1. SuperCities and SuperGrids: A Vision for Long-term Sustainable and Environmentally Compatible Energy Paul M. Grant EPRI Science Fellow (retired) IBM Research Staff Member Emeritus Principal, W2AGZ Technologies w2agz@pacbell.net www.w2agz.com Fuel Cell and Hydrogen Energy Seminar 15 December 2004 CLP Research Institute Hong Kong, PRC (SAR)

2. Journey to the West Paul Grant goes to China seeking wisdom …

3. “A wise Communist will not be afraid of learning from a capitalist.” “I have seen the future…and it works!” Lincoln Steffens, 1920 V. I. Lenin, 1922 Epiphanies Undergone…

5. Xue Yuyang Yao Ming

6. Earth at Night - 2000

7. Earth at Night - 2050

8. US Energy Consumption (2001)

9. US Oil Imports (2003)

10. Hydrogen for US Surface Transportation Hydrogen per Day TonnesShuttlesHindenburgs 230,0002,22512,787 Water per Day TonnesMeters of Lake Tahoe 2,055,3830.93 The "25% 80-80-80 400 GW" Scenario http://www.w2agz.com

11. Hydrogen for US Surface Transportation The "25% 80-80-80 400 GW" Scenario http://www.w2agz.com Renewable Land Area Requirements TechnologyArea (km 2 )Equivalent Wind130,000New York State Solar20,00050% Denmark Death Valley + Mojave Biomass271,9153% USA State of Nevada

12. China-USA Electricity Statistics (2001) Source (CIA & EIA) Production Source (%)ChinaUSA (NA) Fossil80.271.4 (15% NG) Hydro18.55.6 Other0.12.3 Nuclear1.220.0 Annual Producton (TkWh) 1.423.72

13. China – Installed Generation Capacity 400 GW USA: ~ 1050 GW

16. China “Factoid” Current Population: 1.3 Billion Souls All want to live like Americans Chinese Family Priorities: –(1) TV, (2) Washer, (3) Fridge… –Next an Air Conditioner (200 USD, 1 kW) Assume an average family size of three, then… An extra 500 GW of generation capacity must be added just to keep them cool!

17. China-USA Recoverable Coal Reserves (2002) Million Short TonsYears Left* China126,215273 USA (NA)280,464309 One Short Ton = 6150 kWh Efficiency Conversion – 40%

18. US Natural Gas Imports (BCF, 2003) 22,000

19. The 21 st Century Energy Challenge Design a communal energy economy to meet the needs of a densely populated industrialized world that reaches all corners of Planet Earth. Accomplish this within the highest levels of environmental, esthetic, safe, reliable, efficient and secure engineering practice possible. …without requiring any new scientific discoveries or breakthroughs!

20. “Boundary Conditions”

21. A Symbiosis of Nuclear/Hydrogen/Superconductivity Technologies supplying Carbon-free, Non-Intrusive Energy for all Inhabitants of Planet Earth Its Solution

22. Past & Future Energy Supply Year (Modern Era) Relative Units Fission Hydrogen

24. The Hydrogen Economy You have to make it, just like electricity Electricity can make H 2, and H 2 can make electricity (2H 2 O  2H 2 + O 2 ) You have to make a lot of it You can make it cold, - 419 F (21 K) P.M. Grant, “Hydrogen lifts off…with a heavy load,” Nature 424, 129 (2003)

25. P.M. Grant, The Industrial Physicist, Feb/March Issue, 2002 Supermarket School Home Family Car DNA-to-order.com Nuclear plant H2H2 H2H2 HTSC/MgB 2 SuperCity

26. Reading Assignment 1.Garwin and Matisoo, 1967 (100 GW on Nb 3 Sn)Garwin and Matisoo 2.Bartlit, Edeskuty and Hammel, 1972 (LH 2, LNG and 1 GW on LTSC)Bartlit, Edeskuty and Hammel 3.Haney and Hammond, 1977 (Slush LH 2 and Nb 3 Ge)Haney and Hammond 4.Schoenung, Hassenzahl and Grant, 1997 (5 GW on HTSC, 1000 km)Schoenung, Hassenzahl and Grant 5.Grant, 2002 (SuperCity, Nukes+LH 2 +HTSC)Grant 6.Proceedings, SuperGrid Workshop, 2002Proceedings These articles, and much more, can be found at www.w2agz.com, sub-pages SuperGrid/Bibliography www.w2agz.comSuperGrid/Bibliography

27. Diablo Canyon

28. California Coast Power Diablo Canyon 2200 MW Power Plant Wind Farm Equivalent

29. Co-Production of Hydrogen and Electricity Source: INEL & General Atomics Reactor Vessel O2O2

30. Source: General Atomics Nuclear “Hydricity” Production Farm

31. The Discovery of Superconductivity Leiden, 1914 Zürich, 1986

32. T C vs Year: 1991 - 2001 190019201940196019802000 0 50 100 150 200 Temperature, T C (K) Year Low-T C High-T C 164 K MgB 2

33. Oxide PowderMechanically Alloyed Precursor 1.Powder Preparation HTSC Wire Can Be Made! A. Extrusion B. Wire Draw C. Rolling Deformation & Processing 3. Oxidation - Heat Treat 4. Billet Packing & Sealing 2. But it’s 70% silver!

34. Finished Cable

35. Innost/Innopower Cable

36. Puji Substation (Kunming City)

37. Reading Assignment 1.Garwin and Matisoo, 1967 (100 GW on Nb 3 Sn)Garwin and Matisoo 2.Bartlit, Edeskuty and Hammel, 1972 (LH 2, LNG and 1 GW on LTSC)Bartlit, Edeskuty and Hammel 3.Haney and Hammond, 1977 (Slush LH 2 and Nb 3 Ge)Haney and Hammond 4.Schoenung, Hassenzahl and Grant, 1997 (5 GW on HTSC, 1000 km)Schoenung, Hassenzahl and Grant 5.Grant, 2002 (SuperCity, Nukes+LH 2 +HTSC)Grant 6.Proceedings, SuperGrid Workshop, 2002Proceedings These articles, and much more, can be found at www.w2agz.com, sub-pages SuperGrid/Bibliography www.w2agz.comSuperGrid/Bibliography

38. 1967: SC Cable Proposed! 100 GW dc, 1000 km !

39. “Hydricity” SuperCables +v I -v I H2H2 H2H2 Circuit #1 +v I -v I H2H2 H2H2 Circuit #2 Multiple circuits can be laid in single trench

40. SuperCable

41. Power Flows P SC = 2|V|JA SC, where P SC = Electric power flow V = Voltage to neutral (ground) J = Supercurrent density A SC = Cross-sectional area of superconducting annulus Electricity P H2 = 2(QρvA) H2, where P H2 = Chemical power flow Q = Gibbs H 2 oxidation energy (2.46 eV per mol H 2 ) ρ = H 2 Density v = H 2 Flow Rate A = Cross-sectional area of H 2 cryotube Hydrogen

42. Power Flows: 5 GW e /10 GW th

43. Radiation Losses W R = 0.5εσ (T 4 amb – T 4 SC ), where W R = Power radiated in as watts/unit area σ = 5.67×10 -12 W/cm 2 K 4 T amb = 300 K T SC = 20 K ε = 0.05 per inner and outer tube surface D H = 45.3 cm W R = 16.3 W/m Superinsulation: W R f = W R /(n-1), where n = number of layers = 10 Net Heat In-Leak Due to Radiation = 1.8 W/m

44. Fluid Friction Losses W loss = M P loss / , Where M = mass flow per unit length P loss = pressure loss per unit length  = fluid density FluidRe  (mm) D H (cm)v (m/s)  P (atm/10 km) Power Loss (W/m) H (20K)2.08 x 10 6 0.01545.34.762.03.2

45. Heat Removal dT/dx = W T /(ρvC P A) H2, where dT/dx = Temp rise along cable, K/m W T = Thermal in-leak per unit Length ρ = H 2 Density v = H 2 Flow Rate C P = H 2 Heat Capacity A = Cross-sectional area of H 2 cryotube SuperCable Losses (W/M)K/10km RadiativeFrictionac LossesConductiveTotaldT/dx 1.83.211710 -2

46. SuperCable H 2 Storage Some Storage Factoids Power (GW) Storage (hrs)Energy (GWh) TVA Raccoon Mountain1.62032 Scaled ETM SMES188 One Raccoon Mountain = 13,800 cubic meters of LH2 LH 2 in 45 cm diameter, 20 km bipolar SuperCable = Raccoon Mountain

47. H 2 Gas at 77 K and 1850 psia has 50% of the energy content of liquid H 2 and 100% at 6800 psia

48. “Hybrid” SuperCable

50. Al-Can Gas Pipeline Proposals

51. Mackenzie Valley Pipeline 1300 km 18 GW-thermal

52. Electrical Insulation “Super- Insulation” Superconductor LNG @ 105 K 1 atm (14.7 psia) Liquid Nitrogen @ 77 K Thermal Barrier to LNG LNG SuperCable

53. Electrical Issues Voltage – current tradeoffs –“Cold” vs “Warm” Dielectric AC interface (phases) –Generate dc? Multipole, low rpm units (aka hydro) Ripple suppression –Filters Cryogenics –Pulse Tubes –“Cryobreaks” Mag Field Forces Splices (R = 0?) Charge/Discharge cycles (Faults!) Power Electronics –GTOs vs IGBTs –12” wafer platforms –Cryo-Bipolars

54. Construction Issues Pipe Lengths & Diameters (Transportation) Coax vs RTD Rigid vs Flexible? On-Site Manufacturing –Conductor winding (3-4 pipe lengths) –Vacuum: permanently sealed or actively pumped? Joints –Superconducting –Welds –Thermal Expansion (bellows)

55. SuperCable Prototype Project H2H2 e–e– H 2 Storage SMES Cryo I/C Station 500 m Prototype “Appropriate National Laboratory” 2005-09

56. Regional System Interconnections

57. China: Present

58. China: 2015 - 2020

60. The Vision of Prof. Zheng-He Han !

61. Postcard from China Helping to Promote US – Chinese Relations ------------------------------------- Glad you’re not here, Dr. Grant & Friend ------------------------------------- Stone Forest Yunan Province, PRC June, 2004

62. Will China Build the World’s First SuperGrid?