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Peanut Situation and Outlook for 2000/2001 Southern Region Agricultural Outlook Conference September 25-27, 2000.

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Presentation on theme: "Peanut Situation and Outlook for 2000/2001 Southern Region Agricultural Outlook Conference September 25-27, 2000."— Presentation transcript:

1 Peanut Situation and Outlook for 2000/2001 Southern Region Agricultural Outlook Conference September 25-27, 2000

2 Peanut Situation u Crop conditions a mixed bag u U.S. production on a downtrend u Domestic demand slowly increasing u Exports flat u Stocks at burdensome level but expected to be trimmed in 2001 u Lowest prices in a decade

3 Peanut Planted Acres by Region

4 U.S. Peanut Yields

5 US Peanut Production

6 US Peanut Production and Quota 1990-2000 Quota Plus Buybacks

7 U.S. Peanut Balance Sheet million pounds (Sept 13, 2000) 25.628.4Average Price 103512291392Ending Stocks 411641613575TOTAL USE 391496401Seed & Residual 720 562Exports 710713460Crush 229522322153Food Use 515153904967TOTAL SUPPLY 169 155Imports 375338293963Production 12291392848Beg. Stocks 2000/01 Proj.1999/00 Est.1998/99

8 World Peanut Production by Country

9 World Peanut Production Source: FAS, USDA

10 Domestic Food Use Of Peanuts Adjusted For Imports

11 Edible Peanut Use by Product 1999/2000

12 Domestic Peanut Use

13 Use of Shelled Edible Peanuts August thru June CandySnacksPButterTotal

14 Government Purchases For Food and Child Nutrition Programs * Through June ‘00

15 Trend in the Volume of Exports for USA

16 Major Peanut Export Destinations 1999 Marketing Year

17 Old Crop Carry-In Stocks

18 U.S. Average Peanut Price

19 Price of 50% Peanut Meal Southeast Mills * Estimated

20 Price of Peanut Oil, Southeast Mills * Estimated

21 Outlook for 2000-01 u Prices at support level despite drought conditions u Continuation of current trends on supply and demand side –Reduction in additional peanut acreage –Increasing yields –Steady growth in demand –Global competition

22 Peanut Industry Issues u Quality - aflatoxin u Irrigation receiving contracts u Increased Promotion – National Peanut Board u Competitiveness in export market u Future of the Peanut Program


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