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IX: Market Innovations 27: Swap Agreements Credit Arbitrage Swap Currency Swap
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Chapter 27: Swap Agreements Credit Arbitrage Swap © Oltheten & Waspi 2012
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Chapter 27: Swap Agreements © Oltheten & Waspi 2012 Credit Arbitrage Swap SWAP debt payments to get from the market in which you can borrow at the lowest rate to the market in which you want to pay interest. Need to borrow $10m Rating 10 Year Bond Rate 6 month Commercial Paper Rate Bank of AmericaAAA10.00%T-Bill + 0.30% Hypothetical ResourcesBBB11.90%T-Bill + 0.80%
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Chapter 27: Swap Agreements Credit Arbitrage Swap Need to borrow $10m Rating 10 Year Bond Rate 6 month Commercial Paper Rate Bank of AmericaAAA10.00%T-Bill + 0.30% Hypothetical ResourcesBBB11.90%T-Bill + 0.80% 190 bp 50 bp Market in which we would rather pay interest Market in which BofA has an absolute advantage Market in which we have a comparative advantage © Oltheten & Waspi 2012
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Chapter 27: Swap Agreements Credit Arbitrage Swap © Oltheten & Waspi 2012 Need to borrow $10m Rating 10 Year Bond Rate 6 month Commercial Paper Rate Bank of AmericaAAA10.00%T-Bill + 0.30% Hypothetical ResourcesBBB11.90%T-Bill + 0.80% 190 bp 50 bp … and swap into a fixed interest payment … and swap into a variable interest payment BofA will borrow in the 10yr fixed market … HR will borrow in the 6 month fixed market …
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Chapter 27: Swap Agreements Borrow © Oltheten & Waspi 2012 Each company borrows in the market in which it has a comparative advantage. Bank of AmericaHypothetical Resources Borrow $10m in 10 year bonds -10.00%Borrow $10 million in Commercial Paper - (TB + 0.80)%
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Chapter 27: Swap Agreements Swap a fixed payment © Oltheten & Waspi 2012 Bank of AmericaHypothetical Resources Borrow $10m in 10 year bonds -10.00 %Borrow $10 million in Commercial Paper - (TB + 0.80)% Swap: fixed payment+11.00 %Swap: fixed payment-11.00 %
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Chapter 27: Swap Agreements Swap a variable payment © Oltheten & Waspi 2012 Bank of AmericaHypothetical Resources Borrow $10m in 10 year bonds -10.00 %Borrow $10 million in Commercial Paper - (TB + 0.80)% Swap: fixed payment +11.00 % Swap: fixed payment -11.00 % Swap: variable payment - (TB +0.70)% Swap: variable payment +(TB + 0.50)% 0.20% to intermediary
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Chapter 27: Swap Agreements Net debt payment © Oltheten & Waspi 2012 Bank of AmericaHypothetical Resources Borrow $10m in 10 year bonds - 10.00 %Borrow $10 million in Commercial Paper - (TB + 0.80)% Swap: fixed payment + 11.00 % Swap: fixed payment - 11.00 % Swap: variable payment - (TB + 0.70)% Swap: variable payment +(TB + 0.50)% NET:- (TB - 0.30)%NET:- 11.30 % -10.00 + 11.00 – TB - 0.70 =- TB + 0.30 = - (TB - 0.30) - TB - 0.80 - 11.00 + TB + 0.50 =- 11.30
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Chapter 27: Swap Agreements Credit Arbitrage Swap © Oltheten & Waspi 2012 Need to borrow $10m Rating 10 Year Bond Rate 6 month Commercial Paper Rate Bank of AmericaAAA10.00%T-Bill + 0.30% Hypothetical ResourcesBBB11.90%T-Bill + 0.80% 190 bp 50 bp Net Payment is 11.30% Net payment is T-Bill – 0.30% Gain of 0.60% Intermediary gets 0.20% Total Gains from Swap: 140 basis points
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Chapter 27: Swap Agreements Credit Arbitrage Swap © Oltheten & Waspi 2012 Need to borrow $10m Rating 10 Year Bond Rate 6 month Commercial Paper Rate Bank of AmericaAAA10.00%T-Bill + 0.30% Hypothetical ResourcesBBB11.90%T-Bill + 0.80% Difference:190 50 Total Gain = 1.40% = 140 basis points
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Chapter 27: Swap Agreements © Oltheten & Waspi 2012 Engineering the Swap Calculate the advantage 140 basis points Distribute the advantage 60 basis points to Bank of America 60 basis points to Hypothetical Resources 20 basis points to the Intermediary Calculate the swap backwards from the bottom line
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Chapter 27: Swap Agreements Engineering the Swap © Oltheten & Waspi 2012 Bank of AmericaHypothetical Resources Borrow $10m in 10 year bonds - 10.00 %Borrow $10 million in Commercial Paper - (TB + 0.80)% NET:- (TB - 0.30)%NET:- 11.30 % -(TB + 0.30) + 0.60 = - (TB - 0.30)-11.90 + 0.60 = - 11.30
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Chapter 27: Swap Agreements Engineering the Swap © Oltheten & Waspi 2012 Bank of AmericaHypothetical Resources Borrow $10m in 10 year bonds - 10.00 %Borrow $10 million in Commercial Paper - (TB + 0.80)% Swap: fixed payment + 11.00 % Swap: fixed payment - 11.00 % NET:- (TB - 0.30)%NET:- 11.30 % Set the fixed payment
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Chapter 27: Swap Agreements Engineering the Swap © Oltheten & Waspi 2012 Bank of AmericaHypothetical Resources Borrow $10m in 10 year bonds - 10.00 %Borrow $10 million in Commercial Paper - (TB + 0.80)% Swap: fixed payment + 11.00 % Swap: fixed payment - 11.00 % Swap: variable payment - (TB + 0.70)% Swap: variable payment +(TB + 0.50)% NET:- (TB - 0.30)%NET:- 11.30 % Calculate the variable payment
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Chapter 27: Swap Agreements Swap: Payment Flow © Oltheten & Waspi 2012 Bank of America T-Bill – 0.30 Long Term Debt Market Commercial Paper Market Hypothetical Resources 11.30% Intermediary 10.00% T-Bill + 0.80 %.20% T-Bill + 0.50 % 11.00% $10,000,000 Notional Principal Amount
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Chapter 27: Swap Agreements © Oltheten & Waspi 2012 Swap Payments Suppose the T-Bill rate is 9.0% at the end of 12 months 10.5% at the end of 6 months 12.0% at the end of 18 months
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Chapter 27: Swap Agreements T-Bill Rate: 9.0% © Oltheten & Waspi 2012 $75,000 Bank of America T-Bill – 0.30 8.7% Long Term Debt Market Commercial Paper Market Hypothetical Resources 11.30% Intermediary 10.00% T-Bill +0.80 9.80%.20% 11.00% $10,000,000 Notional Principal Amount T-Bill +0.50 9.50 % 1.50%
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Chapter 27: Swap Agreements T-Bill Rate: 10.5% © Oltheten & Waspi 2012 $0 Bank of America T-Bill – 0.30 10.2% Long Term Debt Market Commercial Paper Market Hypothetical Resources 11.30% Intermediary 10.00% T-Bill +0.80 11.30%.20% 11.00% $10,000,000 Notional Principal Amount T-Bill +0.50 11.00 %
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Chapter 27: Swap Agreements T-Bill Rate: 12.0% © Oltheten & Waspi 2012 $75,000 Bank of America T-Bill – 0.30 11.7% Long Term Debt Market Commercial Paper Market Hypothetical Resources 11.30% Intermediary 10.00% T-Bill +0.80 12.80%.20% 11.00% $10,000,000 Notional Principal Amount T-Bill +0.50 12.50 % 1.50%
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Chapter 27: Swap Agreements Currency Swap © Oltheten & Waspi 2012
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Chapter 27: Swap Agreements Currency Swap © Oltheten & Waspi 2012 Rating Rate in the USA Euro Rate Boeing Needs to borrow €10m AAA5.00%12.60% Airlease Needs to borrow $9m BBB7.00%13.00% Difference200 bp40 bp Each company has a comparative advantage in the “wrong” currency so we use a swap to put each company in the target currency at a lower rate.
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Chapter 27: Swap Agreements Borrow © Oltheten & Waspi 2012 Each company borrows in the market in which it has a comparative advantage. BoeingAirlease Borrow $9m-5.00%Borrow €10m-13.00%
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Chapter 27: Swap Agreements Swap Principal © Oltheten & Waspi 2012 Boeing(€10m)Airlease($9m) Borrow $9m-5.00%Borrow €10m-13.00%
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Chapter 27: Swap Agreements Neutralize Currency Risk © Oltheten & Waspi 2012 Boeing(€10m)Airlease($9m) Borrow $9m-5.00%Borrow €10m-13.00% Swap: Dollars+ $9m * 5.00%Swap: Euros+ €10m * 13.00%
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Chapter 27: Swap Agreements Calculate the advantage © Oltheten & Waspi 2012 Total Advantage: 160 basis points Boeing(€10m)Airlease($9m) Borrow $9m-5.00%Borrow €10m-13.00% Take 20 basis points for the Intermediary and distribute the remaining 140 basis points equally Original Euro Rate- 12.60%Original Dollar Rate- 7.00% Swap advantage+.70%Swap advantage+.70% Net:- 11.90%Net:- 6.30%
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Chapter 27: Swap Agreements Distribute the advantage © Oltheten & Waspi 2012 Boeing(€10m)Airlease($9m) Borrow $9m-5.00%Borrow €10m-13.00% Swap: Dollars+ $9m * 5.00%Swap: Euros+ €10m * 13.00% Net:- €10m * 11.90%Net:- $9m * 6.30%
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Chapter 27: Swap Agreements Calculate the Swap © Oltheten & Waspi 2012 Boeing(€10m)Airlease($9m) Borrow $9m-5.00%Borrow €10m-13.00% Swap: Dollars+ $9m * 5.00%Swap: Euros+ €10m * 13.00% Swap: Euros- €10m * 11.90%Swap: Dollars- $9m * 6.30% Net:- €10m * 11.90%Net:- $9m * 6.30%
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Chapter 27: Swap Agreements © Oltheten & Waspi 2012 Currency Swap We have completely eliminated the foreign exchange risk for both counterparties by transferring exchange risk completely to the Intermediary
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Chapter 27: Swap Agreements Payment Flow © Oltheten & Waspi 2012 With no swap Airlease Euro Debt Market US Dollar Debt Market Boeing Intermediary €10m @13.00% $9m * 5.00 % $9m * 6.30 % €10m * 13.00% €10m * 11.90% $9m * 5.00 % $9m * 7.00 % €10m @12.60%
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Chapter 27: Swap Agreements Payment Flow © Oltheten & Waspi 2012 Airlease Boeing Intermediary + 1.3% of $9m - 1.1% of €10m Net: 0.20% + All the exchange risk $9m * 6.30 % €10m * 13.00% €10m * 11.90% $9m * 5.00 %
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Chapter 27: Swap Agreements © Oltheten & Waspi 2012 Intermediary’s Foreign Exchange Risk Every six months the Intermediary Takes in ½(1.3% of $9m) = $58,500. Pays out ½(1.1% of €10m) = €55,000. Profit: Π = $58,500 - €55,000 * $ exchange €.
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Chapter 27: Swap Agreements Intermediary’s ForEx Risk © Oltheten & Waspi 2012 $1.0636 $1.40 -$24,000
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Swap Agreements
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