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National Elections Municipal and Regional Elections
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Presidential Elections Legislative Elections National Cast of State and Local Elections (1958 – 1978)
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Minority Presidents (1958- 1973) Presidents During Bi- party Dominance WINNERS Rómulo Betancourt Raul Leoni Rafael Caldera I Carlos Andrés Pérez I Luis Herrera Campins Jaime Lusinchi Carlos Andrés Pérez II
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Caldera’s Second Victory Shatters AD-COPEI Dominance Chavez Victory in 1998 leads to a new political regime WINNERS Rafael Caldera II Hugo Chavez I
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Election rules Proportional list Control by central party organizations Divided congress during the multiparty system AD demands patronage for cooperation during the two COPEI governments Tight control by AD during Lusinchi government (1984-89)
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AD retains control of Congress with diminished majorities (1989-94) Election rules Shift to a mixed system of voting for congress Proportional list slowly reduced Increase of single, member district – winner take all Elections of December 1993 Caldera government lacks majority AD assists Caldera in return for patronage (return of earlier pattern) Separate legislative elections in December 1998 Divided congress with AD retaining largest delegation Congress is closed down as constituent Assembly picks up support
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Centralized control of municipal elections (1958-78) Centralized control of regional governments (1958-1989) Appointment of governors Single ballot elects governors Municipal Reforms of 1978 Separation of municipal elections City manager system and its frustration
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Dynamics of growing dissatisfaction COPRE and the Lusinchi government C.A. Perez’s advocacy of reform Reforms of 1989 Creation of the office of Elected Mayor Mixed system of electing municipal councilmen Juntas Parrochiales Shortage of resources reduces impact of decentralization reforms
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Direct election of governors State Legislatures on a “mixed” basis Direction election of mayors Strengthening of Parish Councils
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Struggle to retain dominance by central party organizations of AD and COPEI Emergence of local power bases opposed to two-party domination CAUSA R in the industrial state of Bolivar MAS in Aragua
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National elections of 1998 Constituent Assembly and Constitutional Referendum of 1999 Continued domination by the Patriotic Pole Manipulated electoral law shuts out opposition from writing of the new constitution December referendum on the new constitution Overwhelming approval Abstention high
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Conditions Plurality – six year term Delay of balloting The Contendors MVR and MAS back Chavez Francisco Arias Cardenas spearheads the opposition Claudio Fermin: Punto Fijo revival? Outcome Chavez wins 60% of the total popular vote
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Conditions Mixed list-plurality system Five-year term The Contendors MVR and MAS form Patriotic Pole AD fields candidates in all states New political parties in the regions (states) Outcome Patriotic Pole wins majority – but unable to modify the constitution AD has largest opposition delegation Middle class parties elect numerous Assemblymen
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Conditions Governors elected – first past the post (five year terms) Mixed list-plurality system for state legislatures The Contendors MVR and MAS form Patriotic Pole AD fields candidates in all states New political parties in the regions (states) Outcome Patriotic Pole wins 16 of the 21 governors Zulia remains with the opposition Central states (Aragua & Carabobo) back opposition AD elects governors in the Llanos
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Conditions Mayors elected in mega-elections of July 30, 2000 Councilmen elected in December local elections Neighborhood councils elected in December local elections The Contendors MVR and MAS form Patriotic Pole AD fields candidates in most municipalities New political parties in the regions run candidates for mayor/councilmen Outcome Patriotic Pole wins a majority of majors, but just barely AD elects almost 30% of the majors s Junta parochiales split among opposition and government forces
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Abstention
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