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The Practice of Statistics Third Edition Chapter 8: The Binomial and Geometric Distributions Copyright © 2008 by W. H. Freeman & Company Daniel S. Yates
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Ex. The number of 3’s rolled by a single die in ten trials is a binomial random variable n=10p=1/6 symbol X -> B(10,1/6) Ex. The number of blue tiles chosen from a box containing 8 blue tiles 2 red tiles and 10 yellow tiles in 5 trials. with replacement - n=5, p=0.4 Symbol X-> B(5,0.4) without replacement – Not binomial; p changes and observations are not independent
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TI-83,84 calculator There are two calculator functions that are of great help in calculating binomial probabilities. binompdf(n,p,x) - gives the probability of each value of x that you input. binomcdf(n,p,x) - calculates the cumulative probability for: P(x< # of successes) = P(0) + P(1) … …+ P(# of successes)
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Ex. What is the probability that a couple planning to have 8 children will have 1)exactly 5 boys. 2) at most 5 boys 1) P=0.5, n=8, X=5 symbol X-> B(8,0.5) Calculator – P(x=5) = binompdf(8,0.5,5) = 0.21875 2) P=0.5, n=8, X=5 symbol X-> B(8,0.5) Calculator – P(x<5) = binomcdf(8,0.5,5) = 0.8555
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Binomial Formula Calculate the probability of 3 sixes in 10 rolls of a die. P(success) = 1/6; P(failure) = 5/6 -One possibility; but there are many ways to get 3 sixes out of ten rolls. Obs.12345678910 outcome6No six ns 66 probability1/65/6 1/6 5/6 The probability for each of the many ways is equal to (1/6) 3 x (5/6) 7
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The binomial coefficient gives the number of ways this can happen; = nCr on calculator
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Ex. What is the probability of having 5 boys out of 7 children? P(x=5) = 7 C 5 (0.5) 5 (0.5) 2 = 0.164 TI-83,84 does it for you – binompdf(7,0.5,5)=0.164
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