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Market Bias Forecast April 16-20, 2007 Copyright 2007, A New Story Foundation, Inc All rights reserved.

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Presentation on theme: "Market Bias Forecast April 16-20, 2007 Copyright 2007, A New Story Foundation, Inc All rights reserved."— Presentation transcript:

1 Market Bias Forecast April 16-20, 2007 Copyright 2007, A New Story Foundation, Inc All rights reserved.

2 What is a Market Bias Forecast? In researching social instability, A New Story Foundation has developed a method for successfully forecasting market movement in several key commodities and equity indices. Market Bias is the composite outlook of a quantified estimate of bullish and bearish investors’ perspectives. Copyright 2007, A New Story Foundation, Inc.

3 Market Bias The charts on the following pages will show the estimated bias strengths from the bullish (long) and bearish (short) perspectives. A positive number is good for that perspective, and a negative number is not. To the right of the charts is the forecast for that commodity derived from the composite bias. Copyright 2007, A New Story Foundation, Inc.

4 Revised Format We have revised our presentation of the price range for the weekly forecast. Line charts depicting price change each day have been replaced with a candlestick showing the net change for the week. These charts should be more consistently reliable and thus more consistently helpful than the previous presentation.

5 April 16-20, 2007 – Highlights Theme: Turbulence, Volatility, and Violent movements. Crude Oil breaks down mid week, then rallies. Net gain around 2.3%. The Stock Market makes a break down mid week. Losses could exceed 3%. The dollar has direction problems again; net change for the week close to 0. April 16-20, 2007 Market Bias Forecast. Copyright 2007, A New Story Foundation, Inc.

6 Crude Oil Expect a wild ride this week with big losses mid-week giving way to big gains. Slightly negative bias going into next week. April 16-20, 2007 Market Bias Forecast. Copyright 2007, A New Story Foundation, Inc.

7 Crude Oil – price range April 16-20, 2007 Market Bias Forecast. Copyright 2007, A New Story Foundation, Inc. Expected low 65.14, high 68. Net gain for the week around 2.3%.

8 Stock Market Much more down than up this week. Look for a break down mid week. Moderately negative going into the following week. April 16-20, 2007 Market Bias Forecast. Copyright 2007, A New Story Foundation, Inc.

9 Dow Index – price range April 16-20, 2007 Market Bias Forecast. Copyright 2007, A New Story Foundation, Inc. Expected high 12690, low 12300. Losses could exceed 3% this week.

10 U.S. Dollar Index Starts out positive, then turns down. Ends the week mostly flat. Highly negative bias going into next week. April 16-20, 2007 Market Bias Forecast. Copyright 2007, A New Story Foundation, Inc.

11 U.S. Dollar Index - price April 16-20, 2007 Market Bias Forecast. Copyright 2007, A New Story Foundation, Inc. Expected high 82.32, low 81.50. Very small net change for the week.

12 Market Bias Summary - volatility April 16-20, 2007 Market Bias Forecast. Copyright 2007, A New Story Foundation, Inc. Monday biggest up day for the dollar. Wed. and Thur. most volatile for crude oil and the stock market. Thur. potential dollar rally.

13 Disclaimer A New Story Foundation is not a brokerage firm nor are we professional investment advisors. Please consult the appropriate person/firm for specific investment advice. Should you find our forecasts beneficial please consider supporting our research. Our sole source of funding is donations and grants from people like you. More information can be found on our website at http://anewstory.org.

14 Have a great week!


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