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An ANN Approach to Predicting NHL Game Outcomes Erik Everson ECE 539 12/10/01.

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Presentation on theme: "An ANN Approach to Predicting NHL Game Outcomes Erik Everson ECE 539 12/10/01."— Presentation transcript:

1 An ANN Approach to Predicting NHL Game Outcomes Erik Everson ECE 539 12/10/01

2 Problem Description NHL Background –Began in 1917 with 5 teams –Today one of the most popular sports in North America, with 30 teams Lack of accurate prediction system –Most systems adapted from other sports –Unique aspects to hockey

3 Data Acquisition Data culled from www.hockeynut.com, wrote PERL script to process html fileswww.hockeynut.com Used results of 3 seasons for training data (1997-2000) Testing data set from 2000-2001 regular season

4 Data Processing Basic MLP inputs –Wins, losses, goals for, goals against Additional MLP inputs –Home or away game –Tie games –Winning or losing in overtime vs. regular play

5 Data Processing (continued) Three possible outputs –Win, loss, or tie –Did not factor any overtime information into output Schedule abnormalities –Teams play 82-game season over 7 months, games occur on all days of week –Four NHL teams introduced since the 1997- 1998 regular season

6 Results Pending


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