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6 Disruptive Trends  The south has risen—Again  The “browning” of America  Marrying Out is “In”  The Silver Tsunami is about to Hit  The end of Men?

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Presentation on theme: "6 Disruptive Trends  The south has risen—Again  The “browning” of America  Marrying Out is “In”  The Silver Tsunami is about to Hit  The end of Men?"— Presentation transcript:

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2 6 Disruptive Trends  The south has risen—Again  The “browning” of America  Marrying Out is “In”  The Silver Tsunami is about to Hit  The end of Men?  Cooling Water from Grandma’s Well— and Grandpa’s Too?

3 The south has risen—Again Shares of Net Population Growth by Region 2000-2009 RegionAbsolute Population Change Percent of Total United States24,834,593100% North East1,616,1736.5% Midwest2,342,9559.4% South12,757,94051.4% West8,117,52532.7% What are the implications?

4 The “browning” of America U.S. population change by race & ethnicity, 2000-2009 Total307,806,55024,834,5398.8% Non-Hispanic258,587,22612,057,6484.9% White199,851,2404,088,4482.1% Black37,681,5543,276,6619.5% American Indian & Alaska Native 2,360,807256,56412.2% Asian13,686,0833,23341730.9% Native Hawaiian & Other Pacific Islander 448,51079,26021.5% Two or More Races4,559,0421,123,29832.7% Hispanic48,419,32412,776,94535.8%

5 The Future… Relative Distribution of U.S. Population by Race/Ethnicity Race/Ethnicity20052050 White67%47% Black12.8%13% Hispanic14%29% Asian5%9%

6 Marrying Out is “In” Percent of Newlyweds Married to someone of a different Race/Ethnicity White8.9% Black15.5% Hispanic25.7% Asian30.8%

7 Intermarriage Trends 1980- 2008 Newly Married Currently Married 19806.7%3.2% 19908.6%4.5% 200012.1%6.8% 201014.6%8.0% Hispanic/White41% Asian/White15% Other17% Both non- white11% Black/White16%

8 The Silver Tsunami is about to Hit U.S. Population Change by Age, 2000-2009 Age2009Absolute Change% Change <25104,960,2505,258,4925.3% 25-4484,096,278-1,898,345-2.2% 45-6479,379,43916,977,56727.2% 65+39,570,5904,496,88612.8% Total307,006,55024,834,5938.8%

9 Every day over the next 5 years  12,300 people will turn age 50  11,500 people will turn age 55  9,200 people will turn age 62  8000 people will turn age 65

10 The end of Men? Jobs lost/gained by gender during the 2007 – 2009 Recession IndustryWomenMen Construction-106,000-1,300,000 Manufacturing-106,000-1,900,000 Healthcare+451,800+118,100 Government+176,000+12,000 Total-1,700,000-4,700,000 College Class of 2010 DegreeMaleFemaleDifference Associate’s293,000486,000193,000 Bachelor's702,000946,000244,000 Master’s257,000391,000134,000 Professional46,80046,400-400 Doctoral31,50032,9001,400 Total1,330,3001,902,300572,000

11 Female Workforce Representation 197036.8% 198042.2% 199047.4% 200048.0% 201049.8% 19672007 % of Bread winner mothers11.7%39.3% % of Co-breadwinner mothers16.0%24.0% Total27.7%63.3%

12 Cooling Water from Grandma’s Well—and Grandpa’s Too? Children living in non-grandparent and grandparent households Householder Type2010 #2010%2001#2001%Change #Change % All74,718100%72,006100%2,7123.8% No Grandparents67,20990%66,29292%9171.4% Both Grandparents2,6103.5%1,8392.6%77141.9% Grandmother only1,9222.6%1,7582.4%1649.3% Grandfather Only3180.4%2470.3%7128.7%

13  http://www.kenan- flagler.unc.edu/~/media/files/kenaninstitu te/UNC_KenanInstitute_2010Census http://www.kenan- flagler.unc.edu/~/media/files/kenaninstitu te/UNC_KenanInstitute_2010Census


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