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6 Disruptive Trends The south has risen—Again The “browning” of America Marrying Out is “In” The Silver Tsunami is about to Hit The end of Men? Cooling Water from Grandma’s Well— and Grandpa’s Too?
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The south has risen—Again Shares of Net Population Growth by Region 2000-2009 RegionAbsolute Population Change Percent of Total United States24,834,593100% North East1,616,1736.5% Midwest2,342,9559.4% South12,757,94051.4% West8,117,52532.7% What are the implications?
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The “browning” of America U.S. population change by race & ethnicity, 2000-2009 Total307,806,55024,834,5398.8% Non-Hispanic258,587,22612,057,6484.9% White199,851,2404,088,4482.1% Black37,681,5543,276,6619.5% American Indian & Alaska Native 2,360,807256,56412.2% Asian13,686,0833,23341730.9% Native Hawaiian & Other Pacific Islander 448,51079,26021.5% Two or More Races4,559,0421,123,29832.7% Hispanic48,419,32412,776,94535.8%
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The Future… Relative Distribution of U.S. Population by Race/Ethnicity Race/Ethnicity20052050 White67%47% Black12.8%13% Hispanic14%29% Asian5%9%
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Marrying Out is “In” Percent of Newlyweds Married to someone of a different Race/Ethnicity White8.9% Black15.5% Hispanic25.7% Asian30.8%
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Intermarriage Trends 1980- 2008 Newly Married Currently Married 19806.7%3.2% 19908.6%4.5% 200012.1%6.8% 201014.6%8.0% Hispanic/White41% Asian/White15% Other17% Both non- white11% Black/White16%
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The Silver Tsunami is about to Hit U.S. Population Change by Age, 2000-2009 Age2009Absolute Change% Change <25104,960,2505,258,4925.3% 25-4484,096,278-1,898,345-2.2% 45-6479,379,43916,977,56727.2% 65+39,570,5904,496,88612.8% Total307,006,55024,834,5938.8%
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Every day over the next 5 years 12,300 people will turn age 50 11,500 people will turn age 55 9,200 people will turn age 62 8000 people will turn age 65
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The end of Men? Jobs lost/gained by gender during the 2007 – 2009 Recession IndustryWomenMen Construction-106,000-1,300,000 Manufacturing-106,000-1,900,000 Healthcare+451,800+118,100 Government+176,000+12,000 Total-1,700,000-4,700,000 College Class of 2010 DegreeMaleFemaleDifference Associate’s293,000486,000193,000 Bachelor's702,000946,000244,000 Master’s257,000391,000134,000 Professional46,80046,400-400 Doctoral31,50032,9001,400 Total1,330,3001,902,300572,000
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Female Workforce Representation 197036.8% 198042.2% 199047.4% 200048.0% 201049.8% 19672007 % of Bread winner mothers11.7%39.3% % of Co-breadwinner mothers16.0%24.0% Total27.7%63.3%
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Cooling Water from Grandma’s Well—and Grandpa’s Too? Children living in non-grandparent and grandparent households Householder Type2010 #2010%2001#2001%Change #Change % All74,718100%72,006100%2,7123.8% No Grandparents67,20990%66,29292%9171.4% Both Grandparents2,6103.5%1,8392.6%77141.9% Grandmother only1,9222.6%1,7582.4%1649.3% Grandfather Only3180.4%2470.3%7128.7%
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http://www.kenan- flagler.unc.edu/~/media/files/kenaninstitu te/UNC_KenanInstitute_2010Census http://www.kenan- flagler.unc.edu/~/media/files/kenaninstitu te/UNC_KenanInstitute_2010Census
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