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© AMERICAN COUNCIL OF LIFE INSURERS 101 Constitution Ave., NW, Washington, DC 20001-2133 Ageing Populations and the Pension Debate June 1, 2012
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© AMERICAN COUNCIL OF LIFE INSURERS 101 Constitution Ave., NW, Washington, DC 20001-2133 Japan 2
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© AMERICAN COUNCIL OF LIFE INSURERS 101 Constitution Ave., NW, Washington, DC 20001-2133 Japan Japan in 2050: 1-year-old’s birthday 3
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© AMERICAN COUNCIL OF LIFE INSURERS 101 Constitution Ave., NW, Washington, DC 20001-2133 Japan Japan in 2050: 1-year-old’s birthday = 100 year old’s birthday 4
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© AMERICAN COUNCIL OF LIFE INSURERS 101 Constitution Ave., NW, Washington, DC 20001-2133 Japan By 2050: 22 million 5
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© AMERICAN COUNCIL OF LIFE INSURERS 101 Constitution Ave., NW, Washington, DC 20001-2133 Japan By 2050: 22 million 6
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© AMERICAN COUNCIL OF LIFE INSURERS 101 Constitution Ave., NW, Washington, DC 20001-2133 Japan By 2050: 22 million 17% 7
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Japan GDP ? © AMERICAN COUNCIL OF LIFE INSURERS 101 Constitution Ave., NW, Washington, DC 20001-2133 8
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© AMERICAN COUNCIL OF LIFE INSURERS 101 Constitution Ave., NW, Washington, DC 20001-2133 European Union 9
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© AMERICAN COUNCIL OF LIFE INSURERS 101 Constitution Ave., NW, Washington, DC 20001-2133 European Union Workers Retirees 10
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© AMERICAN COUNCIL OF LIFE INSURERS 101 Constitution Ave., NW, Washington, DC 20001-2133 European Union Workers Retirees 2010 3.5 1 11
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© AMERICAN COUNCIL OF LIFE INSURERS 101 Constitution Ave., NW, Washington, DC 20001-2133 European Union Workers Retirees 2010 3.5 1 2050 1.8 1 12
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© AMERICAN COUNCIL OF LIFE INSURERS 101 Constitution Ave., NW, Washington, DC 20001-2133 European Union 13 Sustainable?
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© AMERICAN COUNCIL OF LIFE INSURERS 101 Constitution Ave., NW, Washington, DC 20001-2133 United States 14
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Life Expectancy © AMERICAN COUNCIL OF LIFE INSURERS 101 Constitution Ave., NW, Washington, DC 20001-2133 United States 15
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Life Expectancy © AMERICAN COUNCIL OF LIFE INSURERS 101 Constitution Ave., NW, Washington, DC 20001-2133 United States 16
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United States © AMERICAN COUNCIL OF LIFE INSURERS 101 Constitution Ave., NW, Washington, DC 20001-2133 17
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United States © AMERICAN COUNCIL OF LIFE INSURERS 101 Constitution Ave., NW, Washington, DC 20001-2133 18
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United States © AMERICAN COUNCIL OF LIFE INSURERS 101 Constitution Ave., NW, Washington, DC 20001-2133 1940 2,000 19
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United States © AMERICAN COUNCIL OF LIFE INSURERS 101 Constitution Ave., NW, Washington, DC 20001-2133 1940 2,000 2050 4,000 20
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United States © AMERICAN COUNCIL OF LIFE INSURERS 101 Constitution Ave., NW, Washington, DC 20001-2133 1940 2,000 2050 4,000,000 21
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© AMERICAN COUNCIL OF LIFE INSURERS 101 Constitution Ave., NW, Washington, DC 20001-2133 United States Economist and Nobel Laureate Robert Fogel 22
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© AMERICAN COUNCIL OF LIFE INSURERS 101 Constitution Ave., NW, Washington, DC 20001-2133 United States Economist and Nobel Laureate Robert Fogel predicts that half of Americans in their 30s today will live … 23
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© AMERICAN COUNCIL OF LIFE INSURERS 101 Constitution Ave., NW, Washington, DC 20001-2133 United States Economist and Nobel Laureate Robert Fogel predicts that half of Americans in their 30s today will live … past age 100. 24
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© AMERICAN COUNCIL OF LIFE INSURERS 101 Constitution Ave., NW, Washington, DC 20001-2133 United States … what about today’s 20 year olds? 25
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© AMERICAN COUNCIL OF LIFE INSURERS 101 Constitution Ave., NW, Washington, DC 20001-2133 United States … what about today’s 20 year olds? … what about today’s 10 year olds? 26
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© AMERICAN COUNCIL OF LIFE INSURERS 101 Constitution Ave., NW, Washington, DC 20001-2133 United States … what about today’s 20 year olds? … what about today’s 10 year olds? … what about newborns? 27
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© AMERICAN COUNCIL OF LIFE INSURERS 101 Constitution Ave., NW, Washington, DC 20001-2133 United States … what about today’s 20 year olds? … what about today’s 10 year olds? … what about newborns? … how many will live more than 100 years? 28
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© AMERICAN COUNCIL OF LIFE INSURERS 101 Constitution Ave., NW, Washington, DC 20001-2133 United States … what about today’s 20 year olds? … what about today’s 10 year olds? … what about newborns? … how many will live more than 100 years? … WILL WE BE READY? 29
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U.S. Federal Reserve Board Chairman Ben Bernanke said: © AMERICAN COUNCIL OF LIFE INSURERS 101 Constitution Ave., NW, Washington, DC 20001-2133 30
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U.S. Federal Reserve Board Chairman Ben Bernanke said: “In coming decades, many forces will shape our economy and our society, but in all likelihood no single factor will have as pervasive an effect as the ageing of our population.” © AMERICAN COUNCIL OF LIFE INSURERS 101 Constitution Ave., NW, Washington, DC 20001-2133 31
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