1. BEFORE AND AFTER DATA THROUGH 2003 VERSUS DATA THROUGH 2009

3. 0 36,000 72,000 108,000 144,000 180,000 1860 1880 1900 1920 1940 1960 1980 2000 2020 FIGURE 1 – KNOWN COMMUNITY OF CHRIST MEMBERSHIP OUTSIDE NORTH AMERICA (2003 DATA) OOO OO O O O O O O O O O SOURCES: (1879-1940) WALTON, PERSONAL COMMUNICATION (1940-1995) WALTON, RESTORATION STUDIES VIII (1995- 2003) WORLD CONFERENCE DATA REPORTS O OOO O O ?

4. 0 36,000 72,000 108,000 144,000 180,000 1860 1880 1900 1920 1940 1960 1980 2000 2020 FIGURE 2 – KNOWN COMMUNITY OF CHRIST MEMBERSHIP OUTSIDE NORTH AMERICA (2009 DATA) OOO OO O O O O O O O O O SOURCES: (1879-1940) WALTON, PERSONAL COMMUNICATION (1940-1995) WALTON, RESTORATION STUDIES VIII (1995- 2003, 2009) WORLD CONFERENCE DATA REPORTS O OOO O O ? O 2009

5. 0 36,000 72,000 108,000 144,000 180,000 1860 1880 1900 1920 1940 1960 1980 2000 2020 FIGURE 3 – KNOWN COMMUNITY OF CHRIST MEMBERSHIP IN NORTH AMERICA (2003 DATA) WHY IS THIS LINEAR??? o o o o o o o o o o o o o o SOURCES: (1879-1940) WALTON, PERSONAL COMMUNICATION (1880-1980) SAINTS HERALD (1940-1995) WALTON, RESTORATION STUDIES VIII (1995- 2003) WORLD CONFERENCE REPORTS o o o o o o o

6. 0 36,000 72,000 108,000 144,000 180,000 1860 1880 1900 1920 1940 1960 1980 2000 2020 FIGURE 4 – KNOWN COMMUNITY OF CHRIST MEMBERSHIP IN NORTH AMERICA (2009 DATA) WHY IS THIS LINEAR??? o o o o o o o o o o o o o o SOURCES: (1879-1940) WALTON, PERSONAL COMMUNICATION (1880-1980) SAINTS HERALD (1940-1995) WALTON, RESTORATION STUDIES VIII (1995- 2003) WORLD CONFERENCE REPORTS o o o o o o o 2009

7. 0 1200 2400 3600 4800 6000 1940 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 FIGURE 5 – COMMUNITY OF CHRIST BAPTISMS IN NORTH AMERICA (2003 DATA) O O O O O O O O O O SOURCES: (1955 - 1995) WALTON, RESTORATION STUDIES VIII (1995 - 2000) WORLD CONFERENCE DATA REPORTS BAPTISMS SHOWN ARE 5-YR MOVING AVERAGES CENTERED ON YEAR (I. E., 1980 FIGURE IS 1978-1982 AVERAGE) ANNUAL PEAK IN 1957 AT 5495

8. 0 1200 2400 3600 4800 6000 1940 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 FIGURE 6 – COMMUNITY OF CHRIST BAPTISMS IN NORTH AMERICA (2009 DATA) SOURCES: (1955 - 1995) WALTON, RESTORATION STUDIES VIII (1995 - 2006) WORLD CONFERENCE DATA REPORTS BAPTISMS SHOWN ARE 5-YR MOVING AVERAGES CENTERED ON YEAR (I. E., 1980 FIGURE IS 1978-1982 AVERAGE) ANNUAL PEAK IN 1957 AT 5495 x x x x x x x x x x x xx x x O O O O ACTUAL DATA x BEST FIT MODEL PRIOR TO 2010 WORLD CONFERENCE O O O O O O O O STOCHASTIC PHASE UPPER BOUNDARY x x 2007 838 2008 844 2009 793 O B B = BAPTISMS for 07-09 PLOTTED AT 2008