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GF income projections & historical funding trends GF, Projects, EA oPt, Lebanon Appeal & Syria Appeal mts - may 2013 2.

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Presentation on theme: "GF income projections & historical funding trends GF, Projects, EA oPt, Lebanon Appeal & Syria Appeal mts - may 2013 2."— Presentation transcript:

1

2 GF income projections & historical funding trends GF, Projects, EA oPt, Lebanon Appeal & Syria Appeal mts - may 2013 2

3 GF income projections mts - may 2013 3

4 GF income projections – methodology & assumptions 3 donor categories were selected: – Traditional Donors; – Arab Donors; – Emerging Markets. 3 options were prepared: – Optimistic; – Realistic; – Pessimistic. may - mts 2013 4

5 assumptions common to all options Agency mandate is renewed; Agency remains a valued and relevant partner critical to donors’ political and humanitarian objectives in the region; GDP growth forecast based upon OECD estimates and DAC foreign aid forecast; Scenarios do not predict currency fluctuations or inflation; UN International Staff Costs and Project Support Cost (PSC) excluded. mts - may 2013 5

6 GF pessimistic projection - $ million Donor2012201620172018201920202021 TD506.9484.5477.2470463456.1449.2 EM10.714.214.715.215.816.317 Arab21 TOTAL538.6519.7512.9506.2499.8493.4487.2 mcm - may 2013 6

7 GF optimistic projection - $ million Donor2012201620172018201920202021 TD506.9601.9631.9663.5696.7731.6768.1 EM10.722.125.52932.433.133.7 Arab2138.242.847.45256.661.2 TOTAL538.6662.2700.2739.9781.1821.3863 mcm – may 2013 7

8 GF realistic projection - $ million Donor2012201620172018201920202021 TD506.9552.2563.1574.1585.4597608.7 EM10.716.818.620.322.122.623.1 Arab2130.932.434.135.837.539.4 TOTAL538.6599.9614.1628.5643.3657.1671.2 mcm - may 20123 8

9 historical funding trend & correlations mts - may 2013 9

10 GF - TDs, EM, Arab donors – 2005-2012 mts - may 2013 10

11 projects – 2005-2012 mts - may 2013 11

12 mts - may 2013 12 projects – 2005-2012 cont.

13 mts - may 2013 13 projects by field

14 projects by sector – TDs & Arab donors mts - may 2013 14

15 EA oPt – 2007-2012 mts – may 2013 15

16 Lebanon appeal – 2006-2012 mts - may 2013 16

17 2005 – 2012 all portals - funding trend mts – may 2013 17

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