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Published byJohnathan Gyles Eaton Modified over 9 years ago
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Francis Yi-hua Kan, Ph.D. New Face of the KMT: Taiwan’s 2012 Elections and Beyond
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Outline Image: Transformation of Symbolism Policy: Foundation of Substantial Success Main Themes of the Election Campaigns Neck-and-neck Race? Comprehensive Review: Advantages & Disadvantages Vision: KMT & Taiwan’s Democracy
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Image: Transformation of Symbolism ☆ Old image: ✽ Aging and bulky ✽ Leaning toward capitalists ✽ Meritocracy at the central level ✽ Local factions ☆ New face of the KMT: ✽ New leadership ✽ New generation ✽ New talents ✽ New media
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Clean Governance (Transparency International: Taiwan: 32 nd, 2011 from 39 th, 2008) Policy: Foundation of Substantial Success Cross-Taiwan Strait Peace (Tension reduced + 16 agreements signed) Economic Prosperity (Growth: 10.88%, 2010, best in 2 decades)
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Main Themes of the Election Campaigns ☆ KMT: “Golden Decade” → ✽ Cross-strait peace + Sustainable development → Stability + Continuity ☆ DPP: “Ten Year Policy Guidelines” → ✽ Social equality → “Class conflict” + Dramatic change HOPE http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wKUoPx27Bpk&feature=relmfu
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☆ Confusing public opinion polls ☆ Incidents and issues: Widely publicized and debated, but with only short-term effects ☆ Synthesis of presidential and parliamentary elections: “Coattail effect” ☆ Sprint to success in the run-up to elections: Marathon campaigns + Opponent’s mistakes Neck-and-neck Race?
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Results: Presidency: 6,891,139 (51.60%) vs. 6,093,578 (45.63%) Legislative Yuan (113 Seats): 64 seats (56.64%) vs. 40 seats (35.40%) ☆ Advantages: Representation of leadership + Prospects for economic development + Governance capability + Cross-strait relations (1992 consensus) + Synthesized elections to reduce costs of social mobilization ☆ Disadvantages: Capability in discourse and message delivery
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☆ Young but vibrant democracy: Better performance of political parties + More rational electorate ☆ Challenges ahead: 2014 local- level elections + 2016 national- level elections ☆ How to make the KMT a modern political party in the 21st century? ☆ Taiwan’s success and its implications for mainland China Vision: KMT & Taiwan’s Democracy
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