1. Rural schools data and resource project Main Goal: To provide rural districts in NYS an integrated resource for informed decision-making

2. Today’s presentation will include: What already exists: – Brief overview of 3 broad data resources for communities and school districts: PAD (Cornell Program on Applied Demographics) American Factfinder (US Census data) NCES (Census, Financial, and Administrative data) What we hope to develop: – An integrated data base which includes enrollment trends, projections, community and regional demographics, financial and administrative data Feedback from you – What would be most helpful? – What data do you need? – What is the best way for us to provide access, display, and help in interpreting data?

3. http://pad.human.cornell.edu/

4. PAD Data

5. PAD Data - Profiles Options: Population and housing Population - components of change Housing Units - Components of Change Labor Statistics Options: Demographic Social Economic Housing

6. VIEW – http://www.cardi.cornell.edu http://www.cardi.cornell.edu Census – American Factfinder – http://www.census.gov http://www.census.gov NCES – http://nces.ed.gov/surveys/sdds/ http://nces.ed.gov/surveys/sdds/

7. VIEW

9. U.S. Census (www.census.gov) American Factfinder

10. Factfinder

11. NCES – enrollment, financial & administrative data for school districts

12. Next step: Development of an integrated data resource for the Center for Rural Schools.

13. PAD Data - Maps

14. NY – Population and Housing

15. NY State growth

16. NY Population – Components of change

17. PAD data - Projections

18. NY – population pyramids

19. Age-specific net migration rates: What do they tell us? How is the population changing (net of births and deaths)? How does this vary among the different age groups? How does this vary for different states and counties?

20. New York State

21. Compare to Florida

22. Compare to California

23. Sullivan County

26. Sullivan County - projections

27. 199020002035

28. Sullivan County – ACS Demographic

29. County-level age specific net migration

30. Sullivan County, NYS

31. Compare to Tompkins County, NYS (where Cornell is)

32. Compare to Hamilton County, NYS (>% elderly)

33. Fallsburg School District Case study illustrating what information is available that may be useful to you.

36. Fallsburg – historic enrollment

37. Fallsburg – enrollment by grade

39. Enrollment PROJECTIONS: the next step General Methods and Data: – Grade-progression ratios (cohort survival) Enrollment data by grade by year, 10 year history Birth data – Housing unit method Number of housing units Students per housing unit Planned development added to housing inventory annually

40. Grade-progression ratios: measures the net effect of in- and out-migration, transfers to and from private schools, students repeating grades, drop-outs, etc. *Unique for each district, grade, and year*

41. Another way to display progression ratios:

42. Projections K-12 (also by grade grouping)

43. Wrap up We would like your feedback on what you have seen so far. What would be most helpful to you? What kind of data do you need to make informed decisions? How would you like to access the data? How would you like it to be displayed? What sort of support from Cornell do you think you would need to interpret and use this data?

44. Thank You Thank you for your help and support in this endeavor. If you have further suggestions or questions, here is our contact information:

45. Program on Applied Demographics Group Joe D. Francis Director of Program on Applied Demographics 2 nd Floor Beebe Hall Cornell University Ithaca, NY 14853 (607) 255-6042 jdf2@cornell.edu Jan Vink Research Support Specialist Program on Applied Demographics 2 nd Floor Beebe Hall Cornell University Ithaca, NY 14853 (607) 255-8399 jkv3@cornell.edu

46. CaRDI Group Robin Blakely Extension Associate Community & Rural Development Institute Cornell University Ithaca, NY 14853 (607) 254-6795 rmb18@cornell.edu David Kay Extension Associate Community & Rural Development Institute Cornell University Ithaca, NY 14853 (607) 255-2123 dlk2@cornell.edu