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The Growth of Firms
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Key definitions Organic growth: growth from “within the business” e.g. new products; expansion into new markets External growth: use of takeovers & mergers
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With strategy – firms have a CHOICE
Methods Organic growth Innovation Diversification International Expansion Cost leadership Takeovers / mergers Joint ventures or strategic alliances
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Types of Integration Horizontal Integration: two businesses in the same industry at the same stage of production becoming one
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Horizontal Integration
Tata buying Jaguar Land Rover from Ford Volkswagen buying Porsche Asda buying Netto (food supermarkets) Amazon buying LoveFilm Virgin Money buying Northern Rock Verizon’s $130bn purchase of Vodafone’s interest in its US mobile joint venture Suntory of Japan paid £1.35bn to buy GlaxoSmithKline’s drinks brands Lucozade & Ribena
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Microsoft - Nokia
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Advantages of Horizontal + Lateral Integration
Internal economies of scale Cost savings from rationalisation Potential to secure revenue “synergies” Wider range of products - (diversification) - Opportunities for economies of scope Reduces competition by removing rivals – increases market share and pricing power Can make the entry barriers higher for new rivals
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Types of Integration Vertical integration: acquiring a business in the same industry but at different stages of the supply chain Forward vertical: Closer to the consumers e.g. a manufacturer buying a retailer Backward vertical: Closer to the raw materials in the supply chain e.g. a manufacturer buying a raw material supplier
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Vertical Markets: The Book Industry Supply Chain
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Amazon – Huge Market Power
Volume Value % Chain bookshops* 29 36 Independent bookshops 4 5 Bargain bookshops 9 Supermarkets 13 10 Other shops 12 8 Book clubs 6 Internet-only retailers# 27 31 * Waterstone’s, WHSmith, Blackwell # Internet only – e.g. Amazon, Play.com Internet Only Book Sales in UK (2011) Market share Amazon 70% The Book Depository 4-5% Play.com 3-4% Others (including publishers’ direct) 22%
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Hotel Chocolat A vertically integrated business that owns and operates cocoa plantations in St Lucia (the Rabot Estate pictured above) and which roasts and manufactures chocolate in Cambridgeshire + owns many retail units across the UK
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Amazon – Market Power % Chain bookshops* 29 36 Independent bookshops 4
Volume Value % Chain bookshops* 29 36 Independent bookshops 4 5 Bargain bookshops 9 Supermarkets 13 10 Other shops 12 8 Book clubs 6 Internet-only retailers# 27 31 * Waterstone’s, WHSmith, Blackwell # Internet only – e.g. Amazon, Play.com Internet Only Book Sales in UK (2011) Market share Amazon 70% The Book Depository 4-5% Play.com 3-4% Others (including publishers’ direct) 22%
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Other examples of vertical integration
Film distributors owning cinemas + digital streaming platforms Brewers owning/operating pubs (forward vertical) or buying hop farms (backward vertical) Record labels and radio / online music stations Drinks manufacturers integrating with bottling plants Pig processing business buying a pig farm Technology companies growing vertically through hardware, software and services PayPal, acquired by eBay for $1.5bn in 2002 Google buying Motorola, a phone maker
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Recent Deals
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Advantages of Vertical Integration
Control of the supply chain – this helps to reduce costs and improve the quality of inputs into the production process Improved access to key raw materials perhaps at the expense of rival businesses Better control over retail distribution channels Removing suppliers and information from competitors which helps to make a market less contestable
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Types of Integration Lateral integration: companies joining together that produce similar but related products Conglomerate: Disparate businesses
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What type of integration here?
B
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What type of integration here?
B
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Mergers and Takeovers Takeover: Where one business acquires a controlling interest in another business = a change of ownership Merger: a combination of two previously separate businesses into a new business Diversification: expanding into new markets with new products – the riskiest growth strategy
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Some key strategic drivers of M&A activity
Rapid technological change Need for scale to remain competitive Need to be able to supply customers globally Low demand growth in mature economies Access to wider distribution networks Invest in faster-growing emerging markets
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Takeovers: 3 main motives
Strategic motives Improve & develop the business Closely linked to competitive advantage E.g. economies of scale Financial motives Make best use of financial resources for shareholders Improve financial performance E.g. higher profits Managerial motives Self-interest of managers Not necessarily in the best interest of shareholders E.g. want to lead a bigger business
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Takeovers: 3 main motives
Strategic motives Improve & develop the business Closely linked to competitive advantage E.g. economies of scale Financial motives Make best use of financial resources for shareholders Improve financial performance E.g. higher profits Managerial motives Self-interest of managers Not necessarily in the best interest of shareholders E.g. want to lead a bigger business
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Takeovers: 3 main motives
Strategic motives Improve & develop the business Closely linked to competitive advantage E.g. economies of scale Financial motives Make best use of financial resources for shareholders Improve financial performance E.g. higher profits Managerial motives Self-interest of managers Not necessarily in the best interest of shareholders E.g. want to lead a bigger business
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Shareholder value - example
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Examples of successful deals
Successful takeovers and mergers L’Oreal & The Body Shop (more shops, higher profits) Google & YouTube (rapid growth & advertising revenue) Tata & Jaguar Land Rover (£1bn profits in 2011) Santander & Abbey, Alliance & Leicester, Bradford & Bingley (higher profits & market leadership in UK) Taylor Woodrow & George Wimpey (economies of scale for two leading house builders merged together)
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Kraft / Cadbury – market leadership
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Cadbury’s strategic fit with Kraft
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Key financial motives for M&A
Make use of surplus cash and high share price E.g. businesses with high cash balances can potentially earn a better return by investing in other firms Bargain hunting & Asset Stripping Can the target be bought at a knock-down price? Potential to sell surplus assets & cut costs & still retain the business that was wanted in the first place
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Key financial motives for M&A
Make use of surplus cash and high share price E.g. businesses with high cash balances can potentially earn a better return by investing in other firms Bargain hunting & Asset Stripping Can the target be bought at a knock-down price? Potential to sell surplus assets & cut costs & still retain the business that was wanted in the first place
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Key managerial motives for M&A
Personal ambition & financial reward Director rewards may be linked to growth Big takeovers attract media – boosts ego / reputation? Takeovers as “vanity projects” Bandwagon effect / peer pressure Pressure to do takeovers (if competitors are too) Concern that firm may be being left behind Over-confidence Pressure from advisers & media (e.g. investment bankers)
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Key managerial motives for M&A
Personal ambition & financial reward Director rewards may be linked to growth Big takeovers attract media – boosts ego / reputation? Takeovers as “vanity projects” Bandwagon effect / peer pressure Pressure to do takeovers (if competitors are too) Concern that firm may be being left behind Over-confidence Pressure from advisers & media (e.g. investment bankers)
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Some examples of motives
Takeover / merger Main motives for the transaction Kraft / Cadbury Establish global market leadership in confectionery & access emerging markets Google / Motorola Acquire valuable smartphone patents & manufacturing expertise Tata / JLR Economies of scale & acquire expertise, brands, capacity and distribution RBS / ABN-Amro Management vanity; continue reputation for big deals; over-confidence Santander / Abbey Market entry (UK) & establish base for further acquisitions to build market share WM Morrison & Safeway Increase market share & exploit economies of scale to improve competitiveness British Airways / Iberia Consolidation; economies of scale & survival: positioning for further takeovers
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The most important evaluation point
Strategic Fit Does the takeover or merger fit with the objectives of the business? Does it make sense?
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The next most important evaluation point….
1 3 Will shareholders gain from synergy? Can = 3?
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What Is SYNERGY?
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Similar concept to “adding value”
An example of synergy… Similar concept to “adding value”
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Cost Savings Revenues Two kinds of “synergy”
Eliminate duplicated functions & services Better deals from suppliers Higher productivity & efficiency from shared assets Cost Savings Cross-selling to customers of both businesses New distribution channels Brand extensions New geographic markets opened up Revenues
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Cost Savings Revenues Two kinds of “synergy”
Eliminate duplicated functions & services Better deals from suppliers Higher productivity & efficiency from shared assets Cost Savings Cross-selling to customers of both businesses New distribution channels Brand extensions New geographic markets opened up Revenues
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Overview of the takeover process
Target Identification & Choice Valuation & Offer Due Diligence Integration
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Target Identification & Choice
Key evaluation point: Things can go wrong in each part of the takeover or merger Wrong target Pay too much Don’t check what you are buying Poor integration planning Target Identification & Choice Valuation & Offer Due Diligence Integration
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E.g. Paying too much! Valuation has to strike a balance
Interests of target shareholders Interests of buyer shareholders Don’t pay too much! Get the best price!
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Example of the Winner’s Curse - RBS
In 2007, RBS was part of a consortium that bid £49bn as it competed to buy ABN-Amro RBS clearly overpaid for the takeover The subsequent effect on RBS's capital reserves led to the forced nationalisation of RBS in 2008 to avoid a collapse of the UK banking system
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Some truly awful deals (1)
SOLD £25m
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Some truly awful deals (2)
£10bn Written Off + New Liabilities £15bn+
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Examples of deals that failed
Failed takeovers and mergers News Corp & Myspace (bought for £580m; sold for $25m) ITV & FriendsReunited (bought for £175m; sold 3 years later for £25m) Cisco & Flip (bought for $590m; closed down in a year) RBS & ABN-Amro (bought for £10bn; results in losses of at least £15bn & nationalisation) Terra Firma & EMI (bought for £4.2bn; sold 3 years later for loss of £1.75bn) – one of biggest private equity failures
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The problems of Merger Integration
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Imagine we are all responsible for managing this takeover…
Marks & Spencer Poundland Identify three areas that would be likely to be the hardest part of integrating the takeover
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Imagine we are all responsible for managing this takeover…
Marks & Spencer Poundland Identify three areas that would be likely to be the hardest part of integrating the takeover
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Building analysis & evaluation on takeover integration…
Importance of synergies Extent to which firms are similar (e.g. products, markets) Quality of integration planning and action (e.g. communication, leadership) Success of takeover integration will depend on… Are the two cultures significantly different? Type of takeover – e.g. cross-border, private equity Can be a short-term problem, but in the long-term, one culture will prevail Evaluating the importance of culture in a takeover
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Building analysis & evaluation on takeover integration…
Importance of synergies Extent to which firms are similar (e.g. products, markets) Quality of integration planning and action (e.g. communication, leadership) Success of takeover integration will depend on… Are the two cultures significantly different? Type of takeover – e.g. cross-border, private equity Can be a short-term problem, but in the long-term, one culture will prevail Evaluating the importance of culture in a takeover
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Summary: drawbacks of acquisitions
High cost involved Problems of valuation Clash of cultures Upset customers Problems of integration (change management) Resistance from employees Non-existent synergy Incompatibility of management styles, structures and culture Questionable motives High failure rate Diseconomies of scale
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Joint ventures Joint ventures occur when businesses join together to pursue a common project The businesses remain separate in legal terms Joint ventures are becoming common as firms want to benefit from collaborative work in reaching a mutually-agreed strategic target. An example might be joint-research projects to share the fixed costs
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Examples of joint ventures
Vodafone & Telefónica agreed to share their mobile network BMW and Toyota agreed in 2011 to co-operate on hydrogen fuel cells, vehicle electrification, lightweight materials and future sports car West Coast – joint venture between Virgin Rail & Stagecoach Google and NASA developing Google Earth Hollywood studios combining to fight internet piracy Alliances in airline industry e.g. Star Alliance and One World Starbucks - JV with Tata Beverages to break into the Indian retail market Joint Ventures between universities to deliver Massive Open Online Courses (MOOCs) – a fast-expanding sector of the higher education industry
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De-mergers When a firm decides to split into separate firms
Some of the key motivations for de-merger include: Focusing on core businesses to streamline costs and improve profit margins Reduce the risk of diseconomies of scale and diseconomies of scope by reducing the range of functions in a business, lower management costs Raise money from asset sales and return to shareholders A defensive tactic to avoid the attention of the competition authorities who might be investigating possible monopoly power in an industry / market
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Examples of de-mergers
The US pharmaceutical company Pfizer sold their infant nutrition business to Nestle Demerger of Cadbury's US drinks business creating a business called Dr Pepper Snapple Group Severn Trent Water demerged its waste management business Biffa Demerger of British Gas into a gas pipeline business Transco + an oil and gas exploration company Talk Talk demerged from Carphone Warehouse in 2010
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Examples of de-mergers
Fosters Group de-merging its two main operating divisions – one focusing on beer, the other on wine Punch and Spirit pub groups created out of demerger of Punch Taverns in 2011 US food giant Sara Lee sold off coffee business Douwe Egberts Quantas demerged their airline business and run stand-alone domestic and international airline businesses with each having their own profit and loss account News International demerged their Film and TV and Publishing businesses
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News International Film and TV Publishing Fox News 20th Century Fox
Sky Fox Television Publishing Dow Jones Wall Street Journal New York Post The Times The Sun Harper Collins
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The Reality of Market Power
Pricing Power Entry Barriers Monopsony Supply Chain Control Economies of Scale
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The Reality of Market Power
Industry Leadership Benchmark Businesses Profits to re-invest Habitual consumption
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