0. United Nations University (UNU)
Institute for Environment
& Human Security

1. UNU Campus Worldwide

2. Structure of UNU-EHS, Bonn

4. Number of people killed worldwide, 1973-2002
Source: UN/ISDR, 2004

5. Population living within 100 km of the coast

6. Fifty percent of the world's population currently live within sixty kilometers of the coast – at present, more than 3 billion people.

7. How would you define vulnerability?
Risk f = hazard and vulnerability
Vulnerability
Risk
Hazard
How would you define vulnerability?

8. Vulnerability Definitions
How much am I protected?
VULNERABILITY
“... a human condition or process resulting from physical, social, economic, and environmental factors which determine the likelihood and scale of damage from the impact of a given hazard“
(UNDP, 2004)
“... the likelihood of injury, death, loss, disruption of livelihood or other harm in an extreme event, and/or unusual difficulties in recovering from such effects and adapt in the long-term to mitigate hazard impacts“ (Wisner, 2002)

9. Dimensions of Vulnerability
Social Dimension Vulnerability of different social groups, Role of social networks (coping)
Economic and Infrastructure Dimension Vulnerability of different economic sectors and infrastructures (life-lines – technical)
Environmental Dimension Environmental fragility (groundwater, land) Dependency on environmental services
Institutional Dimension Effectiveness and failure of structures and institutions

10. The Pressure and Release (PAR) model
Source: According to Wisner et al., 2004: 51.
Source: Wisner et al. 2004: 51

11. Vulnerability Assessment
Awarenss about the Role of society processes shaping damage
Understanding the underlying causes of risks
Developing indicators that show spatial differences in risk
Using vulnerability information to manage risks

12. WorldRiskIndex

13. Components and indicators of the WorldRiskIndex

14. Results for Exposure

15. Results for Vulnerability

16. Results for the WorldRiskIndex

17. Risk Management Focussed Risk Assessment
Different vulnerabilities in different phases of a disaster
During the disaster
After the disaster
Loss of life & Livelihood
Loss of life & Livelihood
Vulnerability factors
Vulnerability factors 1 1 1 1 1 1 1

18. Early Warning & Response
(short-term damage prevention)
Emergency Relief (damage mitigation)
Exposure Reduction
(long-term damage prevention)
Reconstruction (damage mitigation & long term damage prevention)
Hazard impact
Risk
Management
e.g. contingency capacities and coordination
e.g. risk insurance & compensation, disaster resilient spatial planning
e.g. hazard control, resettlement, building codes, hazard resistant infrastructures
e.g. infrastructures for warning decision, dissemination & evacuation C R I S M
ANAG
EME NT
C R I S I S M A N A G E M E N T D A G E P V N T O
D A M A G E P R E V E N T I O N

19. Baseline Risk Assessment: Hazard and Exposure

20. Case study Indonesia

21. Tsunami-genic Earthquakes in Indonesia

23. Early Warning & Response
(short-term damage prevention)
Emergency Relief (damage mitigation)
Exposure Reduction
(long-term damage prevention)
Reconstruction (damage mitigation & long term damage prevention)
Hazard impact
Risk
Management
e.g. contingency capacities and coordination
e.g. risk insurance & compensation, disaster resilient spatial planning
e.g. hazard control, resettlement, building codes, hazard resistant infrastructures
e.g. infrastructures for warning decision, dissemination & evacuation C R I S M
ANAG
EME NT
C R I S I S M A N A G E M E N T D A G E P V N T O
D A M A G E P R E V E N T I O N

24. Risks and Risk Management Tasks during the occurence of a hazard event

27. Risks and Risk Management Tasks during the occurence of a hazard event

29. Risks and Risk Management Tasks during the occurence of a hazard event

32. Risks and Risk Management Tasks during the occurence of a hazard event

35. Early Warning & Response
(short-term damage prevention)
Emergency Relief (damage mitigation)
Exposure Reduction
(long-term damage prevention)
Reconstruction (damage mitigation & long term damage prevention)
Hazard impact
Risk
Management
e.g. contingency capacities and coordination
e.g. risk insurance & compensation, disaster resilient spatial planning
e.g. hazard control, resettlement, building codes, hazard resistant infrastructures
e.g. infrastructures for warning decision, dissemination & evacuation C R I S M
ANAG
EME NT
C R I S I S M A N A G E M E N T D A G E P V N T O
D A M A G E P R E V E N T I O N

36. For further information: Niklas Gebert
UNITED NATIONS UNIVERSITY
Hermann-Ehlers-Str. 10
53113 Bonn, Germany
Tel.:
Fax:
“Education is the most powerful weapon which you can use to change the world.” Nelson Mandela