1. Population Projection Interpretation of Outputs DemProj Version 4 A Computer Program for Making Population Projections

2. Output DemProj will calculate and display the population size by year. Projections can be examined in terms of total population or population by age, sex, and region. A number of demographic indicators can also be displayed.

3. Output – Population size Total population size Population aged 0-4 Population aged 5-14 Population aged 15-64 Population aged 65+

4. Total net international migration Annual growth rate (GR). –The rate at which the population is increasing or decreasing in a given year due to natural increase and net migration, expressed as a percentage of the base population. Births. –The total number of annual births. Child-woman ratio. –The number of children under the age of five per woman of childbearing age (15-49). Output - continued

5. Crude birth rate (CBR). –The number of live births per 1,000 population in a given year. Crude death rate (CDR). –The number of deaths per 1,000 population in a given year. Deaths. –The total number of annual deaths. Defined age group. –The size of the population in a user-defined age group. Dependency ratio. –The ratio of the economically dependent part of the population (those aged 0-14 and 65 and over) to the productive part (those aged 15-64). Output - continued

6. Doubling time. –The number of years it would take for the population to double its current size at the current annual rate of growth. Gross reproduction rate (GRR). –The average number of daughters that would be born to a woman (or a group of women) during her lifetime if she passed through all her childbearing years conforming to the age-specific fertility rates of a given year. This is similar to the TFR except that it counts only daughters. Infant mortality rate (IMR). –The number of deaths to infants under one year of age per 1,000 live births.

7. Life expectancy [e(0)]. –The average number of years a person can expect to live based on the age-specific death rates for a given year. This is the calculated life expectancy at birth. If AIM is not being used, then this number will be the same as the input life expectancy. However, if AIM is being used, then the calculated life expectancy will include the impact of AIDS deaths. Therefore, it will be different from the input life expectancy. Mean age of childbearing. –The average age of mothers at the time of birth. Median age. –The age that divides a population into two numerically equal groups. Output - continued

8. Net reproduction rate (NRR). –The average number of daughters that would be born to a woman (or a group of women) during her lifetime if she passed through all her childbearing years conforming to the age-specific fertility rates and age- specific mortality rates of a given year. This is similar to the GRR except that it includes the effect of mortality that would cause some women to die before completing their childbearing years. Rate of natural increase (RNI). –The rate at which the population is increasing or decreasing in a given year due to the surplus or deficit of births over deaths, expressed as a percentage of the base population. Output - continued

9. Sex ratio. –The number of males per 100 females in a population. Total fertility rate (TFR). –The average number of children that would be born alive to a woman (or a group of women) during her lifetime if she were to pass through all her childbearing years conforming to the age- specific fertility rates of a given year. Under-five mortality rate (U5MR). –The number of deaths to children under the age of five per 1,000 live births. Output - continued