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Transformations
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Transformations to Linearity
Many non-linear curves can be put into a linear form by appropriate transformations of the either the dependent variable Y or some (or all) of the independent variables X1, X2, ... , Xp . This leads to the wide utility of the Linear model. We have seen that through the use of dummy variables, categorical independent variables can be incorporated into a Linear Model. We will now see that through the technique of variable transformation that many examples of non-linear behaviour can also be converted to linear behaviour.
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Intrinsically Linear (Linearizable) Curves
1 Hyperbolas y = x/(ax-b) Linear form: 1/y = a -b (1/x) or Y = b0 + b1 X Transformations: Y = 1/y, X=1/x, b0 = a, b1 = -b
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2. Exponential y = a ebx = aBx Linear form: ln y = lna + b x = lna + lnB x or Y = b0 + b1 X Transformations: Y = ln y, X = x, b0 = lna, b1 = b = lnB
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3. Power Functions y = a xb Linear from: ln y = lna + blnx or Y = b0 + b1 X
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Logarithmic Functions
y = a + b lnx Linear from: y = a + b lnx or Y = b0 + b1 X Transformations: Y = y, X = ln x, b0 = a, b1 = b
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Other special functions
y = a e b/x Linear from: ln y = lna + b 1/x or Y = b0 + b1 X Transformations: Y = ln y, X = 1/x, b0 = lna, b1 = b
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Polynomial Models y = b0 + b1x + b2x2 + b3x3 Linear form Y = b0 + b1 X1 + b2 X2 + b3 X3 Variables Y = y, X1 = x , X2 = x2, X3 = x3
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Exponential Models with a polynomial exponent
Linear form lny = b0 + b1 X1 + b2 X2 + b3 X3+ b4 X4 Y = lny, X1 = x , X2 = x2, X3 = x3, X4 = x4
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Trigonometric Polynomials
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b0, d1, g1, … , dk, gk are parameters that have to be estimated,
n1, n2, n3, … , nk are known constants (the frequencies in the trig polynomial. Note:
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Trigonometric Polynomial Models
y = b0 + g1cos(2pn1x) + d1sin(2pn1x) + … + gkcos(2pnkx) + dksin(2pnkx) Linear form Y = b0 + g1 C1 + d1 S1 + … + gk Ck + dk Sk Variables Y = y, C1 = cos(2pn1x) , S2 = sin(2pn1x) , … Ck = cos(2pnkx) , Sk = sin(2pnkx)
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Response Surface models
Dependent variable Y and two independent variables x1 and x2. (These ideas are easily extended to more the two independent variables) The Model (A cubic response surface model) or Y = b0 + b1 X1 + b2 X2 + b3 X3 + b4 X4 + b5 X5 + b6 X6 + b7 X7 + b8 X8 + b9 X9+ e where
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The Box-Cox Family of Transformations
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The Transformation Staircase
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The Bulging Rule x up y up y down x down
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Nonlinearizable models
Non-Linear Models Nonlinearizable models
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Non-Linear Growth models
many models cannot be transformed into a linear model The Mechanistic Growth Model Equation: or (ignoring e) “rate of increase in Y” =
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The Logistic Growth Model
Equation: or (ignoring e) “rate of increase in Y” =
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The Gompertz Growth Model:
Equation: or (ignoring e) “rate of increase in Y” =
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Example: daily auto accidents in Saskatchewan to 1984 to 1992
Data collected: Date Number of Accidents Factors we want to consider: Trend Yearly Cyclical Effect Day of the week effect Holiday effects
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Trend Yearly Cyclical Trend
This will be modeled by a Linear function : Y = b0 +b1 X (more generally a polynomial) Y = b0 +b1 X +b2 X2 + b3 X3 + …. Yearly Cyclical Trend This will be modeled by a Trig Polynomial – Sin and Cos functions with differing frequencies(periods) : Y = d1 sin(2pf1X) + g1 cos(2pf2X) + d1 sin(2pf2X) + g2 cos(2pf2X) + …
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Day of the week effect: Holiday Effects
This will be modeled using “dummy”variables : a1 D1 + a2 D2 + a3 D3 + a4 D4 + a5 D5 + a6 D6 Di = (1 if day of week = i, 0 otherwise) Holiday Effects Also will be modeled using “dummy”variables :
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Independent variables
X = day,D1,D2,D3,D4,D5,D6,S1,S2,S3,S4,S5, S6,C1,C2,C3,C4,C5,C6,NYE,HW,V1,V2,cd,T1, T2. Si=sin( *i*day). Ci=cos( *i*day). Dependent variable Y = daily accident frequency
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Independent variables
ANALYSIS OF VARIANCE SUM OF SQUARES DF MEAN SQUARE F RATIO REGRESSION RESIDUAL VARIABLES IN EQUATION FOR PACC VARIABLES NOT IN EQUATION STD. ERROR STD REG F PARTIAL F VARIABLE COEFFICIENT OF COEFF COEFF TOLERANCE TO REMOVE LEVEL. VARIABLE CORR. TOLERANCE TO ENTER LEVEL (Y-INTERCEPT ) day E E IACC D Dths D S D S D S D C D V S V S cd S T C C C C C NYE HW T ***** F LEVELS( , ) OR TOLERANCE INSUFFICIENT FOR FURTHER STEPPING
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Day of the week effects D1 4.99945 D2 9.86107 D3 9.43565 D4 13.84377
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Holiday Effects NYE HW T2
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Cyclical Effects S1 -7.89293 S2 -3.41996 S4 -3.56763 C1 15.40978 C2
C3 C4 C5
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