1. District 32 Republican Club Presentation of Fall 2015 Survey Findings – Anne Arundel County Dan Nataf, Ph.D. Director, Center for the Study of Local Issues Anne Arundel Community College December 1, 2015 www2.aacc.edu/csli

2. Semi-annual Survey: Overview Survey conducted in October and March Contents devised by director and advisory board Many benchmark questions (at beginning) Demographic questions (at end) Changing middle part – policy, attitudes, behaviors Administration: Telephone (by students) and online Fall completions: 589

3. Benchmark Questions Most important problem facing residents Right/wrong direction – county, state and country Economic conditions – excellent, good, fair, poor Economic experiences/expectations

4. County: Most Important Question - Fall ‘07 to Fall ‘15

5. County: Most Important Question - Fall ‘15

6. County: Right or Wrong Direction? Fall ‘00 to Fall ‘15

7. Right/Wrong Direction – County, State, Nation: Fall ‘12 to Fall ‘15

9. Economic Conditions: ( excellent+good) County vs. Maryland and USA

10. Economic indicators, Fall 2008-Fall 2015

11. Economic indicators, Fall 2015 Condition Under $75,000 $75,000+ Under $75k- Over 75K Signif Hard to afford cost of food and groceries411823.01 Health care insurance is unavailable, too expensive or inadequate 392811.01 Taxes are too high in relation to the government services provided 63585.10 Wages or salaries are not rising as fast as the cost of living 56524.01 Facing the possibility of unemployment14113.09 Found a new or better job recently1213.70 Hard to afford the cost of education3641-5.01 Received a salary increase or other increase in income recently 2543-18.01

12. Economic Conditions over the next 12 Months BetterSameWorseUnsure/NATotal Economic growth 2852127100 Unemployment 2848187100 Inflation 942437100 Your personal financial situation 2260135100

13. Policy Questions Merger of services: AA County and Annapolis Teachers’ salaries Federal auction of CO2 credits Placement of group homes Is Annapolis doing enough about sea level rise/flooding Ideal size of high schools Medical marijuana How well has County dealt with various challenges over last year

14. Public Policy Agreement AgreeDisagreeCan’t decide No answer Anne Arundel County and Annapolis are reviewing ways to combine government services. Do you agree or disagree with these efforts? 701894 County Executive Steve Schuh has proposed to prohibit the planting, processing and sale of medical marijuana in Anne Arundel County. Some members of the County Council have proposed allowing these activities, but with a set of restrictions that limit where these activities can occur. Which position do you favor – total prohibition, or allowing with restrictions? 692741 County teachers and the Board of Education are at impasse over contract talks. Teachers believe that they should be awarded salary increases even if it means cuts in other areas of school spending. Do you agree or disagree with the teachers? 5133132 Do you agree or disagree with the idea that the federal government establish a cap on carbon emissions, auction carbon permits to energy companies, and return all auction proceeds to citizens as a dividend? 5130145 Currently the County imposes no limits over the location of group homes for unrelated individuals with health concerns. Some have advocated restrictions on group homes’ locations. Do you agree or disagree? 4535155 Do you agree or disagree that Annapolis is doing enough to deal with flooding due to storm surges and sea level rise? 29332712 County Executive Steve Schuh has favored high schools with 1200 students; the Board of Education commissioned a study which recommended 1600 as the target high school size. Do you agree or disagree with the Board’s larger size? 2559124

15. Public Policy and Partisanship

16. How well has County dealt with challenges during the last year? Problem Better- Worse Gotten better About the same Gotten worse Unsure/N o answer Improving the local economy10 2063107 Improving the overall quality of life in our County 5 2057157 Improving the water quality of the Bay0 21452114 Planning growth and development-17 18363512 Reducing the backlog in school maintenance and repair -17 12272932 Keeping taxes low-18 1446328 Controlling crime-27 949366 Reducing poverty and homelessness-28 4503214

17. How well has County dealt with challenges by party

18. Various Politics Questions Trust in political parties Job approval – county executive, governor, president Presidential voting intentions Correlations between “major factor shaping your preference” and actual candidate choices

19. Trust in Party by Registration

20. Job approval, Spring 2014/Fall 2015 NA Schuh 35 Hogan 15 Obama 10

22. Presidential Job Approval Fall 2007 to Fall 2015

23. Presidential Preferences

24. Presidential Preferences by Party/Ideology 47

25. Candidates and Age Groups: Above/Below Overall Vote

26. Candidates and Formal Education Above/Below Overall Vote

27. Candidates and Gender Above/Below Overall Vote

29. Candidates and Issues ClintonSandersCarsonTrump Rubio Economy 13.014.9 4.612.58.8 Foreign policy 14.4 2.6 6.0 4.0 37.4 Inequality3.2 12.6 0.70.0 Immigration3.90.0 3.97.0 0.0 Spending, debt0.03.0 3.9 5.52.2 Constitution0.01.1 6.7 0.04.4 Liberal 4.65.6 0.0 Taxes, lower0.0 1.10.0 Health Care0.0 4.6 0.0 Business pro0.0 11.5 0.0 Womens issues 6.0 3.31.10.0 Party0.0 2.82.00.0 Crime/safety0.01.10.0 Education0.0 5.2 0.0 Environment1.13.30.0 Smaller govt, less regs.0.01.90.70.02.2 Guns1.12.20.0 Anti-corporate0.0 5.2 0.0 Abortion - anti0.01.1 1.50.0 Conservative0.0 2.10.0 Military0.0 2.11.00.0 Religion - pro0.0 2.10.0 Other2.89.34.24.03.3 Total49.8 72.5 47.449.058.2

30. Candidates and Traits ClintonSandersCarsonTrumpRubio Leadership, competence 11.64.87.413.59.9 Honest, trustworthy, independent 5.35.69.53.58.8 Consensus builder 4.21.99.15.53.3 Fresh face, change 0.71.911.910.53.3 Experience 17.90.0 America first 0.03.73.94.04.4 Hard truths, frankness 0.01.13.59.50.0 Working people, cares 4.64.50.0 Middle class 0.01.90.03.00.0 Ethical 0.0 2.80.04.4 Character 0.01.11.40.0 Electable 0.0 2.10.0 Intelligence 6.01.1 1.57.7 Total 50.227.552.651.041.8