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Fermanian Business & Economic Institute December 8, 2015 Lynn Reaser, Ph.D. Chief Economist 2016 Global Economic Outlook The Fermanian Business & Economic.

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Presentation on theme: "Fermanian Business & Economic Institute December 8, 2015 Lynn Reaser, Ph.D. Chief Economist 2016 Global Economic Outlook The Fermanian Business & Economic."— Presentation transcript:

1 Fermanian Business & Economic Institute December 8, 2015 Lynn Reaser, Ph.D. Chief Economist 2016 Global Economic Outlook The Fermanian Business & Economic Institute – business & economics in action © FBEI 2015 T HE E CONOMIC C LUB OF L AS V EGAS

2 The Fermanian Business & Economic Institute – business & economics in action © FBEI 2015 2 INTRODUCTION The Institute is a strategic unit of PLNU that specializes in a variety of consulting services dedicated to discovering insights that effect change for organizations around the globe. Our skilled team of consultants, economists, and researchers provide clients and partners with individualized, actionable results that support strategic decision-making.

3 The Fermanian Business & Economic Institute – business & economics in action © FBEI 2015 3 Clients include: National Association for Business Economics, California State Treasurer, Terrapin Bright Green, San Diego Military Advisory Council, San Diego Zoo Global, Sempra Generation, and many other private, public, and government organizations. Fermanian Business & Economic Institute @ PLNU For information on how we can work together contact us:

4 Global Outlook The Fermanian Business & Economic Institute – business & economics in action © FBEI 2015

5 Global Manufacturing Barely Growing Index, 50 plus = expansion The Fermanian Business & Economic Institute – business & economics in action © FBEI 2015

6 China’s Upswing Stalls Real GDP, percent change over prior year e = estimatef = forecast The Fermanian Business & Economic Institute – business & economics in action © FBEI 2015

7 Oil Prices Collapse Brent Crude Oil, dollars per barrel, quarterly average e = estimatef = forecast The Fermanian Business & Economic Institute – business & economics in action © FBEI 2015

8 Quantitative Easing Goes Global Central bank assets/GDP, percent The Fermanian Business & Economic Institute – business & economics in action © FBEI 2015

9 U.S. Dollar Soars Broad Trade-Weighted Index, Jan. 1997=100, Dec. average Forecast Actual e = estimatef = forecast The Fermanian Business & Economic Institute – business & economics in action © FBEI 2015

10 Migration Crisis Confronts EU First time asylum applicants, quarterly totals, thousands The Fermanian Business & Economic Institute – business & economics in action © FBEI 2015 e = estimate

11 World Economy to Expand Moderately Real GDP, percent change over prior year 2014 2015e 2016f e = estimatef = forecast The Fermanian Business & Economic Institute – business & economics in action © FBEI 2015

12 Global Risks Probability, percent The Fermanian Business & Economic Institute – business & economics in action © FBEI 2015

13 Fermanian Business & Economic Institute www.pointloma.edu/fbei Main Office: 619.849.7068 The Fermanian Business & Economic Institute – business & economics in action © FBEI 2015

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