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U.S. Industrial Outlook EO-159 Presented by: Dan Meckstroth, Ph.D. Vice President and Chief Economist dmeckstroth@mapi.net
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Annual Percent Change 20152016201720182019-20 Manufacturing 1.82.63.02.82.3 Computer and electronic products 1.44.35.75.52.9 Non-high-tech manufacturing 1.92.13.02.62.2 Table 1 – Forecast for Manufacturing Production U.S. Industrial Outlook Source(s): MAPI Foundation
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Table 2 – Forecasts for Manufacturing and Related Production U.S. Industrial Outlook Source(s): MAPI Foundation Annual Percent Change 20152016201720182019-20 Housing starts 11151253 Motor vehicles and parts 973-2 Household appliance 64421 Pharmaceutical and medicine 32442 Iron and steel products -100011 Alumina and aluminum production and processing 0343 Fabricated metal products 00332 Basic chemicals 33576 Paper 001 Construction machinery 7-3262 Mining and oil and gas field machinery -15-21141712 Industrial machinery 52633
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Table 2 – Forecasts for Manufacturing and Related Production (continued) U.S. Industrial Outlook Source(s): MAPI Foundation Annual Percent Change 20152016201720182019-20 Ventilation, heating, air conditioning, and commercial refrigeration equipment 24531 Metalworking machinery -2433 Engine, turbine, and power transmission equipment 2-3452 Communications equipment -25543 Navigational, measuring, electromedical, and control instruments 34432 Electric lighting equipment -30362 Electrical equipment 43232 Medical equipment and supplies 23334 Aerospace products and parts 23557 Private nonresidential construction 139223 Public works construction 51111
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U.S. Industrial Outlook Figure 1 – Industrial Sector by Phase of Cycle, November 2015 Source(s): MAPI Foundation
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Figure 2a – Housing Starts F=Forecast Source(s): U.S. Bureau of the Census and MAPI Foundation U.S. Industrial Outlook
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Figure 2b – Housing Starts Source(s): U.S. Bureau of the Census and MAPI Foundation U.S. Industrial Outlook
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Figure 3a – Motor Vehicles and Parts Production F=Forecast Source(s): Federal Reserve Board and MAPI Foundation U.S. Industrial Outlook
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Figure 3b – Motor Vehicles and Parts Production Source(s): Federal Reserve Board and MAPI Foundation U.S. Industrial Outlook
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Figure 4a – Household Appliance Production F=Forecast Source(s): Federal Reserve Board and MAPI Foundation U.S. Industrial Outlook
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Figure 4b – Household Appliance Production Source(s): Federal Reserve Board and MAPI Foundation U.S. Industrial Outlook
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Figure 5a – Pharmaceutical and Medicine Production F=Forecast Source(s): Federal Reserve Board and MAPI Foundation U.S. Industrial Outlook
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Figure 5b – Pharmaceutical and Medicine Production Source(s): Federal Reserve Board and MAPI Foundation U.S. Industrial Outlook
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Figure 6a – Iron and Steel Products Production F=Forecast Source(s): Federal Reserve Board and MAPI Foundation U.S. Industrial Outlook
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Figure 6b – Iron and Steel Products Production Source(s): Federal Reserve Board and MAPI Foundation U.S. Industrial Outlook
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Figure 7a – Alumina and Aluminum Production F=Forecast Source(s): Federal Reserve Board and MAPI Foundation U.S. Industrial Outlook
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Figure 7b – Alumina and Aluminum Production Source(s): Federal Reserve Board and MAPI Foundation U.S. Industrial Outlook
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Figure 8a – Fabricated Metal Products Production F=Forecast Source(s): Federal Reserve Board and MAPI Foundation U.S. Industrial Outlook
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Figure 8b – Fabricated Metal Products Production Source(s): Federal Reserve Board and MAPI Foundation U.S. Industrial Outlook
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Figure 9a – Basic Chemicals Production F=Forecast Source(s): Federal Reserve Board and MAPI Foundation U.S. Industrial Outlook
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Figure 9b – Basic Chemicals Production Source(s): Federal Reserve Board and MAPI Foundation U.S. Industrial Outlook
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Figure 10a – Paper Production F=Forecast Source(s): Federal Reserve Board and MAPI Foundation U.S. Industrial Outlook
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Figure 10b – Paper Production Source(s): Federal Reserve Board and MAPI Foundation U.S. Industrial Outlook
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Figure 11a – Construction Machinery Production F=Forecast Source(s): Federal Reserve Board and MAPI Foundation U.S. Industrial Outlook
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Figure 11b – Construction Machinery Production Source(s): Federal Reserve Board and MAPI Foundation U.S. Industrial Outlook
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Figure 12a – Mining and Oil and Gas Field Machinery Production F=Forecast Source(s): Federal Reserve Board and MAPI Foundation U.S. Industrial Outlook
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Figure 12b – Mining and Oil and Gas Field Machinery Production Source(s): Federal Reserve Board and MAPI Foundation U.S. Industrial Outlook
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Figure 13a – Industrial Machinery Production F=Forecast Source(s): Federal Reserve Board and MAPI Foundation U.S. Industrial Outlook
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Figure 13b – Industrial Machinery Production Source(s): Federal Reserve Board and MAPI Foundation U.S. Industrial Outlook
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Figure 14a – Ventilation, Heating, Air Conditioning, and Commercial Refrigeration Equipment Production F=Forecast Source(s): Federal Reserve Board and MAPI Foundation U.S. Industrial Outlook
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Figure 14b – Ventilation, Heating, Air Conditioning, and Commercial Refrigeration Equipment Production Source(s): Federal Reserve Board and MAPI Foundation U.S. Industrial Outlook
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Figure 15a – Metalworking Machinery Production F=Forecast Source(s): Federal Reserve Board and MAPI Foundation U.S. Industrial Outlook
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Figure 15b – Metalworking Machinery Production Source(s): Federal Reserve Board and MAPI Foundation U.S. Industrial Outlook
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Figure 16a – Engine, Turbine, and Power Transmission Equipment Production F=Forecast Source(s): Federal Reserve Board and MAPI Foundation U.S. Industrial Outlook
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Figure 16b – Engine, Turbine, and Power Transmission Equipment Production Source(s): Federal Reserve Board and MAPI Foundation U.S. Industrial Outlook
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Figure 17a – Material Handling Equipment New Orders F=Forecast Source(s): U.S. Bureau of the Census and MAPI Foundation U.S. Industrial Outlook
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Figure 17b – Material Handling Equipment New Orders Source(s): U.S. Bureau of the Census and MAPI Foundation U.S. Industrial Outlook
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Figure 18a – Electronic Computer Equipment Shipments F=Forecast Source(s): U.S. Bureau of the Census and MAPI Foundation U.S. Industrial Outlook
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Figure 18b – Electronic Computer Equipment Shipments Source(s): U.S. Bureau of the Census and MAPI Foundation U.S. Industrial Outlook
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Figure 19a – Communications Equipment Production F=Forecast Source(s): Federal Reserve Board and MAPI Foundation U.S. Industrial Outlook
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Figure 19b – Communications Equipment Production Source(s): Federal Reserve Board and MAPI Foundation U.S. Industrial Outlook
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Figure 20a – Semiconductor Global Billings F=Forecast Source(s): Semiconductor Industry Association and MAPI Foundation U.S. Industrial Outlook
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Figure 20b – Semiconductor Global Billings Source(s): Semiconductor Industry Association and MAPI Foundation U.S. Industrial Outlook
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Figure 21a – Navigational, Measuring, Electromedical, and Control Instruments Production F=Forecast Source(s): Federal Reserve Board and MAPI Foundation U.S. Industrial Outlook
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Figure 21b – Navigational, Measuring, Electromedical, and Control Instruments Production Source(s): Federal Reserve Board and MAPI Foundation U.S. Industrial Outlook
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Figure 22a – Electric Lighting Equipment Production F=Forecast Source(s): Federal Reserve Board and MAPI Foundation U.S. Industrial Outlook
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Figure 22b – Electric Lighting Equipment Production Source(s): Federal Reserve Board and MAPI Foundation U.S. Industrial Outlook
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Figure 23a – Electrical Equipment Production F=Forecast Source(s): Federal Reserve Board and MAPI Foundation U.S. Industrial Outlook
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Figure 23b – Electrical Equipment Production Source(s): Federal Reserve Board and MAPI Foundation U.S. Industrial Outlook
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Figure 24a – Medical Equipment and Supplies Production F=Forecast Source(s): Federal Reserve Board and MAPI Foundation U.S. Industrial Outlook
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Figure 24b – Medical Equipment and Supplies Production Source(s): Federal Reserve Board and MAPI Foundation U.S. Industrial Outlook
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Figure 25a – Aerospace Products and Parts Production F=Forecast Source(s): Federal Reserve Board and MAPI Foundation U.S. Industrial Outlook
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Figure 25b – Aerospace Products and Parts Production Source(s): Federal Reserve Board and MAPI Foundation U.S. Industrial Outlook
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Figure 26a – Oil and Gas Well Drilling Production F=Forecast Source(s): Federal Reserve Board and MAPI Foundation U.S. Industrial Outlook
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Figure 26b – Oil and Gas Well Drilling Production Source(s): Federal Reserve Board and MAPI Foundation U.S. Industrial Outlook
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Figure 27a – Private Nonresidential Construction Put-in-Place F=Forecast Source(s): U.S. Bureau of the Census and MAPI Foundation U.S. Industrial Outlook
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Figure 27b – Private Nonresidential Construction Put-in-Place Source(s): U.S. Bureau of the Census and MAPI Foundation U.S. Industrial Outlook
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Figure 28a – Public Construction Put-in-Place F=Forecast Source(s): U.S. Bureau of the Census and MAPI Foundation U.S. Industrial Outlook
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Figure 28b – Public Construction Put-in-Place Source(s): U.S. Bureau of the Census and MAPI Foundation U.S. Industrial Outlook
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