscape

2. 2012 S ENATE D EMOCRATIC D ASHBOARD SAFE D PROBABLY D ????????PROBABLY R SAFE R Feinstein Carper Hawaii-Open Cardin Klobuchar Menendez Gillibrand Whitehouse Sanders Connecticut- Open Stabenow Casey Cantwell Brown Manchin McCaskill Tester New Mexico- Open Virginia-Open Wisconsin-Open Nelson (FL) North Dakota-Open Nelson (NE) NINESIX TWOZERO

3. 2012 S ENATE R EPUBLICAN D ASHBOARD SAFE D PROBABLY D ?????????PROBABLY R SAFE R Heller Brown Arizona-Open Lugar Snowe Texas-Open Wicker Corker Hatch- seat Barasso Nebraska-Open ZERO TWOFOURFIVE

4.  Democrats need a gain of 26 seats in the House to win the Majority.  33 Seats being vacated (20D, 13R).  Dem gains likely; Dem takeover highly unlikely. Running for Senate (6D, 5R) Running for Other Office (2D, 2R) Retiring (9D, 5R) Resigned (3D, 1R) The Fight for 218 Votes in the House

5. States to Watch  Florida: Adding 2 (likely Dem) seats  Illinois: Losing 1 seat, but Rs losing advantage in three more  California: No new seats, but Dems likely gain advantage in at least 2 R seats  North Carolina: No new seats, but Rs gaining advantage in at least 3 seats Who Controls Re-Districting? (By District) Republicans: 202 Democrats: 47 Bi-Partisan: 92 Divided: 87 At Large: 7 Redistricting Impact on 2012 House Elections

6. AR 4 (Open) NC 11 (Schuler) AZ 9 (NEW) CA 21 (Open) NC 13 (Open)NV 4 (NEW) GA 12 (Barrow)NY 1 (Bishop)SC 7 (NEW) IN 2 (Open) NY 23 (Owens)WA 10 (NEW) KY 6 (Chandler)PA 12 (Crtiz v Altmire) NC 7 (McIntyre)OK 2 (Open) NC 8 (Kissell) UT 4 (Matheson) Republican House Targets: Vulnerable Democratic Seats

7. CA 19 (Denham) NH 1 (Guinta)PA 8 (Fitzpatrick) FL 22 (West)NH 2 (Bass)PA 7 (Meehan) IL 13 (Biggert)NJ 3 (Runyan)PA 11 (Barletta) IL 10 (Dold)NY 13 (Grimm)TX 23 (Conseco) IL 17 (Schilling)OH 18 (Gibbs)VA 2 (Rigell) IA 3 (Latham)OH 6 (Johnson)WI 7 (Duffy) NV 3 (Heck) OH 16 (Renacci) Democratic House Targets: Vulnerable Republican Seats