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Assessment of aerosol direct effects on surface radiation in the northern hemisphere using two-way WRF-CMAQ model Jia Xing, Jonathan Pleim, Rohit Mathur, David Wong, George Pouliot, Christian Hogrefe, Chuen-Meei Gan, Chao Wei U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, Research Triangle Park, NC 27711, USA 12th Annual CMAS Conference, October 30, 2013
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Motivation To extend the applicability of the two-way WRF- CMAQ model to hemispheric scales To assess the model’s ability in reproducing the decadal changes in surface radiation (e.g. dimming and brightening) in the north hemisphere from 1990-2010 when significant of changes in emissions occurred To provide boundary conditions for long-term regional-scale CMAQ simulations at finer resolution
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Outline Emission processing & model configuration Result discussion Trends in AOD & Clear-sky Shortwave radiation (SWR) Aerosol impacts on T2, PBL Height, SWR, PM 2.5 and O 3 Dust aerosol direct effects on clear-sky SWR Summary
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Emission processing Historic anthropogenic emissions in three regions over the past two decades Anthropogenic emissions were derived from EDGAR (Emission Database for Global Atmospheric Research); Biogenic VOC and lightning NOx emissions were obtained from GEIA (Global Emission Inventory Activity); Temporal distribution was referred to EDGAR default profile; Speciation was referred to SMOKE profile; Vertical allocation was referred to SMOKE plume-rise and EMEP profile. SO 2 NO x Primary PM 10
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Model Setup Simulation period: from 1990 to 2009 (summer time-JJA) Two scenarios: WRF-CMAQ(nf): no-feedback WRF-CMAQ(sf): with shortwave feedback (-aerosol direct effects) Hemispheric WRF-CMAQ two-way model ─WRF3.4: NCEP/NCAR Reanalysis data with 2.5 degree spatial and 6-hour temporal resolution; NCEP ADP Operational Global Surface/ Upper Air Observations with 6 hour intervals, MODIS land-use type, RRTMg radiation scheme, ACM2 (Pleim) PBL, PX LSM. ─CMAQ5.0: Cb05-AERO6 chemistry, tropopause ozone calculated from PV (potential vorticity), inline photolysis, inline dust emission module. East China Europe East US Simulation domain: 108×108 km resolution over northern hemisphere 44 layers from surface to 50mb Three sub-regions will be analyzed
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Trend in Aerosol Optical Depth (AOD) 2000 MODIS+ SeaWiFS WRF-CMAQ (sf) JJA-average MODIS - level 3 Terra SeaWiFS - level 3 Deep Blue Missing value in MODIS (mostly in Sahara Desert) was filled by SeaWiFS (550nm) 533nm 2009
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Trend in Aerosol Optical Depth (AOD) MODIS+ SeaWiFS WRF-CMAQ(sf) East ChinaEast USEurope JJA-average (2009 minus 2000) from 1990 to 2009
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Trend in clear-sky shortwave radiation CERES East ChinaEast USEurope JJA-average (2009 minus 2000) WRF-CMAQ(sf)WRF-CMAQ(nf) brightening Dimming from 1990 to 2009 Unit: W m -2
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Aerosol impacts on Surface SW-radiation 1990 JJA-average from WRF-CMAQ difference between sf and nf (i.e., sf - nf ) Unit: W m -2 1990-2009 2009
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Aerosol impacts on Surface Temperature 1990 JJA-average from WRF-CMAQ difference between sf and nf (i.e., sf - nf ) Unit: K 1990-2009 2009
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Aerosol impacts on PBL Height 1990 JJA-average from WRF-CMAQ difference between sf and nf (i.e., sf - nf ) Unit: meter 1990-2009 2009
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Simulated surface PM 2.5 conc. 1990 2009 JJA-average from WRF-CMAQ(sf) Unit: µg m -3 1990-2009
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Aerosol impacts on PM 2.5 conc. 1990 2009 difference between sf and nf (i.e., sf - nf ) Unit: µg m -3 1990-2009
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Simulated surface O 3 mixing ratio 1990 2009 JJA 24 hour-average from WRF-CMAQ(sf) Unit: ppbV 1990-2009
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Aerosol impacts on O 3 mixing ratio 1990 difference between sf and nf (i.e., sf - nf ) Unit: ppbV 1990-2009 2009
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WRF-CMAQ (nf)WRF-CMAQ (sf)CERES (2006 minus 2000) Unit: W m -2 Dust Aerosol impacts on Clear-sky SSR June July brightening Dimming brightening Dimming
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AOD 2000 SWR 2006-2000 AOD 2006 Satellite (June)Model (June)Satellite (July)Model (July) brightening Dimming
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Summary Hemispheric WRF-CMAQ model system was successfully set up. Results of magnitude and spatial distribution of AOD generally agree with MODIS satellite retrievals; Trends of clear-sky SW-radiation roughly reflect the brightening & dimming in three regions. Aerosol direct impacts were evaluated. The reductions in surface solar radiation, surface-level temperature, and PBL height arising from aerosol direct effects show distinct trends in response to changes in regional aerosol loading PM 2.5 will be enhanced in industrial regions, but reduced in windblown dust area. Capability of two-way coupled WRF-CMAQ model to represent the aerosol direct effects and to reproduce the observed changes in radiation was performed through comparison with CERES satellite retrieval.
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Thank you for your time! Acknowledgement This work was supported through and Inter-Agency Agreement between the EPA and DOE and does not represent the views of either Agency. We also acknowledge the free use of EDGAR, GEIA, MODIS, SeaWiFS and CERES product.
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EDGAR v42 gridded annual sectoral emissions 1990-2008 SO 2 NO x CO NH 3 CH 4 PM 10 PM 2.5 SULF NO 2 NO PFINE PNO3 PSO4 POC PEC VOC EDGAR HTAPv1 gridded annual sectoral emissions 2000-2005 Hemisphere -CMAQ Projection system conversion, incl.: Horizontal & Vertical distribution Projection system conversion, incl.: Horizontal & Vertical distribution Monthly/ Weekly/ Hourly variation Monthly/ Weekly/ Hourly variation Speciation SMOKE - default CB05 species EDGAR - default PMC SO 2 GEIA Framework of emission processing
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