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CARMA workshop Vancouver, Nov. 28-30, 2006 Wenjun Chen, Ian Olthof, Yu Zhang, Sylvain Leblanc, Ridha Touzi, Junhua Li, Costas Armenakis, Isabel Cyr (Climate.

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Presentation on theme: "CARMA workshop Vancouver, Nov. 28-30, 2006 Wenjun Chen, Ian Olthof, Yu Zhang, Sylvain Leblanc, Ridha Touzi, Junhua Li, Costas Armenakis, Isabel Cyr (Climate."— Presentation transcript:

1 CARMA workshop Vancouver, Nov. 28-30, 2006 Wenjun Chen, Ian Olthof, Yu Zhang, Sylvain Leblanc, Ridha Touzi, Junhua Li, Costas Armenakis, Isabel Cyr (Climate Change Program - ESS/NRCan) Contact: wenjun.chen@nrcan.gc.ca

2 Caribou food production in the habitat Vegetation species cover % Leaf Aare Index; Biomass; Green-up date Climate & land use scenarios Caribou carrying capacity of the habitat Ecosystem model Ecotrophic Efficiency; Annual consumption of summer & winter diets by an “average” caribou; Lichen damage by caribou trampling; Consumption by other wildlife species Caribou herd size Optimal caribou harvest rate Foliage : stem ratio; Foliage turnover rate; Photosynthetic capacity Field measurement + remote sensing + modeling integration “Food Availability”

3 Land Cover map: Porcupine caribou herd range

4 Land Cover % maps 0% 100% Bare Shrub Grass Conifer Water

5 LUC detection example: Ekati diamond mine 1990, rgb=4,5,3 2000, rgb=4,5,3 Change map Ikonos image

6 Alaska Yukon N.W.T extent of calving annual range Green-up rate (May 1–June 21, 1985) 1-km AVHRR Slow Quick Data available: AVHRR since 1979, VGT since 1998

7 Porcupine caribou herd range Field measurements Aboveground biomass map

8 Changes in permafrost active-layer thickness from the 1850s to the 1990s CSIROM NCAR to the 2090s -50 50 0 Perm. disappeared Perm. reappeared Changes in active layer thickness since the 1850s Glacier >50 (cm)

9 Potential response to climate change

10 Commitment  Our team is committed to revise and implement work plan according to CARMA partners’ needs, so that our works will be supportive and complementary to CARMA partners  ESS-NRCan, through the Climate Change Program, is committed to provide necessary A-base funding (salary and O&M) for this work over the next 3 years  Our team has the full support of ESS-NRCan, through the Climate Change Program, to become a CARMA partner and to fulfill all related responsibilities of a CARMA partner


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