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Epidemiology of HIV in Dominica November 25, 2015 Ministry of Health Conference Room Dr. Paul Ricketts, National Epidemiologist Guadeloupe-Dominica HIV & AIDS Programme Exchange Visit
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Outline Background HIV statistics Strengthening of the HIV information system Challenges and the Way Forward
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Background Demographics, Healthcare Policy, Organization of the Healthcare System
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Population structure Total population = 71,293 (2011 census) Males = 51.1% Mix of races, Kalinago 2001 census Population <5 = 8.9% Population <25 years = 45.4% Population >60 years = 13.4% Data source: Dominica 2001 Census
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Trend in Life Expectancy, 1995-2012
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National Health Policy 11 priority areas Family Health Chronic Non-communicable Diseases HIV/AIDS Mental Health including Substance Abuse Food and Nutrition Environmental Health Prevention and control of Communicable Diseases Strengthening of Health Systems Human Resource Development Health Disaster Management Health Care Financing
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National HIV Strategic Plan NSP 2015-2019
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7 health districts 7 district health teams 52 health centre/clinics 2 district hospitals Main hospital in Roseau (secondary care) Health Care Delivery
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Natural Disasters Dominica was visited by Tropical Storm Erika on the morning of Aug 27, 2015 17 inches of rain between 1 am and 5 pm 14.1 inches between 4 am and 9 am No warning to the population Extensive damage to national infrastructure Roads, bridges US$443,805,184.00 (€407,933,480.00) Erika Satellite Image, Aug. 27, 2015
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HIV Statistics Trends in HIV Incidence and Mortality
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Cumulative HIV Positive Cases, 1987-2014 N = 428
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HIV Positive in Dominica by Year and Sex, 1987-2014 N = 428
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Male:Female Ratio, 1987-2014
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Number of HIV Cases by Age Group, 2010-2014 N = 76
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Seroprevalence StudyPartnerYearSample SizeResult Prison SurveyCAREC/PAHO20051912.6% EstimateUNAIDS20080.75% Pilot MSM SurveyUNAIDS, PHAC20107226.7% Prison SurveyCDC, PAHO20122103.1%
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HIV-related Deaths by Sex Dominica, 1987-2014 N = 151
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Continuum of Care Cascade - Dominica,2012
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Continuum of Care Cascade - Dominica, 2013
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HIV Information System
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Integrated Case- based HIV Information System Efforts currently underway to strengthen CBS Harmonized manual (OECS) Electronic application due to be developed
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HIV Drug Resistance Surveillance OECS survey being planned Pre-ART and acquired HIVDR – first in the OECS PHAC, Centre Hospitalier Universitaire (Martinique), PAHO, OECS HAPU Protocol under development Meeting being planned for Barbados, January 2016 Indicators generated by PM 1.3 Indicators generated
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Challenges and Opportunities The Way Forward
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Challenges and Way Forward (Epidemiology) Limited seroprevalence/behaviour data ?collaboration on behavioural, seroprevalence survey Sustaining nation-wide HIV rapid testing No formal HIV information/surveillance data exchange between Martinique Guadeloupe and Dominica Automate report generation in information systems with translation Develop electronic linkages between Dominica and Guadeloupe Telemedicine consultation Participate in regional meetings
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Challenges and Way Forward (Epidemiology) Change management Improving data quality
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