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1 Economic Consulting CHBA Pulse Survey: Renovator Highlights Economic Consulting Peter Norman, Senior Director & General Manager Altus Group Economic Consulting CHBA Renovators’ Council March 4, 2010
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2 Economic Consulting Pulse: what it is and how we do it Mail survey Typically 6-8 page questionnaire Tracking questions, as well as new issues each survey Sent to all CHBA builder members (new home builders, renovators) External sponsors – CMHC and Natural Resources Canada Analyzed by Altus Group Economic Consulting
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3 Economic Consulting A valuable source of information about the homebuilding industry Up-to-date monitoring - takes the “pulse” of the homebuilding industry Gets the views of both new home builders and renovators Trending – tracks how key aspects of the homebuilding industry are changing over time Regional results - can look at variation across the country Benchmarking - lets individual homebuilders gauge their performance against other builders Fills the gaps – allows exploration of issues not covered by other sources that are important to the homebuilding industry
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4 Economic Consulting Recent Pulse Highlights
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5 Economic Consulting Renovators in all regions reported higher activity on average in past year… Source: CHBA Pulse Survey, Winter 2010 % of Renovators Change in renovation activity in last 12 months
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6 Economic Consulting … and in general were relatively optimistic about increased work for the next year Source: CHBA Pulse Survey, Winter 2010 % of Renovators Expected change in renovation activity in next 12 months
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7 Economic Consulting Almost two-thirds of CHBA builder members involved in renovation work to some degree % of Builders Source: CHBA Pulse Survey % of Total Revenues Generated by Renovation Work
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8 Economic Consulting About 1 in 4 builder members generate at least half of revenues from renovation work % of Pulse Respondents Reporting at Least 50% of Revenues In Past Year Generated from Renovation Work Source: CHBA Pulse Survey n.a.
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9 Economic Consulting This year’s top critical problems for renovators % of Renovators Source: CHBA Pulse Survey
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10 Economic Consulting 2 in 3 renovation projects by CHBA/APCHQ members valued at more than $50,000 Source: CHBA Pulse Survey % of Renovators Average size: Average duration: $40,0006 weeks $40,000 6 weeks $50,0008 weeks $50,000 8 weeks
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11 Economic Consulting Altus Group’s Outlook for Renovation Spending
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12 Economic Consulting After more than doubling in previous 10 years, real renovation spending stalls 2002=100 (constant dollars) Source: Altus Group based on Statistics Canada data
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13 Economic Consulting Homeowner renovation intentions improve markedly % of Homeowners Agreeing Completely Planning Renovations over $5,000 Source: Altus Group, The FIRM Residential Mortgage Survey
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14 Economic Consulting % of Home Owners Agreeing Completely That They Plan to Undertake Renovations of At Least $5,000 in Next Year Renovation intentions by region Source: The FIRM Residential Mortgage Survey
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15 Economic Consulting Home renovations, an estimated $55 billion industry Total Residential Renovation Spending, Canada, $Billions, Current * Includes conversions and repairs. Source: Altus Group Economic Consulting based on Statistics Canada data
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16 Economic Consulting Key points for the renovation forecast Positive: Negative:
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17 Economic Consulting Questions?
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