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The Normal distribution and z-scores

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Presentation on theme: "The Normal distribution and z-scores"— Presentation transcript:

1 The Normal distribution and z-scores
Areas Under the Curve

2 √ Let’s Practice! x: { 3, 8, 1} (Sx)2 SS = Sx2 N x 3 8 1 m 4 (x-m) -1
-3 (x-m)2 1 16 9 S(x-m)2 = SS Find s: S(x-m)2 = 26 S(x-m)2 N =√(26/3) = 2.94 OR SS = Sx2 (Sx)2 N __ x 3 8 1 x2 9 64 1 Sx = 12 Sx2 = 74 74 - (144/3) = 26 Then √(26/3) = 2.94

3 The Philosophy of Statistics & Standard Deviation

4 The Philosophy of Statistics & Standard Deviation
.24 .20 .16 .12 .08 .04 Proportion

5 The Philosophy of Statistics & Standard Deviation
.24 .20 .16 .12 .08 .04 Proportion

6 Standard Deviation and Distribution Shape
IQ

7 Example: IQs of Sample of Psychologists
ID IQ 1 128 2 155 3 135 4 134 5 144 6 101 7 167 8 198 9 94 10 128 11 155 12 145 x = s = With some simple calculation we find: x - x z = s z(144) = [ 144 – ]/ 27.91 = +0.13, “normal” z(198) = [ 198 – ]/ 27.91 = +2.07, abnormally high z(94) = [ 94 – ]/ 27.91 = -1.66, low side of normal

8 Forward and reverse transforms
x - m z = s x - x z = s “reverse” x = m + z s x = x + z s Z- score  Raw Score Raw score  Z-score population sample Example: If population μ = 120 and σ =20 Find the raw score associated with a z-score of 2.5 x = (20) x = x = 170

9 Why are z-scores important?
z-scores can be used to describe how normal/abnormal scores within a distribution are With a normal distribution, there are certain relationships between z-scores and the proportion of scores contained in the distribution that are ALWAYS true. 1. The entire distribution contains 100% of the scores 2. 68% of the scores are contained within 1 standard deviation below and above the mean 3. 95% of the scores are contained within 2 standard deviations below and above the mean

10 m= 128 s = 32 95% 68% Z-score What percentage of scores are contained between 96 and 160? What percentage of scores are between 128 and 160? If I have a total of 200 scores, how many of them are less than 128?

11 But how do we find areas associated with z-scores that are not simply
Table A in appendix D contains the areas under the normal curve indexed by Z-score. Z-score m= 128 s = 32 What proportion of people got a z score of 1.5 or higher? From these tables you can determine the number of individuals on either side of any z-score.

12 z-score 1.5

13 Examples of AREA C 2.3 -1.7

14 What percentage of people have a z-score of 0 or greater?
50% What percentage of people have a z-score of 1 or greater? 15.87% What percentage of people have a z-score of -2.5 or less? .62% What percentage of people have a z-score of 2.3 or greater? 1.07% What percentage of people have a z-score of -1.7 or less? 4.46%

15 Examples of AREA B

16 What percentage of people have a z-score between 0 and 1?
34.13% What percentage of people have a z-score between 0 and 2.3? 48.93% What percentage of people have a z-score between 0 and -2.4? 49.18% What percentage of people have a z-score between 0 and 1.27? 39.80% What percentage of people have a z-score between 0 and 1.79? 46.33% What percentage of people have a z-score between 0 and -3.24? 49.94%

17 Areas which require a COMBINATION of z-scores
What percentage of people have a z-score of 1 or less? 84.13%

18 m= 128 s = 32 Raw Score What percentage of people have a z-score of -1.7 or less? 4.46% What percentage of people have a score of 73.6 or less? 4.46%? What z-score is required for someone to be in the bottom 4.46%? -1.7 What score is required for someone to be in the bottom 4.46%? 128 + (-1.7)32 73.6 or below

19 What z-score is required for someone to be in the top 25%?
.68 What z-score is required for someone to be in the top 5%? 1.65 What z-score is required for someone to be in the bottom 10%? -1.29 What z-score is required for someone to be in the bottom 70%? .52 What z-score is required for someone to be in the top 50%? What z-score is required for someone to be in the bottom 30%? -.53

20 m= 128 s = 32 What percentage of scores fall between the mean and a score of 132? Here, we must first convert this raw score to a z-score in order to be able to use what we know about the normal distribution. ( )/32 = 0.125, or rounded, 0.13. Area B in the z-table indicates that the area contained between the mean and a z-score of .13 is .0517, which is 5.17%

21 m= 128 s = 32 What percentage of scores fall between a z-score of -1 and 1.5? If we refer to the illustration above, it will require two separate areas added together in order to obtain the total area: Area B for a z-score of -1: Area B for a z-score of 1.5: Added together, we get .7745, or 77.45%

22 m= 128 s = 32 What percentage of scores fall between a z-score of 1.2 and 2.4? Notice that this area is not directly defined in the z-table. Again, we must use two different areas to come up with the area we need. This time, however, we will use subtraction. Area B for a z-score of 2.4: Area B for a z-score of 1.2: When we subtract, we get , which is 10.69%

23 m= 128 s = 32 If my population has 200 people in it, how many people have an IQ below a 65? First, we must convert 65 into a z-score: (65-128)/32 = , rounded = -1.97 Since we want the proportion BELOW -1.97, we are looking for Area C of a z-score of 1.97 (remember, the distribution is symmetrical!) : = 2.44% Last step: What is 2.44% of 200? 200(.0244) = 4.88

24 m= 128 s = 32 What IQ score would I need to have in order to make it to the top 5%? Since we’re interested in the ‘top’ or the high end of the distribution, we want to find an Area C that is closest to .0500, then find the z-score associated with it. The closest we can come is (always better to go under). The z-score associated with this area is 1.65. Let’s turn this z-score into a raw score: (32) = 180.8

25 √ √ A possible type of test question: 80 - 65 9.80 SS = 2883.2
A class of 30 students takes a difficult statistics exam. The average grade turns out to be 65. Michael is a student in this class. His grade on the exam is 80. The following is known: 9.80 SS = Assuming that these 30 students make up the population of interest, what is the approximate number of people that did better than Michael on the exam? SS= m = 65 N = 30 2883.2 30 SS N s = = = √96.11 = 9.80 z(80) = (80-65)/9.80 = 1.53 Area C for a z score of 1.53 = .0630, so about 6.3%, or 1.89 people


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