1. California Association for Local Economic Development Los Angeles, CA August 11, 2011

2. Herding Cats or Disinterested Cows?

3. Goals for Presentation How bad is it out there? SCAG’s Economic Recovery & Job Creation Strategy Discuss the partners involved and process Present basic findings Describe recommended actions Acknowledge challenges/lessons Provide resources for other regions/sub regions

7. What Now? SCAG Members stated that economic development and job creation was the #1 issue facing their communities (190 cities and 6 counties) SCAG Executives agreed that without economic recovery, there would not be funding for transportation and other planning projects Therefore, SCAG (gingerly) entered the economic development planning “business”

8. SCAG Economic Team Economic Advisors Christine Cooper, PhD, LAEDC Marney Cox, San Diego Association of Governments Brad Kemp, Beacon Economics John Husing, PhD, Economics & Politics, Inc. Wallace Waldron, PhD, OC Business Council Michael Bracken, Development Management Group, Inc. Peer Review Experts Lynn Reaser, PhD, Economics John Goodman, PhD, Economics Initial Project/Strategy Development Jack Kyser, SCAG & Lee Harrington, SoCal Leadership Council

9. Findings 1. Employment predicted to return to “pre-crash” levels in 2014-2015. 2. Region at risk of losing additional entertainment and logistic jobs 3. New/emerging industries Green tech/renewable energy innovation/design/creativity Manufacturing Mineral & oil extraction

10. Economic Recovery Prediction

11. Hurdles to Growth Regulatory uncertainty California’s business tax structure Availability of skilled workforce Nonresponsive government agencies California’s “political instability” & credit rating Aggressive recruitment by “other states” with incentives and favorable tax policies Expansion of Panama Canal

12. Recommendations Oppose legislation that negatively impacts economy Support legislation that allows for early delivery of projects by local agencies (local control) Require new legislation to include independent economic impact analysis Renew/expand tax credits to retain entertainment jobs Create additional communication with labor groups to support growth Take steps to prevent frivolous CEQA lawsuits

13. Challenges in Process Untimely passing of both project lead and famed economist Jack Kyser and long-time economic development professional Lee Harrington Questions from cities, “What is SCAG doing in economic development” Business leaders questioning potential effectiveness of effort Ever changing economic conditions

14. Lessons Learned Diversification of economists Pure academic economists Economic policy (political economists) Economic development (implementation economists) Complete both quantitative and primary research Often quantitative research (numbers) lag real world Use existing relationships to get real information from business leaders

15. More Lessons Learned Keep economic work and politics uncoupled Continuous communication with elected officials, environmental groups, community associations and labor unions about goal. People need jobs and economic certainty. During process have MPO staff and local elected leaders begin to establish economic development relationships with both state and federal representatives If using team, make sure you give them time to discuss, debate (its ugly to put 6 economists in a room, but effective!)

16. Resources Presentation to SCAG General Assembly, Economic Recovery Plan & Appendices (Economist Work): www.scag.ca.gov (Click on Event Highlights from 2011 General Assembly, then presentations, shows as a box graphic near bottom of home page)

17. Contact Information Michael Bracken, Managing Partner DMG Economics Palm Desert, CA * Encinitas, CA michael@dmgeconomics.com (760) 272-9136