1. ENROLLMENT STUDY Presented October 19, 2015

2. Methodology Multiple sources of data  Live birth data and its correlation to kindergarten and 1 st grade enrollment five and six years later  Individual school by year and grade enrollment patterns/ES-MS- HS feeder patterns  Attendance zone changes/history  Census tract population data by age group  Single- and multi-family building permit history  New house sales and existing house re-sales  Mortgage data  Subdivision additions and economic development

3. Enrollment History Source: CCSD & Ga. Department of Education

4. Current Enrollment Distribution Source: DCSS & Ga. Department of Education

5. Population Data Projected Source: Ga. Department of Public Health

6. Population Data Source: Ga. Department of Public Health

7. Population Data Source: Ga. Department of Public Health

8. Population Data – Census Tracts By High School Source: Ga. Department of Public Health

9. Age Distribution by Census Tracts Source: U.S. Census Bureau

10. Economic Indicators – Building Permits Source: U.S. Census Bureau Economic downturn

11. Economic Indicators – Building Permits Source: U.S. Census Bureau

12. Economic Indicators – House Sales Source: U.S. Census Bureau

13. Economic Indicators – House Sales Source: U.S. Census Bureau

14. Economic Indicators – “Underwater” Mortgages Source: Zillow

15. Projection Summary

16. Elementary School Projection Summary

17. Middle School Projection Summary

18. High School Projection Summary

19. ENROLLMENT STUDY Presented October 19, 2015