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Washington State Transit Insurance Pool Actuarial Report Based on data evaluated as of June 30, 2008 Presented by: Kevin Wick, FCAS, MAAA September 30, 2008
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PricewaterhouseCoopers September 30, 2008 Slide 2 Agenda Outstanding Claim Liabilities -Confidence Levels Change Since Last Year Review of Coverages Other Issues
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PricewaterhouseCoopers September 30, 2008 Slide 3 Outstanding Claim Liabilities Accounting rules require a liability be established for unpaid claims Estimated cost to settle all outstanding claim obligations: -$6.9M as of June 30, 2008 -$8.7M as of Dec 31, 2008 -Actual cost will vary Implied fund balance is above the 95% confidence level
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PricewaterhouseCoopers September 30, 2008 Slide 4 Breakout of Outstanding Claim Liability by Coverage
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PricewaterhouseCoopers September 30, 2008 Slide 5 Components of the Net Change in Loss Reserves (Excluding ULAE) Beginning Reserve – Dec 31, 2007 $6,154,000 New Losses Incurred 1/1 – 6/30/08 2,168,000 Payments Made 1/1 – 6/30/08 (982,000) Changes in Ultimate Loss Estimates (675,000) Ending Reserve – June 30, 2008 $6,665,000 New Losses Incurred 7/1 – 12/31/08 3,476,000 Payments Made 7/1 – 12/31/08 (1,678,000) Ending Reserve – Dec 31, 2008 8,463,000
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PricewaterhouseCoopers September 30, 2008 Slide 6 Net Actuarial Estimates As of June 30, 2008 Automobile Liability
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PricewaterhouseCoopers September 30, 2008 Slide 7 Net Actuarial Estimates As of June 30, 2008 Automobile Liability
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PricewaterhouseCoopers September 30, 2008 Slide 8 Net Actuarial Estimates As of June 30, 2008 Automobile Liability
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PricewaterhouseCoopers September 30, 2008 Slide 9 Comparison of Net Actuarial Estimates As of December 31, 2007 and June 30, 2008 Automobile Liability 2007 2008
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PricewaterhouseCoopers September 30, 2008 Slide 10 Comparison of Net Actuarial Estimates As of December 31, 2007 and June 30, 2008 General Liability
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PricewaterhouseCoopers September 30, 2008 Slide 11 Comparison of Net Actuarial Estimates As of December 31, 2007 and June 30, 2008 Auto Physical Damage
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PricewaterhouseCoopers September 30, 2008 Slide 12 Comparison of Net Actuarial Estimates As of December 31, 2007 and June 30, 2008 Property
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PricewaterhouseCoopers September 30, 2008 Slide 13 Comparison of Net Actuarial Estimates As of December 31, 2007 and June 30, 2008 All Coverages Combined
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PricewaterhouseCoopers September 30, 2008 Slide 14 Reserves to Equity Ratios
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PricewaterhouseCoopers September 30, 2008 Slide 15 Annual Losses to Equity Ratios
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PricewaterhouseCoopers September 30, 2008 Slide 16 Maximum Retained Loss to Equity Ratios
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PricewaterhouseCoopers September 30, 2008 Slide 17 Equity and Change in Equity
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