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Policymakers & Trade Legislation. Robert Lawrence
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Surveys: An Opportunity to explore Good Theory: Occams Razor: Requires Tractability. Good Empirical Work: Requires good theory and structure. Good Survey’s: Opportunities to explore
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What is Trade Policy Conventional framing: Tariff changes. Narrow Economic Interests. Trade policy today: Agreements: Multi-Issue. Rules
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Demand & Supply of Trade Policy Demand Supply constituent preferences Interest groups/parties Policymaker preferences Institutions Economic Environment
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Constituent Preferences Economic Interests: Consumption benefits. Factor ownership. Other Values: (Equity, Identity, Community) Knowledge Formation. Risk Aversion
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Interest-Groups/Parties Organizing to influence: Costs of Collective Action. Benefits. Instruments: Money. Persuasion. Information/Media Organization. Alliances
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Policy-Makers Preferences: Personal Interests. Institutional/Organizational Constituent Interests. General Interests. Perceptions. Symbolism.
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Institutions Trade-Making Authority. USA vs EU Source of Power. Elections: Districts, Party Discipline, Frequency.
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Perceptions, International trade: gets credit and blame. Trade votes: not only about trade: e.g NAFTA, China PNTR. Level Playing Field
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Policies, Costs of Policies Change: --e.g. environmental rules. Other regulations.
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Process: Only Game in Town? Changing constraints on domestic policies. Changing policy agendas. Winners& losers in process Changing responsibilities for trade and domestic policies. legislative committees, regulators. Changing relationships to international institutions. Interest groups respond. Legislators respond.
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Implications. Ask about effects on interests but also perceptions and process. Role of money versus knowledge. Ask how decisions are made as well as why. Explore relationships between positions and preferences.
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